Women's College Basketball Odds: Texas, LSU Move On

Aisha Quiñones - Betting Analyst at Covers
Aisha Quiñones • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 21, 2026 , 10:00 AM ET • 4 min read

LSU and Texas opened with emphatic statement wins to advance, while UConn, UCLA, and other heavyweights look to follow suit in Saturday’s slate.

Flau'jae Johnson LSU Tigers NCAA Women's College Basketball
Photo By - Reuters Connect. LSU Tigers guard Flau'jae Johnson (4) drives past Jacksonville Dolphins guard Tatum Brown (2) for a layup.

The women’s NCAA Tournament is underway, and the UConn Huskies have controlled the spotlight from start to finish, remaining unbeaten and looking every bit like a powerhouse.

But as March heats up, the race at the top is getting even more intriguing.

With the Big Dance in full swing, Texas and LSU have wasted no time making statements with dominant opening-round wins to move on.

Saturday’s slate promises plenty of excitement, with UConn, South Carolina, UCLA, and other heavy hitters set to take the floor.

Here’s a look at where the latest 2025–26 title odds stand across the field.

Odds to win Women's March Madness 2026

Team bet365 My Take
UConn UConn -290 38.4-point average margin of victory.
UCLA UCLA  +500 Led the nation in a 1.73 assist/turnover ratio.
Texas Texas +750 Averaging about 85 points per game (top-10 nationally).
NFC South Carolina +850 Led the nation in field goal percentage defense (35.0%). 
LSU LSU +2000 The No. 1 scoring offense in the nation.
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt +6500 Achieved 27 regular-season wins, the most in school history.
Duke Duke +7500 Allows just 59.0 points per game.
Michigan Michigan +8000 Averaging 85.2 points per game (8th nationally).
Iowa Iowa +10000 Ranked 5th in the Big Ten with 20.9 assists per game.
Louisvilla Louisville +10000 Averaging 36.3 points from reserves.

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March Madness Favorites

UConn UConn Huskies (-290)

The UConn Huskies are rolling into the women's NCAA Tournament after capturing both the regular-season and Big East Conference tournament titles with a perfect 34-0 record, once again proving they’re the team to beat in March.

With momentum firmly on their side and a roster clicking on both ends of the floor, the Huskies are well-positioned to defend their national title and chase back-to-back championships.

There’s little doubt UConn is carrying serious championship momentum into the tournament.

Next up: UTSA on Saturday, March 21 at 3 p.m. ET on ABC

UCLA UCLA Bruins (+500)

The UCLA Bruins have surged from +1200 preseason odds to +550, now sitting just behind the UConn Huskies women's basketball among the favorites.

Taking advantage of a Big Ten Conference landscape without JuJu Watkins, UCLA controlled both the rivalry and the league, finishing the regular season 28-1 and cruising to the conference title. Their only loss of the year came against the Texas Longhorns.

That dominant run has firmly established the Bruins as one of the top contenders for the national championship.

Next up: California Baptist on Saturday, March 21 at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN

Texas Texas Longhorns (+750)

The Texas Longhorns have made a loud statement this season with signature wins over South Carolina and UCLA Bruins, proving it can go toe-to-toe with the nation’s elite.

The Longhorns reinforced that point by defeating South Carolina again to capture the SEC Women's Basketball Tournament title.

Those marquee victories have boosted Texas’ national profile and pushed its championship odds sharply upward.

Next up: Oregon on Sunday, March 22 at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN

NFC South Carolina (+850)

After gritty losses to Texas and Oklahoma, the Gamecocks have shown rare cracks and were leapfrogged by the surging UCLA Bruins.

Still, Dawn Staley’s group traditionally peaks in March.

Finishing the regular season at 29-2, the South Carolina Gamecocks are looking to carry their momentum into the Big Dance, where a showdown with UConn Huskies gives them a chance for sweet revenge.

Next up: Southern U on Saturday, March 21 at 1 p.m. ET on ABC

LSU LSU Tigers (+2000)

Kim Mulkey's squad has suffered a few losses by some heavyweight names such as South Carolina, Vanderbilt, Texas & Kentucky, but LSU has some making up to do and expect the Tigers to roar in Flau'jae Johnson's last season in the purple & gold.

With Johnson leading the charge and support from MiLaysia Fulwiley, Mikaylah Williams, and standout freshman Zakiyah Johnson, LSU looks ready to make their March run unforgettable.

Next up: Texas Tech on Sunday, March 22 at 3 p.m. ET on ABC

Women's March Madness opening odds

  • South Carolina: +145
  • UConn: +400
  • Texas: +400
  • Notre Dame: +700
  • USC: +950
  • UCLA: +1200
  • NC State: +2000
  • LSU: +3000
  • Stanford: +3000
  • Duke: +5000

It should come as no surprise that oddsmakers were high on South Carolina after the Gamecocks became just the 10th team ever to cap off an undefeated season with a national championship.

But it's the UCLA Bruins who shook up the scene this season after going 30-2 and putting all of women's college basketball on notice after being the No. 1 ranked team in the country for most of this season. Led by Lauren Betts and Kiki Rice, the Bruins are out for blood and appear to be a shoe-in to win the Big Ten tournament ahead of March Madness.

Women's March Madness 2026 schedule

Event Date Location(s)
Selection Sunday March 15 --
First Four  March 18–19 UD Arena (Dayton, Ohio)
First Round March 20–23 Top 16 seeds host.
Second Round March 20–23 Top 16 seeds host.
Sweet 16 March 27–30 Sacramento, CA; Fort Worth, TX
Elite Eight March 27–30 Sacramento, CA; Fort Worth, TX
Final Four April 3 Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix, AZ)
National Championship Game April 5 Mortgage Matchup Center (Phoenix, AZ)

Popular March Madness markets

March Madness betting splits

Highest ticket percentage:
•    UConn 17.3%
•    South Carolina 14.8%
•    UCLA 11.1%

Highest handle percentage:
•    UConn 30.3%
•    South Carolina 23.9%
•    UCLA 12.4%

Biggest liabilities:
•    UConn
•    USC
•    South Carolina

All data courtesy of BetMGM.

March Madness 2026 predictions

Bet Odds Bet Date Units
National Title: UConn -300 February 12 0.5
Final Four: Vanderbilt +4000 February 12 0.5
To Make NCAA Tournament Field of 68: USC +15000 February 12 0.5

What makes this UConn group especially dangerous in a tournament setting is lineup flexibility. The Huskies can play small to maximize spacing or lean into length and rebounding without sacrificing offensive flow. Geno Auriemma’s teams historically peak in March by tightening rotations and sharpening execution, and this roster already looks comfortable in high-pressure moments.

With experience, depth, and star power aligned, the Huskies enter the Final Four conversation as the most complete team in the country and the safest pick to cut down the nets again.

Vanderbilt's defensive structure forces opponents into uncomfortable possessions, and they’ve shown the ability to control pace against both fast and methodical teams. That adaptability is key in navigating the bracket. Vanderbilt also benefits from continuity, plus experienced contributors who understand roles and rarely beat themselves with turnovers or poor shot decisions.

If their defense dictates games early in the bracket, a Final Four appearance becomes a realistic outcome rather than a surprise.

Losing a dominant offensive centerpiece like JuJu Watkins changes the ceiling, but it doesn’t eliminate USC’s foundation. The Trojans still possess athleticism, length on the perimeter, and a defensive identity capable of keeping them competitive against top-tier opponents.

From a résumé standpoint, USC’s schedule strength and defensive efficiency should keep them firmly within the at-large conversation. They may win differently with fewer offensive explosions & more grind-it-out results, but consistency and competitiveness across conference play are enough to secure a spot in the Field of 68.

Understanding March Madness futures odds

Sportsbooks will post odds for the NCAA women's basketball championship as early as the summer before the season starts. These odds are constantly adjusted throughout the offseason as players get hurt, suspended or are traded. Once the season begins in November, title odds will change as often as daily as teams win and lose games and as players get hurt or suspended. Sportsbooks will also adjust the March Madness futures odds based on handle and liability to certain teams.

March Madness futures odds will usually look like this:

  • Indiana Hoosiers +800

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to win $800 if the Hoosiers win the NCAA women's basketball title. If it's close to the end of the regular season or even during the tournament and college basketball has a very dominant team, you might see that a team is has a minus sign (-) ahead of its odds. 

  • South Carolina Gamecocks -165

This means that you would need to bet $165 to win $100 on a South Carolina championship.

Above we have posted the American odds for March Madness futures. However, these are easy to convert to decimal odds or fractional odds with our odds converter tool.

How to bet college basketball futures

Learning how to successfully bet on March Madness is one of the hardest things to do in sports betting. The lose-and-go-home format and the fact that a school needs to win six straight games against quality opponents means that the favorites don't always take home the title.

Another factor that comes into play is that the tournament bracket isn't set until Selection Sunday. As the college basketball season winds down, you can be pretty sure that the big favorites will slide into the bracket as top seeds. But for teams in the middle of the pack, nothing is certain.

As always when betting futures odds, be sure to look into injuries and suspensions. You might find some current value in a team that is expecting to get a key player back before March Madness begins.

Where to bet on Women's March Madness

If you're in a state that allows mobile, or online betting, make sure you know which sites are the best March Madness betting sites. Great betting sites offer sharp odds, quick payouts and are safe and secure when it comes to depositing and withdrawing your money.

Past Women's March Madness champions

Year Champion Runner-Up
2025 UConn UConn South Carolina South Carolina
2024 South Carolina South Carolina Iowa Iowa
2023 LSU LSU Iowa Iowa
2022 South Carolina South Carolina UConn UConn
2021 Stanford Stanford Arizona Arizona
2020 COVID-19 COVID-19
2019 Baylor Baylor Duke Duke
2018 Notre Dame Notre Dame Mississippi State Mississippi State
2017 South Carolina South Carolina Mississippi State Mississippi State
2016 UConn UConn Syracuse Syracuse
2015 UConn UConn Notre Dame Notre Dame
2014 UConn UConn Notre Dame Notre Dame
2013 UConn UConn Louisville Louisville
2012 Baylor Baylor Notre Dame Notre Dame 

Women's March Madness trends

• The last four winners of the tournament all entered the season as the No. 1 seed.

• Since 1982, a No. 1 seed has made the Final Four every year. 

• UConn has the most women's NCAA titles of all-time (11), including four straight years of successfully defending the championship from 2013-2016.

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Women's March Madness Odds

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Aisha Quiñones - Covers
Betting Analyst

Hailing from Harlem, New York, Aisha Quiñones joined Covers in 2024 after an illustrious career with several other major media outlets. A proud Johnnie, after graduating from the Big East basketball powerhouse St. John's University, Quiñones earned her bachelor's degree in sport management and journalism, then obtained her master's degree in media studies from The New School.

Over a span of 12+ years, Quiñones has built her portfolio as a writer, dipped her toe into on-camera work, and also been behind the scenes in producing sports content.

Despite being a New Yorker, Quiñones has always been a lifelong Los Angeles Lakers fan thanks to her mom's joy of watching Kobe Bryant play — so much of a fan to the point that Quiñones named her toy poodle after the late-great legend.

Her hometown roots stay true to her MLB and WNBA choice in teams, as a Yankees and Liberty fan, due to her uncle and grandmother's love for the sports throughout her childhood.

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