Our Cavaliers vs. Knicks computer picks highlight six player props for tonight's matchup at Madison Square Garden, where the 5-6 Cavaliers visit the 6-4 Knicks. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Donovan Mitchell, James Harden, and Karl-Anthony Towns headline the player pool once again after New York beat the Cavaliers 109-97 in their last meeting on Saturday. See what our Covers prop projections suggest for this rematch, and check out more NBA picks for tonight's slate.
Cavaliers vs Knicks computer picks
For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.
 Cavaliers |
 Knicks |
|---|---|
| Donovan Mitchell u24.5 points 53% |
Mikal Bridges o9.5 points 48% |
| Peyton Watson u1.5 threes 55% |
Mikal Bridges o1.5 threes 38% |
| James Harden o5.5 assists 46% |
Karl-Anthony Towns o1.5 threes 46% |
Percentages courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.
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Cavaliers computer picks
Donovan Mitchell Under 24.5 points (53%)
Projection: 22.71 points
Donovan Mitchell leads the Cleveland Cavaliers at 22.8 points per game, so this line sits nearly two points above his season average. Our model projects 22.71 points against the New York Knicks, 1.8 below the line. Mitchell's usage will stay high with Sam Merrill out, but a 24.5-point mark still asks him to beat his average by roughly two points on the road at MSG.
Peyton Watson Under 1.5 threes (55%)
Projection: 1.27 threes
Peyton Watson is expected to start for Cleveland because of his defense and athleticism rather than his shooting, so threes are a byproduct of his role instead of the focus. Our model projects 1.27 threes, 0.23 below the 1.5 line. Polymarket's 55% price shows the market leans toward the Under as well.
James Harden Over 5.5 assists (46%)
Projection: 6.9 assists
James Harden is the Cavaliers' assist leader at 5.7 per game, so the 5.5 line already sits just below his average. With Merrill out and Tyson questionable, Cleveland's guard depth is thin, which keeps the offense running through Harden. Our model projects 6.9 assists, a 1.4-assist cushion, and Polymarket's 46% price makes this a contrarian Over.
Knicks computer picks
Mikal Bridges Over 9.5 points (48%)
Projection: 11.44 points
With Josh Hart's status in doubt, Mikal Bridges figures to take on more responsibility in the Knicks' starting lineup. Our model projects 11.44 points, nearly two above the 9.5 line. A modest scoring bar for a starter, backed by the added opportunity, makes this Over a reasonable lean at 48%.
Mikal Bridges Over 1.5 threes (38%)
Projection: 1.65 threes
Bridges is a perimeter starter whose role includes spot-up threes, and added shot volume with Hart in doubt could help him reach this number. Our model projects 1.65 threes, a slim 0.15 above the 1.5 line. Polymarket's 38% price is the lowest on the board, so this is the biggest contrarian play of the six.
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 threes (46%)
Projection: 1.65 threes
Karl-Anthony Towns is a stretch big whose game is built on floor spacing, so a 1.5 line is within reach on a normal night. Jalen Brunson draws plenty of defensive attention, which tends to create open perimeter looks for Towns. Our model projects 1.65 threes, 0.15 above the line, and Polymarket's 46% price shows the market is split.
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