Game one of the overlapping Monday Night Football doubleheader will feature two teams desperate for a win, as the 0-3 New York Jets head to South Beach to take on the 0-3 Miami Dolphins.
My favorite Jets vs. Dolphins props feature a pair of playmakers trending in different directions.
Find out more in my NFL picks for Monday, September 29.
Jets vs Dolphins MNF props
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Breece Hall |
Over 56.5 rushing yards | <<110>> |
 Tyreek Hill |
Under 5.5 receptions | -130 |
| Malik Washington |
Over 4.5 rushing yards | -110 |
Breece Hall Over 56.5 rushing yards
After an amazing Week 1 performance, Breece Hall has found it difficult to find any running room in the last two weeks. However, he gets to face one of the worst defenses in the NFL on Monday night, and things should open back up for him.
The Miami Dolphins have allowed the eighth most yards before contact per carry to running backs through the first three weeks. The New York Jets running backs have averaged the seventh-highest yards before contact per carry. Hall will be able to get going before he sees a defender on him.
The Dolphins rank 28th in rushing defense and have allowed 71, 54, and 108 yards rushing to the opposing teams’ starting running backs. I love Hall to find his rhythm again and near 100 yards again.
Tyreek Hill Under 5.5 receptions
While the Miami offense has not been explosive this season, they have kept Tyreek Hill relatively involved in the offense. He has 15 catches on 23 targets for 198 yards through the first three games.
However, he will likely see a lot of Sauce Gardner in this game, who has been shadowing receivers this season a lot more than in his previous seasons. In Week 1, Gardner shadowed DK Metcalf, covering him 90.9% of the snaps. In Week 3, he lined up against Mike Evans on 60% of his coverage snaps.
In the three games they have played against each other, Hill has one reception for five yards on three targets with Gardner in coverage. That is only 10 coverage snaps, but with Gardner playing a shadow role this season, I expect him to be able to shut down Tyreek for much of the game.
Malik Washington Over 4.5 rushing yards
It is not often you are looking to bet wide receivers to hit a rushing total, but with the Dolphins, they like to get everyone involved. Malik Washington is the main guy they like to throw into the run game with De’Von Achane and Ollie Gordon.
Washington has six rush attempts this season with at least one in each game. He is averaging 8.7 yards per carry on those six attempts. He can easily clear this number with just one attempt.
The Jets rank 23rd in run defense and have allowed the second-most attempts in the NFL this season. The Bills used a wide receiver in the run game in Week 2, and Elijah Moore had two carries for 6 yards. I love Washington here to get a crack at a carry or two.
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Jets vs Dolphins MNF prop betting card
- Hall Over 56.5 rushing yards (-110)
- Hill Under 5.5 receptions (-130)
- Washington Over 4.5 rushing yards (-110)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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