The Tennessee Volunteers are beholden to Josh Heupel for the foreseeable future, last month giving him a contract extension through the 2029 season. In other words, the Volunteers are now beholden to the Georgia Bulldogs for the foreseeable future, given how resoundingly Kirby Smart has solved Heupel’s offensive system.
My Georgia vs. Tennessee predictions and college football picks expect more misery for the Vols against the Bulldogs. Kickoff comes at 3:30 ET on Saturday, September 13.
Georgia vs Tennessee prediction
Georgia vs Tennessee best bet: Georgia -4.5 (-102)
Georgia has covered the spread in every matchup against Heupel’s Tennessee Volunteers. Not only that, the Bulldogs have cleared the spread by an average of 8.6 points in those four matchups.
Credit to Georgia’s defense, as shocking as that obviously isn’t. Head coach Kirby Smart trusts his defensive backs in coverage against Tennessee’s receivers, and he has defensive backs worthy of that trust.
That leaves the Volunteers overly dependent on their run game, which, while improved, is not an efficient enough one to drive an offense. Very few run games are in any given season, perhaps six or eight total. Tennessee is not one of them.
Thus, the Volunteers have fallen an average of 10 points short of their Team Total before garbage time in those four meetings. Even with garbage time, that is a lofty 8.25 points short of their Team Total.
Gunner Stockton is a step backward for Georgia, but the Bulldogs are used to playing complementary football, relying on their defense to create a few short fields and capitalizing on those. When holding an opponent to no more than 17 points in four straight meetings, that recipe creates ATS wins as well as outright wins. It should for a fifth time on Saturday.
Georgia vs Tennessee same-game parlay
Tennessee has not cleared its Team Total in four matchups with Georgia during the Josh Heupel Era, and assuming the Vols will peak this weekend at 21 points, it would then be a tall ask of Bulldogs quarterback Gunner Stockton to clear this total.
Adding in a touchdown from Tennessee running back Star Thomas may seem odd when effectively betting a Tennessee Team Total Under, but realize the Vols have not thrown a touchdown pass against the Bulldogs in their last three matchups, while rushing for four.
Georgia vs Tennessee SGP
- Georgia -4.5
- Under 49.5
- Star Thomas Touchdown
Our deep-ball SGP: Georgia defense earns its star
It is difficult to succinctly summarize how poorly Tennessee's passing game has fared over the last three years against Georgia. Let's put it this way: On 106 dropbacks in their last three meetings, the Vols have managed a total of three explosive plays, one in each game.
Georgia vs Tennessee SGP
- Georgia -4.5
- Under 49.5
- Star Thomas Touchdown
- Joey Aguilar Under 201.5 Passing Yards
Georgia vs Tennessee odds
- Spread: Georgia -4.5 | Tennessee +4.5
- Moneyline: Georgia -178 | Tennessee +146
- Over/Under: Over 49.5 | Under 49.5
Georgia vs Tennessee trend to know
Georgia has gone 6-0 against the spread in the last six meetings against Tennessee. Find more college football betting trends for Georgia vs Tennessee.
How to watch Georgia vs Tennessee
| Location | Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN |
| Date | Saturday, September 13, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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