Wisconsin vs Indiana Prediction, Picks & Odds for November 15 — College Football Week 12

Wisconsin won't mount much of an attack, as Fernando Mendoza and Indiana can run all over the Badgers.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Nov 13, 2025 • 07:41 ET • 4 min read

NCAAF

Match starts: 50 hrs
IU
38 %
WIS
62 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Fernando Mendoza o237.5  Passing Yards (-114) Fernando Mendoza o237.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Read Analysis
Fernando Mendoza Indiana Hoosiers NCAA College Football
Photo By - Imagn Images. Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza (15) gets ready to let 'er rip.

As much as college football often proves “any given Saturday” can yield any given result, the Wisconsin Badgers upsetting the Indiana Hoosiers this weekend is a bit beyond fathoming.

Instead, my Wisconsin vs. Indiana predictions expect the Hoosiers to rub in the pain, though for no personal reason aimed at the Badgers.

Kickoff comes at 12 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 15, so let's get right to our college football picks.

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Wisconsin vs Indiana prediction

Wisconsin vs Indiana best bet: Fernando Mendoza Over 237.5 passing yards (-114)

Indiana Hoosiers quarterback Fernando Mendoza has cleared this prop just once in his last six games, largely the result of the Hoosiers winning so decisively. 

But the time has come to run up the score.

The Heisman race likely will come down to the Big Ten Championship Game, with the winner between Mendoza and Ohio State quarterback Julian Sayin likely also winning that conference title. But it would serve both Indiana and Mendoza well to tighten that race beforehand, given some narratives already arguing in favor of Sayin no matter the result.

Wisconsin will allow for Indiana and Mendoza to post some gaudy stats. The Badgers not only have the No. 112 success rate against the pass, per CFB-graphs.com, but they are also thrown against at the third-highest relative rate in the country.

More simply, opponents not only know Wisconsin is bad against the pass, but they attack it as often as possible.

In fact, just a few weeks ago, Sayin threw 42 times in a 34-0 win at Wisconsin, completing 36 of those passes for 393 yards and four touchdowns. This is a defense begging a Heisman-caliber quarterback to put up a Heisman-worthy stat line.

Wisconsin vs Indiana same-game parlay

Mendoza rushing for a touchdown in three straight games is less a product of his Heisman campaign and more simply a reflection of how thoroughly Indiana can dominate its opponents. Then again, it can be both.

As much as the Hoosiers struggled at Penn State last week, they have gone 3-1 against the spread as four-score favorites this season.

Wisconsin vs Indiana SGP

  • Fernando Mendoza Over 237.5 passing yards
  • Fernando Mendoza anytime touchdown
  • Indiana -29.5

Our deep-ball SGP: Our favorite Indy act

Indiana is primarily a national title contender because of its defense. The Hoosiers had a top-tier offense a year ago but lacked a defense to pair with it. This year’s rendition may be a Top-3 defense in the country, and it should outright shut down a Bottom 20 offense.

Adding an Elijah Sarrat touchdown is largely a nod to the best Indiana receiver missing last week’s action.

Wisconsin vs Indiana SGP

  • Fernando Mendoza Over 237.5 passing yards
  • Fernando Mendoza anytime touchdown
  • Indiana -29.5
  • Wisconsin team total Under 6.5
  • Elijah Sarrat anytime touchdown

Wisconsin vs Indiana odds

  • Spread: Wisconsin +29.5 | Indiana -29.5
  • Moneyline: Wisconsin +2500 | Indiana -10000
  • Over/Under: Over 43.5 | Under 43.5

Wisconsin vs Indiana trend to know

Wisconsin has cashed five Unders in its six Big Ten games this season, the exception being a mere push against Iowa, when the Hawkeyes won 37-0 in a game with a total of 37. Find more college football betting trends for Wisconsin vs Indiana.

How to watch Wisconsin vs Indiana

Location Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, IN
Date Saturday, November 15, 2025
Kickoff 12:00 p.m. ET
TV BTN

Wisconsin vs Indiana latest injuries

Wisconsin vs Indiana weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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