The San Antonio Spurs have a chance to deliver the knockout punch in Game 6 against the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Led by the dynamic duo of Victor Wembanyama and De’Aaron Fox, San Antonio brings a dangerous one-two punch.
While Wemby grabs the spotlight, my Spurs vs. Timberwolves predictions see Fox landing the decisive blow that could send Minnesota packing.
My NBA picks are taking Fox to top his scoring prop on Friday, May 15.
Tip-off is set for 9:30 p.m. ET from the Target Center in Minneapolis, with the game airing on Prime Video.
- UPDATE: Added +825 SGP & who will win prediction.
Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 6 prediction today
Who will win Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 6?
Spurs: San Antonio closes out this Western Conference semifinal set with a road win. Minnesota is running out of time and struggling to find solutions for a deep Spurs attack.
Top star Anthony Edwards is playing on one good leg, and his support cast either can’t hit a shot (Julius Randle) or can’t stay on the floor due to foul troubles (Jaden McDaniels).
Books have the Spurs as road chalk, and I agree. San Antonio puts the Wolves away in Game 6.
Spurs vs Timberwolves best bet: De’Aaron Fox Over 16.5 points (-115)
Despite playing with sore ankles in Game 5, De’Aaron Fox topped his points prop for the third straight outing.
Fox scored 18 points with the bulk of those buckets in and around the key.
Fox is second on the team in points in the paint (9.0) and sees a clearer path to the rim if the Minnesota Timberwolves continue to tinker with their rotation.
Minnesota played rim protector Rudy Gobert a playoff-low 23 minutes in Game 5, opting to go small. With Victor Wembanyama in high screen action, Fox finds easier looks inside with Gobert gone and an extra day to rest his wheels.
Projections sit at 17+ with a ceiling of 20 points.
COVERS INTEL: Fox has done well vs. Minnesota guards Ayo Dosunmu (injured) and Mike Conley (old) in this series. Jaden McDaniels is a rare T-Wolves player having success against Fox (34.5 FG%), and he’s expected to match up on Wembanyama more in Game 6.
Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 6 same-game parlay
The San Antonio Spurs had six players score at least 12 points in the Game 5 win, and that depth is wearing down Minnesota while exhausting all defensive counters.
The T-Wolves just don’t have the horses to keep up with that offense, especially with Anthony Edwards not at 100%, and the T-Wolves’ poor outside shooting is unable to close the gap.
Wembanyama keeps topping his rebounding props, snatching at least 15 boards in four of the first five games. The only game he didn’t top that prop is when he was tossed 12 minutes into Game 4.
San Antonio’s paint protection is forcing Minnesota into low-percentage looks, and that’s creating ample rebounding opportunities for the 7-footer.
Spurs vs Timberwolves SGP
- Spurs moneyline
- De’Aaron Fox Over 16.5 points
- Victor Wembanyama Over 13.5 rebounds
Our "from downtown" SGP: Star Fox
The T-Wolves are suffering from bad starts versus the Spurs, and head coach Chris Finch told reporters they need to do a better job of being patient and creating better shots. That could slow things down in Game 6.
On top of Fox getting to the paint against a smaller Minnesota rotation, he should also find opportunities to find teammates on drive-and-kick and screen-and-roll options with Wemby.
Spurs vs Timberwolves SGP
- Spurs -4.5
- Under 218.5
- De’Aaron Fox Over 16.5 points
- De’Aaron Fox Over 5.5 assists
Spurs vs Timberwolves odds for Game 6 today
- Spread: Spurs -4.5 (-110) | Timberwolves +4.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Spurs -190 | Timberwolves +160
- Over/Under: Over 218.5 (-110) | Under 218.5 (-110)
Spurs vs Timberwolves betting trend to know
San Antonio has hit the moneyline in 30 of its last 40 away games (+26.65 Units / 20% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Timberwolves.
How to watch Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 6
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Friday, May 15, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Prime Video |
Spurs vs Timberwolves latest injuries
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