Texans vs Rams Predictions, Picks & Best Bets for Today's Week 1 Game

Farley's prediction: Points will be scarce in this Week 1 showdown at SoFi Stadium.

Sam Farley - Contributor at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Sep 7, 2025 • 15:25 ET • 4 min read
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This article contains predictions for an old game!

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 Will Anderson Jr. Houston Texans NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Texans vs. Rams.

The AFC South Champions head out west to take on the Los Angeles Rams in what should be an exciting matchup.

My Texans vs. Rams predictions expect a low-scoring game between two teams with plenty of question marks.

Find out more in my NFL picks below, with the game kicking off at 4:25 p.m. ET at SoFi Stadium and available to watch on CBS.

Texans vs Rams prediction

Texans vs Rams Best bet: Under 43.5 (-115)

Two big factors come into play when considering this 43.5-point total. For the Los Angeles Rams, things look positive: Davante Adams is in town, Kyren Williams is healthy and signed to a new deal, and Matthew Stafford is fit, but just how healthy is he really?

That’s going to be put to the test as they face a Houston Texans defense that could quite comfortably be the best in the NFL.  You have the second-best edge rusher in the league in Will Anderson Jr. on one side of the line, and opposite him is Danielle Hunter, who is also an elite, potentially Top-10 defensive end.

There’s going to be a lot of pressure on Stafford, and even if he really is in great health, then they could still be in big trouble.

Then there’s the Texans. We should see C.J. Stroud rebound after his sophomore slump, but this is still a team that’s had huge changes on the offensive line and might need time to gel.

And without Joe Mixon, the running game now lies in the hands of Nick Chubb, and we don’t know if he’s going to be anywhere near the guy he was pre-injuries.

Texans vs Rams same-game parlay

We’re also going to add the Texans to win. This team has a truly elite defense and should be able to limit the Rams to a couple of scores.

To finish off the SGP, we’re backing Nico Collins to score. Collins is one of the league’s best wideouts and scored eight touchdowns last season, despite missing five games due to injury and subsequently working his way back to full health.

Texans vs Rams 3-leg SGP

  • Under 43.5
  • Texans moneyline
  • Nico Collins anytime touchdown

Our big-ticket SGP: Wideouts shine at SoFi Stadium

  • Davante Adams gives the team a real X receiver and is now L.A.'s main receiving threat in the red zone.
  • C.J. Stroud averaged 223.9 yards per game last year, but with a new OC and a healthy Collins, as well as Christian Kirk and Jayden Higgins in his WR corps, we should see him improve upon his 2024 performances.

Texans vs Rams 5-leg SGP

  • Under 43.5
  • Texans moneyline
  • Nico Collins anytime touchdown
  • Davante Adams anytime touchdown
  • C.J. Stroud Over 233.5 passing yards

Texans vs Rams game predictions

Texans vs Rams moneyline prediction

Houston's defensive front is truly elite, and with doubts over Matthew Stafford's health, it should be concerning that he'll be under huge pressure every snap.

Texans vs Rams spread prediction

The Rams failed to cover the spread in all three games as home favorites last year and might struggle against this Texans defense. 

Texans vs Rams Over/Under prediction

If this Texans defense does as expected, it’ll keep the score down, just as Houston might struggle to put up big numbers with the state of its running game.

Texans vs Rams odds

  • Spread: Texans +2.5 | Rams -2.5
  • Moneyline: Texans +120 | Rams -140
  • Over/Under: Over 44.5 | Under 44.5

More NFL picks and odds from Covers


Texans vs Rams trend to know

The Texans have cashed the Under in 15 of their last 22 games. Find more NFL betting trends for Texans vs. Rams.

How to watch Texans vs Rams

Location SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date Sunday, September 7, 2025
Kickoff 4:25 p.m. ET
TV CBS

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Sam Farley
Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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