The Indiana Pacers are a slim 2.5-point favorite tonight as they welcome the Washington Wizards to Gainbridge Fieldhouse, with tip-off at 7 p.m. ET.
With Anthony Davis back, my Wizards vs. Pacers prediction targets Washington to hand Indiana yet another home loss.
Read more in my NBA picks for Wednesday, Nov. 11.
Wizards vs Pacers prediction: Wizards +2.5
Play up to 55%.
Neither team is thriving: The Washington Wizards are in the midst of a four-game losing streak, while the Indiana Pacers have dropped back-to-back contests.
However, Indiana has been dreadful at home, going 0-5 this season, and the Pacers remain without Tyrese Haliburton.
Washington, meanwhile, has Anthony Davis back in the lineup, and he's been putting up big numbers. AD just dropped 44 points and grabbed 13 rebounds on Monday, giving the Wizards a clear advantage inside with his scoring and presence on the glass.
Indiana is also dead last in offensive rebounding percentage.
With both teams sporting very similar net ratings, I expect a close game here, but the visitors will come out on top.
COVERS INTEL: The Pacers are allowing opposing forwards to score 50.5 points per game this season, the fourth-most in the NBA. Indiana is also surrendering 22.6 rebounds per game to forwards, highlighting a favorable matchup for Davis.
Wizards vs Pacers combo
Neither team has been particularly explosive offensively, with Washington averaging 108.1 points per game and Indiana scoring 111.4. The Wizards have also hit the Under in eight of their last 10 games, while the Pacers have done so in seven.
Kyshawn George is shooting 36.9% from downtown this season, and he's cashed the Over in triples made in six straight contests.
He's attempted a minimum of seven treys in five of those games, and the increase in volume supports another 2+ makes tonight against a poor Pacers defense.
Wizards vs Pacers combo
- Wizards +2.5
- Under 227.5
- Kyshawn George Over 1.5 threes
Wizards vs Pacers player props
TOP PICK
Wizards player prop: Anthony Davis Over 24.5 points
Play up to 48%.
I'm riding with Davis for my top pick. As previously mentioned, he just showed out for 44 points a couple of nights ago, and the big man has now cashed the Over in four consecutive appearances.
He's played at least 33 minutes in three of those games and has taken at least 17 shots in each outing.
AD has the hot hand, and I expect him to lead the offense tonight against a Pacers squad that has allowed 51.3 points in the paint per game over their last three contests.
And as we know, Indiana is vulnerable defensively overall, creating a favorable matchup for Davis. He'll have no shortage of opportunities to attack the rim.
Pacers player prop: Aaron Nesmith Over 14.5 points
Play up to 53%.
Aaron Nesmith is coming off an impressive 18-point performance against Dallas, where he drained four triples on 10 attempts. The 27-year-old has now attempted at least 11 field goals in three straight games, including 16 against Memphis.
With Haliburton sidelined, Nesmith has opportunities to take on a bigger offensive role. He's also played at least 27 minutes in four consecutive outings, giving him plenty of chances to produce. Nesmith has hit the Over in points in two of his last three.
Washington is a defensive liability, making this an ideal matchup. They've also allowed nearly 60 points in the paint per game across the last three games.
I'll back Nesmith to score 15+.
- Top picks: 11-11, -2.47 units
- Combos: 1-20, -10.50 units
- Props: 14-13, -2.42 units
Wizards vs Pacers odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Wizards +2.5 | Pacers -2.5
- Over/Under: Over 227.5 | Under 227.5
- Moneyline: Wizards 43% | Pacers 58%
Check out the latest NBA odds before tonight's Wizards vs. Pacers matchup.
Wizards vs Pacers trend
The Under is 5-0 in Pacers' last five home games. Find more NBA betting trends.
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How to watch Wizards vs Pacers
| Location | Gainbridge Fieldhouse |
| Date | Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2026 |
| Tip off | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV | DAZN-IND, Monumental+ |
Wizards vs Pacers latest injuries
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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