Manchester United vs Sabah Baku Predictions, Picks & Odds for Thursday's Champions League Match

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst 10+ years betting experience
Updated: Sep 9, 2026 , 10:30 AM ET • 4 min read

Champions League new boys Sabah will be hopeful of shocking Old Trafford and the soccer world against a Man Utd team struggling for consistency.

Manchester United's Bruno Fernandes looks dejected.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Manchester United's Bruno Fernandes looks dejected.

A rare Thursday Champions League game gives us European royalty, Manchester United against new boys Sabah at Old Trafford.

My Manchester United vs Sabah predictions pinpoint unknowns Sabah as the value here, backing them on the spread against United’s struggling defense.

Man Utd are strong favorites with an 87% chance of the win, a tie is deemed unlikely at 10%, and a Sabah win at 4% seems a long shot. 

Read on for my free betting picks for Thursday, September 10 with kickoff at 3:00 p.m. ET on Paramount+.

Pick DK Predictions
Probability
Top Pick: Sabah +2.5
52%
Combo: Both teams to score + Sabah +2.5 2.90x

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Manchester United vs Sabah Baku picks and predictions

My Manchester United vs Sabah Baku top pick: Sabah +2.5 (52% probability)

Man Utd have started the season woefully, giving up an average of two goals per game. Their team is struggling with balance; it’s overloaded in attack, with wide forwards who don’t do enough defensively. With Carlos Baleba yet to start since joining the team, they’re missing a screening midfielder, and Youri Tielemans and Kobbie Mainoo aren’t blessed with athleticism or great defensive positioning. 

They’re rightful favorites and should win the game due to their firepower, but they won’t have much film on Sabah, who can surprise their defense. Sabah leftback Tymoteusz Puchacz has exceptional delivery, and with both Luke Shaw and Lisandro Martinez being short, there’s a chance for Sabah to score aerially. Trust Sabah to cause an upset on the spread. 

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Manchester United vs Sabah Baku combo

Both teams to score — Yes

Sabah +2.5

Man Utd’s defense are far too inconsistent, and they give up too many opportunities to their opponents. Sabah will score, and they should have enough about them to sit in a low block, frustrate United and cover the spread.

Manchester United vs Sabah Baku odds

Manchester United Manchester United Sabah Baku
87% Moneyline 4%
10% Draw 10%
Over 2.5
71%
Total Under 2.5
37%

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Predictions.

How to watch Manchester United vs Sabah Baku

Location Old Trafford, Manchester, England
Date Thursday, September 10, 2026
Time 3:00 p.m. ET
TV Paramount+
Weather Light rain

Manchester United vs Sabah Baku key injuries

Manchester United: Carlos Baleba CM (Out), Matthijs de Ligt CB (Out), Manuel Ugarte CM (Out), Tom Heaton GK (Out), Amad Diallo FWR (Out), Marcus Rashford FWR (Questionable).
Sabah Baku: No injuries to report. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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