Wisconsin vs Illinois Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's Big Ten Tournament Game

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 13, 2026 , 08:19 AM ET • 4 min read

There will be plenty of points in Chicago when Wisconsin goes to war with Illinois. Jason Logan sees Badgers guard Nick Boyd behind those buckets, taking the Over on his assist prop.

NCAAB

Match starts: 4 hrs
WIS
60 %
ILL
40 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Nick Boyd o4.5  Assists (+122) Nick Boyd o4.5 Assists (+122)
Read Analysis
Wisconsin Badgers guard Nick Boyd NCAAM.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Wisconsin Badgers guard Nick Boyd.

Big Ten bettors need to buckle up for what could be the most entertaining game of the conference tournament.
 
The Wisconsin Badgers and Illinois Fighting Illinois combined for 182 points in their overtime affair on February 10, and now meet in the quarterfinals in Chicago on Friday, March 13.

My Wisconsin vs. Illinois predictions see the potential for points once more, and my college basketball picks believe Nick Boyd’s playmaking will be behind plenty of scoring chances. 

Wisconsin vs Illinois prediction

Wisconsin vs Illinois best bet

Wisconsin vs Illinois best bet: Nick Boyd Over 4.5 assists (+122)

Nick Boyd averaged 4.5 assists in Big Ten action and upped that distribution to 5.4 dimes in the final 10 games of conference play. The Wisconsin Badgers senior kept those connections coming with nine assists in yesterday’s victory.

Boyd faces an inconsistent defense from the Illinois Fighting Illini, which struggles in the halfcourt as well as fails containing drives in isolation. Boyd had a big night scoring in that last meeting with Illinois but still recorded five assists.

Wisconsin has a high assist-to-FGM rate, and Boyd’s projections flirt with five dimes, providing nice plus-money value on this passing prop.

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Wisconsin vs Illinois same-game parlay

The Badgers have the offensive chops to go toe-to-toe with the Illini’s offense and their 3-point prowess can quickly close gaps and keep this game tight. Game models have this as close as a five point margin.

Keaton Wagler had 34 points in the last meeting with Wisconsin, picking up 15 of those points on five 3-pointers made. He’s hit two or more triples in 11 of the past 16 games.

Wisconsin vs Illinois SGP

  • Wisconsin +8
  • Nick Boyd Over 4.5 assists
  • Keaton Wagler Over 1.5 3-pointers

Our beyond the arc SGP: From downtown Chicago

The last time these Big Ten teams battled, they combined for 31 made triples. John Blackwell, Boyd, and Wagler all had three or more from beyond the arc.

Wisconsin vs Illinois SGP

  • Wisconsin +8
  • Over 156
  • Keaton Wagler Over 1.5 3-pointers
  • Nick Boyd Over 1.5 3-pointers
  • John Blackwell Over 2.5 3-pointers

Wisconsin vs Illinois odds

  • Spread: Wisconsin +8 | Illinois -8
  • Moneyline: Wisconsin +250 | Illinois -310
  • Over/Under: Over 156 | Under 156

Wisconsin vs Illinois betting trend to know

Wisconsin is 10-4 ATS as an underdog against Big Ten opponents the past two seasons. Find more college basketball betting trends for Wisconsin vs Illinois.

How to watch Wisconsin vs Illinois

Location United Center, Chicago, IL
Date Friday, March 13, 2026
Tip-off 2:30 p.m. ET
TV BTN

Wisconsin vs Illinois key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst; has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike. Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet. He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns. On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast; WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio; he had his analysis featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers; flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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