Nuggets vs Bucks Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Farmer's prediction: Expect a solid scoring night for Aaron Gordon.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Jan 23, 2026 • 17:23 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 3 hrs
MIL
34 %
DEN
66 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Aaron Gordon o17.5  Points Scored (-125) Aaron Gordon o17.5 Points Scored (-125)
Read Analysis
Aaron Gordon of the Denver Nuggets NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Denver Nuggets forward Aaron Gordon (32).

The Denver Nuggets have kept winning despite Nikola Jokic’s absence, one of the more impressive stories of the NBA season.

However, the roster attrition may be too much to overcome on the second night of a back-to-back against the Milwaukee Bucks.

My Nuggets vs. Bucks predictions will lean on the only healthy piece of the Denver starting five.

Read more in my NBA picks for Friday, January 23. 

Nuggets vs Bucks prediction

Nuggets vs Bucks best bet: Aaron Gordon Over 17.5 points (-115)

The Denver Nuggets are still considering making an honest effort against the Milwaukee Bucks tonight, the second half of a back-to-back that is taxing an already injury-riddled roster.

They could sit their few healthy starters, but the injury report suggests both Aaron Gordon and Jamal Murray may play.

Of Denver’s true five starters, only Gordon is as generous as “probable” tonight.

He has cleared this prop in four of his nine games since returning from his own injury, and Murray’s questionable status tonight lends more value to this prop.

Murray has both hamstring and hip concerns. The smart move would be to rest him tonight.

At that point, the offensive emphasis must be on Gordon.

Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

Nuggets vs Bucks same-game parlay

Aaron Gordon Over 17.5 points

Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 28.5 points

Bucks -8

After a strong start to his return from a calf worry, Giannis Antetokounmpo has cooled off, falling short of this prop in his last four games.

But if Gordon is all of Denver’s reliable offense, how much effort can he pour into defense? Who then will slow down Giannis? 

Our "from downtown" SGP: Bucks Roll!

Aaron Gordon Over 17.5 points

Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 28.5 points

Bucks -8

Under 214.5

Denver should ease up as this game goes along, the back-to-back exacting a cost and thus dooming this game to an Under.

Nuggets vs Bucks odds

  • Spread: Nuggets +8 (-110) | Bucks -8 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Nuggets +225 | Bucks -275
  • Over/Under: Over 214.5 (-110) | Under 214.5 (-110)

Nuggets vs Bucks betting trend to know

Milwaukee has hit the game total Under in 21 of its last 30 games (+11.10 Units / 34% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Nuggets vs. Bucks.

How to watch Nuggets vs Bucks

Location Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Date Friday, January 23, 2026
Tip-off 9:30 p.m. ET
TV Prime Video

Nuggets vs Bucks latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

Popular Content

Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo