Our NBA player prop projections are all set for tonight's Game 3 matchup between the Denver Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves, with the model flagging several high-value opportunities.
By breaking down the data and stacking it up against current market lines, we’ve identified where the strongest edges lie.
These Nuggets vs. Timberwolves predictions aren’t based on feel — they’re backed by the numbers.
If you’re building out your card, here are the model’s top NBA picks for Thursday, April 23.
Nuggets vs Timberwolves computer picks for Game 3
 Nuggets |
 Timberwolves |
|---|---|
| Murray o26.5 points -105 |
Randle o19.5 points -115 |
| Hardaway Jr. o1.5 threes +150 |
Edwards o5.5 rebounds -150 |
| Jokic o13.5 rebounds -120 |
Edwards o3.5 threes +122 |
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Nuggets Game 3 computer picks
Jamal Murray Over 26.5 points (-105)
Projection: 26.7 points
When it comes to putting points on the board, the Denver Nuggets have been unmatched, leading the league with 121.9 points per game.
Jamal Murray has been a driving force behind that firepower, clearing this 25.5-point line in six of his last 10 outings.
Tim Hardaway Jr. Over 1.5 threes (+150)
Projection: 2.1 3-pointers
The Nuggets have been the league’s most efficient team from beyond the arc this season, and Tim Hardaway Jr. has played a key role in keeping that edge.
Hardaway has cleared his 1.5 made threes line in six of his last 10 games, as the veteran continues to deliver from deep.
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Nikola Jokic Over 13.5 rebounds (-120)
Projection: 14.9 rebounds
Nikola Jokic makes rebounding look effortless, and Game 3 should be no exception.
Expect an even more aggressive effort on the glass after a quiet Game 2 — one the Nuggets will be eager to move past — as the reigning force in the paint looks to swing the series back in their favor.
Jokic has also been clearing his rebounding line consistently, eclipsing 13.5 boards in seven of his last 10 games.
Timberwolves Game 3 computer picks
Julius Randle Over 19.5 points (-115)
Projection: 20.4 points
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been playing at a fast clip at home over the last 20 games, ranking among the league’s most up-tempo teams, and they’ll look to keep that pace rolling in this matchup.
They draw a similarly high-speed opponent in the Denver Nuggets, one of the fastest visiting offenses over the last 10 games, setting the stage for an increased number of possessions and more scoring chances for Julius Randle to stay productive within Minnesota’s offense.
Anthony Edwards Over 5.5 rebounds (-150)
Projection: 5.54 rebounds
The T-Wolves have been dominant on the offensive glass at home, ranking near the top of the league with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over their last five outings.
Anthony Edwards also brings strong rebounding production that exceeds that mark, and with Game 3 back in Minnesota, expect him to be especially active on the boards, fueled by the energy of the home crowd.
Anthony Edwards Over 3.5 threes (+122)
Projection: 3.7 3-pointers
There’s no question Anthony Edwards will come into Game 3 with plenty of energy after helping the Minnesota Timberwolves steal a win in Denver.
That momentum should carry into his perimeter game, where he’ll look to bounce back from recent misses after finishing with Under 3.5 threes per game in eight of his last 10 outings. He'll change that luck for tonight.
How to watch Nuggets vs Timberwolves Game 3
| Location | Target Center, Minneapolis, MN |
| Date | Friday, April 23, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Prime Video |
Not intended for use in MA.
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