Spurs vs Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's NBA Playoffs Game 2

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: May 20, 2026 , 07:08 AM ET • 4 min read

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander came out flat in Game 1 but picked up the pace and his aggression in the second half. Jason Logan likes SGA to pick up where he left off, taking the MVP to top his scoring prop in Game 2.

NBA

Match starts: 12 hrs
SA
63 %
OKC
37 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander o28.5  Points Scored (-110) Shai Gilgeous-Alexander o28.5 Points Scored (-110)
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Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) drives the ball in the third quarter against the San Antonio Spurs

We knew the Western Conference finals between the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs were going to be good. But hot damn.

A double-overtime thriller in the series opener sets the tone for Game 2 tonight, with Oklahoma City on high alert after losing home court.

Our Spurs vs. Thunder predictions call on the MVP to lift OKC, with my NBA picks taking Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to bounce back from an off night to top his scoring prop on Wednesday, May 20.

Spurs vs Thunder Game 2 prediction

Spurs vs Thunder best bet: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 28.5 points (-110)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander deferred to his Oklahoma City Thunder teammates when L.A. sold out to stop him in Round 2.

He doesn’t have that luxury versus the San Antonio Spurs.

Gilgeous-Alexander was 1-for-5 with four points in the first half of Game 1 and quickly realized backup wasn’t coming. 

After just one shot inside of 15 feet in the opening half, SGA was more aggressive attacking the rim. 

All nine of his 2-point FGAs in the 2H came within 15 feet — seven in the paint — and he scored 18 points in the half before OT.

NBA player props projections sit closer to 30 points for a more aggressive SGA.

Covers COVERS INTEL: SGA's Game 1 usage was down to 28.2%, including an uncharacteristically low 19.5% in the first half of Monday’s series opener.

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Spurs vs Thunder Game 2 same-game parlay

A long layoff between series left the Thunder a little stiff in the opening 24 minutes of Game 1, and yet OKC stuck around. This time, Oklahoma City is playing with pressure after letting Game 1 slip away. The Thunder are 13-5 SU off a loss this season and 8-0 off a loss in the playoffs over the past two postseason runs.

Victor Wembanyama turned away three shots in Game 1, but OKC played passively in the opening 24 minutes and didn’t attack the inside at its normal rate. Business picked up in the second half, and the Thunder got aggressive, with all three of Wemby’s swats coming in the second half and OT periods.

Spurs vs Thunder SGP

  • Thunder moneyline
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 28.5 points
  • Victor Wembanyama Over 3.5 blocks

Spurs vs Thunder odds for Game 2

  • Spread: Spurs +6.5 | Thunder -6.5
  • Moneyline: Spurs +205 | Thunder -250
  • Over/Under: Over 216 | Under 216

Spurs vs Thunder betting trend to know

Oklahoma City is 33-7 SU and 22-17-1 ATS off a loss the past two season, including 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS off a playoff loss in that span. Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Thunder.

How to watch Spurs vs Thunder Game 2

Location Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Date Wednesday, May 20, 2026
Tip-off 8:30 p.m. ET
TV NBC

Spurs vs Thunder latest injuries

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason's analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers' flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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