Cavaliers vs Knicks Prediction, Picks & Best Bet for Tonight's NBA Game

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Nov 11, 2026 , 01:20 PM ET • 4 min read

The Knicks are dominating on the defensive end and on the glass again this season, and our expert says that will make the difference tonight against Cleveland.

nba

Match starts: 28 mins
Evan Mobley Cleveland Cavaliers Karl-Anthony Towns New York Knicks NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Evan Mobley Cleveland Cavaliers Karl-Anthony Towns New York Knicks NBA

The New York Knicks (-4.5) will look to extend a four-game winning streak as they host the Cleveland Cavaliers on Wednesday night.

New York is playing more like the team that won a championship last season, and I like them to cover in my Cavaliers vs. Knicks prediction.

Let's take a look at all my free NBA picks for Wednesday, Nov. 11.

 TOP PICK
Cavaliers vs Knicks prediction: Knicks -4.5

After some early struggles, the New York Knicks look like the team that won a championship last season, winning four straight and covering in each of their last three games.

The Knicks are now fourth in defensive efficiency (104.5), holding opponents to just 94.3 ppg over their last four games, and lead the NBA in rebounding rate (55.4%). 

The Cleveland Cavaliers have lost four of their last five, which includes a 109-97 loss to New York on Saturday. In that game, the Knicks outrebounded the Cavs 49-40, including grabbing 16 offensive boards. 

All those extra possessions are tough for anyone to overcome against this Knicks defense. I like New York to cover at up to -6.5 tonight.

Covers COVERS INTEL: The Cavaliers rank 29th in offense from offensive rebounding (-2.3) and 26th in defense from rebounding (-2.1), numbers that play incredibly badly against the Knicks.

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Cavaliers vs Knicks combo

The Knicks have not only been outstanding on defense, but they've also played slowly this season, ranking in the bottom three in the NBA in pace stats. This has helped the Under go 8-2 in New York's games so far this year.

Cleveland has also hit the Under in five of their last eight games, and I like targeting it tonight at a reasonable total.

Even while backing the Under, I still like Jalen Brunson to score 25+ points for the Knicks. Brunson is averaging 25.9 ppg for the season, and went for 31 points on 12-of-25 shooting against Cleveland on Saturday. I'm expecting similar output from the Knicks star tonight.

Cavaliers vs Knicks combo

  • Knicks -4.5
  • Under 222.5
  • Jalen Brunson 25+ points

Cavaliers vs Knicks player props


Cavaliers player prop: Evan Mobley 2+ threes made

While Evan Mobley has never been a sharpshooter, he has steadily increased his three-point volume throughout his career. Those numbers have reached a new high this season, as he's chucking up 4.2 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Shockingly, Mobley had hit those threes at a 50% rate so far this year. That won't keep up, but he's been pretty solid from deep for a big map, shooting 37%+ in two of his last three full seasons.

Mobley has hit multiple threes in six of his last 10 games, and I think he offers great value to hit that target tonight at up to 45%.


Knicks player prop: Karl-Anthony Towns 35+ points + rebounds + assists

Karl-Anthony Towns is off to an outstanding start for the Knicks this year, averaging 20.9 ppg while leading the NBA with 13.8 rebounds per contest. That's powered him to an average of 37.8 PRA per game on the season.

Towns has been extremely consistent in his rebounding, snagging 10+ boards in all 10 games he's played this season. Add in the fact that he put up 29 points against the Cavaliers on Saturday, and he's putting up numbers that should get him well over this total.

I like Towns to get 35+ PRA at up to 66% tonight.

Ed Scimia's 2026 Transparency Record
  • Top picks: 5-5, -0.15 units
  • Combos: 1-9, -3.94 units
  • Props: 3-5, -2.27 units
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Cavaliers vs Knicks odds

For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.

  • Spread: Cavaliers +4.5 | Knicks -4.5
  • Over/Under: Over 222.5 | Under 222.5
  • Moneyline: Cavaliers 37% | Knicks 64%

For the full slate of NBA matchups, check out our NBA odds board!

Cavaliers vs Knicks trend

The Knicks are 5-0 ATS in their last five games against Cleveland. Find more NBA betting trends.

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How to watch Cavaliers vs Knicks

Location Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Date Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2026
Tip off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV NBATV, DIRECTV

Cavaliers vs Knicks latest injuries

Check out our NBA injuries page for updates on every team. 

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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