The Detroit Pistons leaned on their size in Game 5 to keep this series alive, but that kind of emphasis typically invites adjustments in the postseason.
If nothing else, the Orlando Magic shouldn’t allow the boards to be dominated again.
My Pistons vs. Magic predictions and NBA picks focus on where that adjustment will show up most in Game 6 on Friday, May 1.
Our best Pistons vs Magic SGP for Game 6
SGP leg #1: Jalen Duren Under 13.5 points (-112)
Jalen Duren isn’t getting anywhere near his usual offensive workload in this series. The Detroit Pistons center hasn’t cleared 12 points in a game after averaging 19.5 in the regular season, largely because he’s taking just 7.6 shots per game compared to 11.5.
Even with four second-chance points on five offensive rebounds in Game 5, Duren finished with just 12 points.
Don’t expect him to shine offensively. The postseason isn’t built for players like Duren to score in volume.
SGP leg #2: Jalen Duren Under 9.5 rebounds (-155)
Duren has yet to reach double-digit rebounds in this series after averaging 10.5 per game in the regular season. Even with five offensive boards in Game 5, he finished with just nine total rebounds.
This leg is heavily juiced, but that doesn’t deter this same-game parlay, as the Orlando Magic’s Game 6 adjustment should further limit Duren’s rebounding.
SGP leg #3: Magic +3 (-110)
If Duren is slowed in Game 6, Orlando should continue its trend of going 4-1 against the spread in this series, exceeding bookmakers’ expectations by more than seven points per game — even including the lone ATS loss.
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Get Douglas Farmer's full breakdown of this game, including his best bet, plus the latest NBA odds, injuries, and betting trends, in his Pistons vs Magic predictions for Game 6.
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