NBA Best Bets Today: Top Picks From Every Game Preview

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 11, 2026 , 04:21 PM ET • 4 min read

See why our experts are rolling with the Knicks and Nuggets tonight, and much more.

NBA Top Picks Today
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Jalen Brunson, Nikola Jokic, and Alperen Sengun.

Wednesday features a 10-game NBA slate, and our NBA top picks highlight nine featured plays from Covers analysts across the evening's action. From Washington's visit to Indiana to Oklahoma City's road matchup in Portland, find our experts' top picks and analysis below.

Check out our latest NBA picks for more predictions and betting insights.

NBA top picks at a glance (Wednesday, Nov. 11)

Matchup & time Top pick & analyst
Wizards vs. Pacers
7 p.m. ET
Anthony Davis Over 24.5 points
Quinn Allen
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
7 p.m. ET
Knicks -4.5
Ed Scimia
Celtics vs. Raptors
7 p.m. ET
Celtics -6.5
Chris Walder
Spurs vs. Bulls
8 p.m. ET
Spurs -14.5
Zak Hanshew
Nets vs. Pelicans
8 p.m. ET
Julius Randle 6+ assists
Todd Cordell
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
8 p.m. ET
Nuggets moneyline
Phil Naessens
Lakers vs. Bucks
8 p.m. ET
Jaime Jaquez Jr. 15+ points
Geoff Clark
Warriors vs. Rockets
9:30 p.m. ET
Under 221.5
Juan Carlos Blanco
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
10 p.m. ET
Thunder moneyline
Tom Oldfield
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Wizards vs. Pacers pick: Anthony Davis Over 24.5 points

  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, Ind.
  • TV: MNMT, Monumental+ (Washington), DAZN (Indiana)
  • Analyst: Quinn Allen

Top pick: Anthony Davis Over 24.5 points

Play up to 48%.

I'm riding with Davis after his 44-point performance a couple of nights ago, as the big man has now cashed the Over in four consecutive appearances. He's played at least 33 minutes in three of those games and taken at least 17 shots in each outing. Indiana has allowed 51.3 points in the paint per game over its last three contests, creating a favorable matchup for Davis to keep attacking the rim.

Read more in Allen's Wizards vs. Pacers predictions.

Cavaliers vs. Knicks pick: Knicks -4.5

  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden, New York, N.Y.
  • TV: ESPN
  • Analyst: Ed Scimia

Top pick: Knicks -4.5

After some early struggles, the New York Knicks have won four straight and covered in each of their last three games, while ranking fourth in defensive efficiency (104.5) and first in rebounding rate (55.4%). The Cleveland Cavaliers have lost four of their last five, including a 109-97 defeat to New York on Saturday in which they were outrebounded 49-40. Those extra possessions are tough to overcome against this Knicks defense, and I like New York to cover at up to -6.5.

Read more in Scimia's Cavaliers vs. Knicks predictions.

Celtics vs. Raptors pick: Celtics -6.5

  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
  • TV: NBC Sports Boston, TSN
  • Analyst: Chris Walder

Top pick: Celtics -6.5

Play up to 55% and -8.5.

The Boston Celtics are 9-2 and rank third in both offensive rating (118.5) and defensive rating (106.1). The Toronto Raptors will be hard-pressed to keep pace without Kawhi Leonard and Scottie Barnes, while Immanuel Quickley and Collin Murray-Boyles are questionable. Boston has held leads of at least 22 points in each of its last four games and is shooting a league-best 45.4% from 3-point range in its last three wins.

Read more in Walder's Celtics vs. Raptors predictions.

Spurs vs. Bulls pick: Spurs -14.5

  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • Venue: United Center, Chicago, Ill.
  • TV: DAZN, CHSN, CHSN App, SN+
  • Analyst: Zak Hanshew

Top pick: Spurs -14.5

After dropping two straight to open the season, the San Antonio Spurs have won nine consecutive games by an average of 16.1 points, including two straight by 20 or more. The Chicago Bulls have just one win and rank last in the NBA in Net Rating at -16.2, with four losses by at least 16 points. NBA MVP odds candidate Victor Wembanyama and Dylan Harper help lead a Spurs team with a clear advantage on both ends.

Read more in Hanshew's Spurs vs. Bulls predictions.

Nets vs. Pelicans pick: Julius Randle 6+ assists

  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, La.
  • TV: YES, DAZN (Brooklyn), GCSEN, WVUE-FOX, Pelicans+ (New Orleans)
  • Analyst: Todd Cordell

Top pick: Julius Randle 6+ assists

Play Over 5.5 assists to 51%.

Randle is averaging five dimes per game and has routinely cleared this line in favorable matchups. He recorded at least six assists in all three contests against teams ranking in the bottom half of the league in assists allowed, combining for 21 dimes on 36 potential assists. The Pelicans rank 26th in assists allowed and 25th in defensive rating, making this a favorable spot for Randle's playmaking.

Read more in Cordell's Nets vs. Pelicans predictions.

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies pick: Nuggets moneyline

  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • Venue: FedExForum, Memphis, Tenn.
  • TV: Altitude, Altitude+ (Denver), WATN-ABC, DAZN (Memphis)
  • Analyst: Phil Naessens

Top pick: Nuggets moneyline

Play this to 65% tonight.

The Denver Nuggets get to the line 26.4 times per game and make 80.3% of their free throws, while the Memphis Grizzlies commit 24.1 fouls per game and allow 24.4 free-throw attempts. Denver shoots 48.1% from the field and averages 14.1 turnovers, but Memphis averages only 6.2 steals. Memphis has the rebounding edge, but Denver's shooting and ability to punish opponents at the line make the Nuggets the pick on the road.

Read more in Naessens' Nuggets vs. Grizzlies predictions.

Lakers vs. Bucks pick: Jaime Jaquez Jr. 15+ points

  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wis.
  • Analyst: Geoff Clark
  • TV: Spectrum SportsNet, WCGV

Top pick: Jaime Jaquez Jr. 15+ points

15+ points below 52% is an auto-click.

Jaquez has cleared 15 points in seven of 11 games, including his 16-point performance Tuesday against the Knicks, who rank third in defensive rating. In his only no-rest game, Jaquez scored 21 points on 53.8% shooting against Philadelphia, which ranks eighth in defensive rating. If Milwaukee combo guard Tyler Herro misses a second straight game, Jaquez could see more offensive opportunities.

Read more in Clark's Lakers vs. Bucks predictions.

Warriors vs. Rockets pick: Under 221.5

  • Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Toyota Center, Houston, Tex.
  • Analyst: Juan Carlos Blanco
  • TV: ESPN

Top pick: Under 221.5

The Houston Rockets are surrendering the fourth-fewest points per home game (104.7) and rank in the Top 10 in opponent effective possession ratio (0.955). The Golden State Warriors have allowed just 102.0 points per game over their last three and rank eighth in opponent effective possession ratio when traveling (0.938). I would play the Under down to 220.5 points.

Read more in Blanco's Warriors vs. Rockets predictions.

Thunder vs. Trail Blazers pick: Thunder moneyline

  • Time: 10 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Moda Center, Portland, Ore.
  • TV: KUNP 16, KSBI, BlazerVision, Thunder App
  • Analyst: Tom Oldfield

Top pick: Thunder moneyline

Playable up to 57% or at -1.5.

The Oklahoma City Thunder are holding opponents to just 41% shooting this season, the best mark in the league, and should respond defensively after Portland's 3-point barrage last night. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Thunder's supporting playmakers should find more opportunities against a Trail Blazers team facing a quick turnaround.

OKC was 34-7 SU as a road favorite last season, and Portland has struggled on the second night of back-to-backs.

Read more in Oldfield's Thunder vs. Trail Blazers predictions.

More NBA picks

Want to build a bigger card? Check out our latest NBA picks for expert predictions, and review the NBA scoreboard and matchups for the full slate.

Check the NBA injury report before finalizing your picks.

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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