Ten games sit on the schedule across the league this evening, and I've pinpointed my best NBA against-the-spread picks for all the action.
Read more in my NBA picks for Wednesday, Nov. 11.
NBA against the spread picks: Nov. 11
For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Matchup | Pick |
|---|---|
 Wizards Pacers |
+3.5 50% |
 Celtics Raptors |
-7.5 50% |
 Cavaliers Knicks |
-4.5 50% |
 Nets Pelicans |
-4.5 50% |
 Spurs Bulls |
-15.5 50% |
 Lakers Bucks |
-12.5 50% |
 Nuggets Grizzlies |
+4.5 53% |
 Magic Jazz |
-4.5 50% |
 Warriors Rockets |
+6.5 53% |
 Thunder Trail Blazers |
+1.5 53% |
Percentages courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.
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Expert NBA ATS picks: Nov. 11
Wizards vs. Pacers: Wizards +3.5
The Indiana Pacers have been dreadful at home this season, going 0-5. The Washington Wizards haven't been much better on the road, going 2-5, but the visitors have Anthony Davis healthy again, giving them an advantage inside against a depleted Pacers squad. I'll take Washington with the points.
Celtics vs. Raptors: Celtics -7.5
The Boston Celtics are rolling, going 9-2 while ranking first in net rating, fifth in 3-point FG%, and second in fewest points allowed. They just blew out the 76ers by 22, and the Toronto Raptors are severely shorthanded. Scottie Barnes and Kawhi Leonard are both out. Boston will cruise.
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: Knicks -4.5
The Cleveland Cavaliers just lost to the New York Knicks by 12 points on Sunday, then also fell to the lowly Hornets on Monday. Although Cleveland heads into this matchup with more rest, New York has won four straight, and the hosts have a clear advantage on the offensive glass. The Cavs are also just 1-4 on the road.
Nets vs. Pelicans: Pelicans -4.5
Spurs vs. Bulls: Spurs -15.5
This is a massive spread, but there's a significant gap between these teams. The San Antonio Spurs are 5-0 on the road and have won their last two games by 22 and 26 points, respectively. The Chicago Bulls have the worst net rating in the league (-15.5) and also sit dead last in points allowed, giving up 129.3 per night. Expect a convincing Spurs victory.
Lakers vs. Bucks: Lakers -12.5
The Los Angeles Lakers have been an offensive juggernaut, averaging a league-best 122.1 PPG and also ranking top-five in FG% and 3-point FG%. The Milwaukee Bucks are 27th on both ends of the floor and remain without their best player, Tyler Herro. I expect L.A. to cook.
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: Grizzlies +4.5
I'm backing the Memphis Grizzlies as a home underdog. Their +6.9 net rating is considerably better than the Denver Nuggets' +0.8, and the Grizzlies are shooting more efficiently while dominating the offensive glass. They also just blew out the Raptors, as Denver lost to Houston.
Magic vs. Jazz: Magic -4.5
The Orlando Magic have struggled offensively this season, but the Utah Jazz have been even worse defensively, allowing 117.6 PPG. Orlando has the stronger defense and is coming off a much-needed victory over Sacramento. With the Jazz missing several key contributors, including Lauri Markkanen, I expect the Magic to take care of business on the road.
Warriors vs. Rockets: Warriors +6.5
The Golden State Warriors are playing excellent basketball, winning six straight games, and their offensive efficiency has been outstanding. Golden State ranks second in effective field goal percentage (57.3%) and has virtually the same net rating as the Houston Rockets. With both teams sitting at 8-3, getting 6.5 points with the Warriors is too appealing to pass up. It will be a close game.
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: Blazers +1.5
The Portland Trail Blazers just beat the Oklahoma City Thunder by 20 points on Tuesday, and I'm backing the Blazers again in this rematch. They're averaging 8.3 more PPG than the Thunder and rank third in effective field goal percentage. With OKC missing several rotation players, Portland has an excellent opportunity to secure another home victory.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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