1. Toulouse/Lyon OVER 2.5 total goals @ 1.94/-106 (1u) Pinnacle
A straight forward numbers play for me. Last season Toulouse won both games 2-1. Lyon's matches averaged 2.7 goals per game as did Toulouse. Form wise 2 of the last 3 games for both sides also went over the total.
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Starting the opening weekend with a total;
SAT AUG 22nd
1. Toulouse/Lyon OVER 2.5 total goals @ 1.94/-106 (1u) Pinnacle
A straight forward numbers play for me. Last season Toulouse won both games 2-1. Lyon's matches averaged 2.7 goals per game as did Toulouse. Form wise 2 of the last 3 games for both sides also went over the total.
I was waiting for the lineups for this match because the odds I had here were 1.80/-125 for the home side. The last 3 head to head Lorient wins all 3 worth score lines of 1-0, 2-0, 2-0. Troyes failed to score in all three head to head matches. The opening odds were 1.73/-137 for the home side. I might be walking into a trap but I have to trust my numbers.
SAT AUG 29th
2. Lorient ML @ 2.01/+101 (1u) Pinnacle
I was waiting for the lineups for this match because the odds I had here were 1.80/-125 for the home side. The last 3 head to head Lorient wins all 3 worth score lines of 1-0, 2-0, 2-0. Troyes failed to score in all three head to head matches. The opening odds were 1.73/-137 for the home side. I might be walking into a trap but I have to trust my numbers.
(I'm french and supporting Guingamp in L2) Troyes has barely recruited for this new season after winning L2 but played really well against paris FC last week.
(I'm french and supporting Guingamp in L2) Troyes has barely recruited for this new season after winning L2 but played really well against paris FC last week.
3. Toulouse/Lille OVER 2.5 total goals @ 2.08/+108 (1u) Pinnacle
4. Toulouse/Lille OVER 4.5 total cards @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365
The last 5 head to head matches between these sides went over 2.5 goals. Three of the past 5 games for both teams also went over the total. Last season Toulouse's matches averaged 2.7 goals per game & Lille averaged 2.6 gpg. My line or the goal total is at 1.80/-125 so plus money is value.
Lille were bottom of the fair play table in France last season Toulouse were right behind at second worse. Head to head last season there was a red card in both matches. The referee for the match Mathieu Vernice averages 4.5 yellow cards per game. In his last match involving Lille he showed 8 yellows, and in his last match officiating Toulouse he brandished 5.
THU SEP 3rd
3. Toulouse/Lille OVER 2.5 total goals @ 2.08/+108 (1u) Pinnacle
4. Toulouse/Lille OVER 4.5 total cards @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365
The last 5 head to head matches between these sides went over 2.5 goals. Three of the past 5 games for both teams also went over the total. Last season Toulouse's matches averaged 2.7 goals per game & Lille averaged 2.6 gpg. My line or the goal total is at 1.80/-125 so plus money is value.
Lille were bottom of the fair play table in France last season Toulouse were right behind at second worse. Head to head last season there was a red card in both matches. The referee for the match Mathieu Vernice averages 4.5 yellow cards per game. In his last match involving Lille he showed 8 yellows, and in his last match officiating Toulouse he brandished 5.
5. Le Havre/Angers to DRAW @ 3.26/+226 (1u) Pinnacle
6. Lorient/Toulouse to DRAW @ 3.30/+230 (1u) Pinnacle
Le Havre and and Angers have drawn 3 of their past 4 head to head games. Le Havre are also injury depleted and are begging for the international break to get their squad healthy. Both sides would be happy with a point and the odds reflect that sentiment
Lorient and Toulouse are both struggling. The home side only 1 win in their past 5 and Toulouse only 1 draw in their past 5 games. head to head wise 2 of their past 4 games ended level and I would not be surprised if both teams settle for a draw on Saturday.
SAT SEP 12th
5. Le Havre/Angers to DRAW @ 3.26/+226 (1u) Pinnacle
6. Lorient/Toulouse to DRAW @ 3.30/+230 (1u) Pinnacle
Le Havre and and Angers have drawn 3 of their past 4 head to head games. Le Havre are also injury depleted and are begging for the international break to get their squad healthy. Both sides would be happy with a point and the odds reflect that sentiment
Lorient and Toulouse are both struggling. The home side only 1 win in their past 5 and Toulouse only 1 draw in their past 5 games. head to head wise 2 of their past 4 games ended level and I would not be surprised if both teams settle for a draw on Saturday.
Everything in the analysis points to a high scoring home win. The last 2 head to head matches had 5 goals in both games. I like Monaco to take the full 3 points based on form. Five wins and a draw in the last six. Lens in their past 4 ,1 win 2 losses 1 draw. Monaco have an extra day to prep and also won the last head to head meeting away to Lens 3-2. Plus money is value as I had this at 1.80/-125.
FRI SEP 18th
7. Monaco ML @ 2.09/+109 (1u) Pinnacle
Everything in the analysis points to a high scoring home win. The last 2 head to head matches had 5 goals in both games. I like Monaco to take the full 3 points based on form. Five wins and a draw in the last six. Lens in their past 4 ,1 win 2 losses 1 draw. Monaco have an extra day to prep and also won the last head to head meeting away to Lens 3-2. Plus money is value as I had this at 1.80/-125.
FRI SEP 18th 7. Monaco ML @ 2.09/+109 (1u) Pinnacle Everything in the analysis points to a high scoring home win. The last 2 head to head matches had 5 goals in both games. I like Monaco to take the full 3 points based on form. Five wins and a draw in the last six. Lens in their past 4 ,1 win 2 losses 1 draw. Monaco have an extra day to prep and also won the last head to head meeting away to Lens 3-2. Plus money is value as I had this at 1.80/-125.
@DiamondJack
What do you think of the BTTS?
Quote Originally Posted by DiamondJack:
FRI SEP 18th 7. Monaco ML @ 2.09/+109 (1u) Pinnacle Everything in the analysis points to a high scoring home win. The last 2 head to head matches had 5 goals in both games. I like Monaco to take the full 3 points based on form. Five wins and a draw in the last six. Lens in their past 4 ,1 win 2 losses 1 draw. Monaco have an extra day to prep and also won the last head to head meeting away to Lens 3-2. Plus money is value as I had this at 1.80/-125.