The Detroit Lions have dropped three of their last five games and will look to stop the bleeding as they host the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday Night Football.
Dallas has won three in a row thanks to its dynamic aerial attack, and my NFL picks are betting on Dak Prescott and CeeDee Lamb to light it up in Week 14.
Here are my best free Cowboys vs. Lions player props for December 4.
Cowboys vs Lions TNF props
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Dak Prescott |
Over 269.5 passing yards | -110 |
| CeeDee Lamb |
Over 78.5 receiving yards | -110 |
 Jahmyr Gibbs |
Over 35.5 receiving yards | -110 |
Dak Prescott Over 269.5 passing yards (-110)
Dak Prescott has thrown for 320+ yards in back-to-back games, leading the Dallas Cowboys to upset wins over the Chiefs and Eagles.
He leads the league with 271.8 passing yards per game, which is especially impressive when you consider No. 1 WR CeeDee Lamb missed four games.
Prescott has his full arsenal of weapons on TNF as he takes on a Detroit Lions defense that's been picked apart by Jordan Love and Jameis Winston the last two weeks.
The Lions have really missed All-Pro safety Kerby Joseph, who's sidelined by a knee injury, and they placed corner Terrion Arnold on the IR this week. Prescott is third in the NFL in yards per dropback against man coverage, and Detroit plays man at the second-highest rate in the league.
CeeDee Lamb Over 78.5 receiving yards (-110)
Lamb also thrives against man coverage, boasting a whopping 34.5% target share, and is coming off a game against the Chiefs where he hauled in seven receptions for 112 yards.
If you exclude Week 3, when Lamb was injured early in the first quarter, he has logged 85+ yards in five of eight contests this year. In one of the games where he went below that number, Dallas had a positive game script, and he faced an elite Denver defense and still had 74 yards in another.
With the Cowboys as 3-point underdogs on Thursday night, they'll likely have a negative or neutral game script, and Detroit's pass defense has struggled.
The Lions rank 26th in DVOA against No. 1 wide receivers and have allowed a league-high 23 pass completions off 20+ air yards. Expect Lamb to torch their banged-up secondary.
Jahmyr Gibbs Over 35.5 receiving yards (-110)
Jahymr Gibbs has rushed for 1,019 yards this year while adding another 397 yards through the air.
The two-time Pro Bowl running back was limited to 18 receiving yards on three catches last week. However, he had a career-high 11 receptions for 45 yards in Week 12 and racked up 107 receiving yards the week before that.
He faces a Dallas defense that ranks 28th in DVOA against running backs while allowing 44.7 receiving yards per game to the position, the third-most in the NFL.
The Cowboys lead the league in pressure rate, so expect Lions QB Jared Goff to rely on shorter throws and outlet options like Gibbs. With tight end Sam Laporta on the IR and No. 1 WR Amon-Ra St. Brown injuring his ankle last week, there will be plenty of targets to go around.
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Cowboys vs Lions TNF prop betting card
- Prescott o269.5 pass yards (-110)
- Lamb o78.5 rec yards (-110)
- Gibbs o35.5 rec yards (-110)
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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