The Miami Dolphins host the New York Jets in Monday Night Football action in Week 4.
Both teams have started the year 0-3 due to terrible defensive play and I'm looking to take advantage of that by betting a same-game parlay that fades both stop units.
Here is my best Jets vs. Dolphins SGP and NFL picks for Monday, September 29.
Our best Jets vs Dolphins SGP for Week 4
With how bad these defenses have been, both offenses should be able to hit the 20-point mark.
The New York Jets are 28th in the league in defensive EPA and points per game allowed (31.0) while the Miami Dolphins are dead-last in defensive EPA and ppg allowed(32.3).
Dolphins pivot Tua Tagovailoa struggles against pressure but thrives when he has time to find his weapons. With the Jets second-last in the NFL in pressure rate, expect Tua to get into a rhythm.
Meanwhile, the Jets are expected to get back QB Justin Fields whose mobility and athleticism will create problems for Miami's piss-poor stop unit.
Fields' two-best weapons are RB Breece Hall and WR Garrett Wilson who are both poised for big games. Hall has been bottled up the last two weeks but he rushed for 107 yards in the season opener and Miami is allowing 145.0 rushing yards per game.
Wilson has eclipsed the 1000-yard mark in each of his first three seasons and is the only legitimate receiving threat on the roster. He leads the Jets in receptions (21) and receiving yards (229) and should easily gain separation against the worst crop of corners in the league.
Jets vs Dolphins SGP
- Both teams to score 20+ points
- Breece Hall Over 47.5 rushing yards
- Garrett Wilson Over 65.5 receiving yards
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.