My Celtics vs. Raptors prediction is rolling with the side that's accumulated a ton of positive momentum, even though the Celtics are on the road with no rest.
The Boston Celtics and Toronto Raptors are on opposite trajectories: one has ascended to the top of the standings, while the other continues to try to weather a slew of injuries.
Toronto enters as a 6.5-point underdog on the spread for a 7 p.m. ET tipoff at Scotiabank Arena. Let's dive into my analysis and NBA picks for Wednesday, Nov. 11.
TOP PICK
Celtics vs Raptors prediction: Celtics -6.5
Play up to 55% and -8.5.
The Boston Celtics have a legitimate claim to being the best team in basketball, boasting a 9-2 record and standing as the only team ranked in the top three in both offense (118.5 points per 100 possessions, third) and defense (106.1 points allowed per 100 possessions, third).
The Toronto Raptors will be hard-pressed to keep pace without Kawhi Leonard (knee) and Scottie Barnes (groin), while Immanuel Quickley and Collin Murray-Boyles are questionable.
Boston has held leads of at least 22 points in each of its last four games, the last three of which were on the road, so its dominance travels. While Toronto managed to overcome double-digit deficits in its last two victories, tempting fate to do so again versus a more formidable opponent that's shooting a league-best 45.4% from 3-point range in its last three wins is ludicrous.
COVERS INTEL: The Celtics rank second overall in 3-pointers made at 16.2, while the Raptors are well back at 27th with only 11.2. When converting more triples than their opponent in 2026-27, the Celtics are 4-1 straight up and against the spread.
Celtics vs Raptors combo
Perhaps surprisingly, the Celtics currently own one of the worst records in the Over/Under market at 3-8, with six Unders in their last seven outings. They're holding opponents to just 104 points per contest (second), and no team has exceeded 102 points against them in the last four games, which helps explain this record.
Ja'Kobe Walter is shooting just 32.1% from the field and 27% from behind the arc in his last six appearances, none of which saw him finish with more than 12 points. A prop of 12.5 points for Wednesday is surprisingly generous considering the slump he's currently in.
Celtics vs Raptors combo
- Celtics -6.5
- Under 216.5
- Ja'Kobe Walter Under 12.5 points
Celtics vs Raptors player props
Celtics player prop: Payton Pritchard Over 12.5 points
Play up to 58% and 14.5 points.
There's just something about competing against the Raptors that brings out the best in Payton Pritchard, as he's averaged 21.6 points, 5.3 assists, and 4.6 rebounds the last seven times he's seen his Atlantic Division rival.
Of those seven outings, the 28-year-old point guard scored more than 12.5 points all seven times, finishing with no less than 15 points and reaching at least 20 on four occasions.
Even though he's primarily a backup after starting 50 of his 79 games a season ago, the upside for Pritchard here remains high. He's still seeing a healthy chunk of minutes at 27 per contest, and could see an extended run if Boston conjures up another blowout.
Raptors player prop: Jakob Poeltl Over 11.5 points
Play up to 55% and 12.5 points.
Toronto has put more of an emphasis on getting Jakob Poeltl involved on offense in recent games. Now some of this surge can be attributed to missing bodies, but going from averaging 1.8 shot attempts in his first four appearances to 10.3 in his last four can't be ignored.
The 7-footer has made 22 of his last 31 shots at a 71% conversion rate, and has scored 18 or more points in each of the last two games.
The potential return of Murray-Boyles must be taken into account here, but it's still nice to see the Raptors trying to build some confidence in their starting center after such a second-rate start to the campaign. It's best to ride the Poeltl wave for now, as he'll be needed to combat Boston's larger frontcourt options like Neemias Queta and Mitchell Robinson.
- Top picks: 9-13, -5.99 units
- Combos: 4-18, +3.96 units
- Props: 21-21, -3.10 units
Celtics vs Raptors odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
- Spread: Celtics -6.5 (49%) | Raptors +6.5 (53%)
- Over/Under: Over 215.5 (52%) | Under 215.5 (49%)
- Moneyline: Celtics (71%) | Raptors (30%)
Check the latest NBA odds for more on tonight's Celtics vs. Raptors matchup.
Celtics vs Raptors trend
The Under is 4-0 in the Celtics' last four games as a favorite. Find more NBA betting trends.
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How to watch Celtics vs Raptors
| Location | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario |
| Date | Wednesday, Nov. 11, 2026 |
| Tip off | 7 p.m. ET |
| TV | TSN, Peacock |
Celtics vs Raptors latest injuries
Check out our NBA injuries page for updates on every team.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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