Panthers vs Golden Knights Odds, Picks, and Predictions Tonight: Back Florida in Stanley Cup Rematch

Despite falling short in the finals last year, Florida is rolling to start 2024 while Vegas is in the midst of its worst stretch of the season. Read more as Ryan Gilbert looks to fade Vegas at home in our Panthers vs. Golden Knights betting picks.

Ryan Gilbert - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Jan 4, 2024 • 07:41 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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Matthew Tkachuk Florida Panthers NHL
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The Vegas Golden Knights return home to host the Florida Panthers at T-Mobile Arena on Thursday night.

The Panthers are red-hot to start the new year, having racked up five straight wins in the NHL odds. On the other hand, the Golden Knights have lost five of their last six games.

Can the Golden Knights hold the fort in a Stanley Cup Final rematch? Find out in our free NHL picks and predictions for Panthers vs. Golden Knights on January 4.

Panthers vs Golden Knights odds

Panthers vs Golden Knights predictions

The Florida Panthers beat the Vegas Golden Knights at home back on December 23 to start their six-game winning streak. The Cats had revenge on their minds after last year’s Stanley Cup loss and they were able to at least come away with two points.

Florida has been one of the best teams in the league this season and has the fifth-best xGF% (54.85%) at 5-on-5. Vegas, meanwhile, has dipped down to 51.87%. That difference has been clear in the last 10 games, with the Panthers boasting the league’s second-best xGF% (58.34%) while the Knights are just under 50%.

The road hasn’t been too kind to the Panthers in recent years but they’re exorcising their demons a bit this season with an 11-7-2 record away from home. They kicked off their road trip with a win in Arizona on Tuesday night.

"It's just always nice to win the first game and try and go from there," Panthers forward Matthew Tkachuk said after the win. "We're going into a tough, hostile environment next game and going in with a winning streak is going to hopefully give us a little advantage."

While the Panthers are streaking, the Golden Knights are sliding. They’ve been battling through injuries to some key pieces and haven’t had the most favorable schedule as of late. After a four-game road trip, the Golden Knights beat the Kings at home before getting shut out in the Winter Classic.

"You'll always remember that game as a loser," said Vegas forward Jonathan Marchessault. "So, it's really disappointing for our group, and we know we're a good team, but right now we're not playing our best hockey all together and we've got to find a way to get more consistency."

Vegas has lost five of its last six games and it doesn’t get any easier coming up. The Knights have been without Shea Theodore for over a month now, starting goalie Adin Hill is out for a few more weeks, and second-line center William Karlsson has been ruled out for Thursday night.

The Knights aren’t anywhere near their best right now in terms of personnel or level of play. Take advantage of that with the Panthers in a pick’em.

My best bet: Panthers moneyline (-118 at DraftKings)

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Panthers vs Golden Knights same-game parlay

Panthers moneyline

Under 6.5

Jonathan Marchessault 3+ shots

The Panthers have been one of the most profitable teams in terms of betting the Under this season at 23-14-0. The Vegas Golden Knights have also trended that way, compiling a 20-18 record to the Under.

Vegas is having some offensive issues recently with a total of just seven goals in its last four games, including a 3-0 loss in the Winter Classic. I ultimately expect that to continue in an intense Cup Finals rematch.

We’re going to finish out the parlay with Jonathan Marchessault to record 3+ shots on goal. The reigning Conn Smythe Trophy winner is averaging 3.45 shots per game this season and has registered at least three shots in 25 of 38 contests.

Taking Marchessault to record 4+ shots for better odds may also not be a bad look — he's had 4+ shots in 20 of those contests.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Panthers vs Golden Knights moneyline and Over/Under analysis

The Golden Knights initially started as favorites at home, but their odds have since shifted to +100, driven by a surge of public money favoring the Panthers. Florida is now listed between -115 and -120 after opening at plus money.

The total opened at 6.5 but has moved down to a flat six at most books. You can get Over 6.5 (-105) and Under 6.5 (-115), or Over 6 (-120) and Under 6 (+102).

Panthers vs Golden Knights betting trend to know

The Panthers have cashed the moneyline in 61 of their last 101 games (+17.55 Units / 12% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Panthers vs. Golden Knights.

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Panthers vs Golden Knights game info

Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV
Date: Thursday, January 4, 2024
Puck drop: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: BSFL, SCRIPPS

Panthers vs Golden Knights latest injuries

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