The 2026 NBA Rookie of the Year odds race is hitting the holiday season, No. 1-overall pick Cooper Flagg remains the clear odds-on favorite.
After becoming the first 18-year-old ever to score 40+ points in a game, Flagg sits at -190 (an implied probability of 65.52%), with Charlotte's Kon Knueppel the only player shorter than 12/1.
NBA Rookie of the Year odds
| Player |  |
|---|---|
 Cooper Flagg |
-190 |
 Kon Knueppel |
+175 |
 Derik Queen |
+1200 |
 V.J. Edgecombe |
+2500 |
 Cedric Coward |
+5000 |
 Dylan Harper |
+7500 |
| Jeremiah Fears |
+7500 |
 Ace Bailey |
+20000 |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner |
+50000 |
 Tre Johnson |
+50000 |
 Egor Demin |
+50000 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. |
+50000 |
Latest NBA Rookie of the Year betting splits
Highest ticket percentage
• V.J. Edgecombe 19.4%
• Ace Bailey 13.0%
• Cooper Flagg 10.6%
Highest handle percentage
• V.J. Edgecombe 29.5%
• Cooper Flagg 18.7%
• Kon Knueppel 12.0%
Biggest liability
• V.J. Edgecombe
Data courtesy of BetMGM.
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NBA ROY betting trends
Here are some trends to keep in mind when betting on NBA Rookie of the Year:
- The No. 1 pick has won Rookie of the Year four times in the past 10 seasons.
- Bigs (PF/C) haven't had much success in ROY recently, with just four wins in the last 20 seasons.
- Only one ROY winner this century (Malcolm Brogdon, 36th, 2016) was drafted outside of the lottery.
- The Rookie of the Year has been drafted in the Top 5 in 16 of the past 20 seasons.
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NBA Rookie of the Year history
| Year | NBA ROY Winner | Opening Odds | Pick No. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Stephon Castle | +1200 | 4 |
| 2023-24 | Victor Wembanyama | -145 | 1 |
| 2022-23 | Paolo Banchero | +200 | 1 |
| 2021-22 | Scottie Barnes | +1100 | 4 |
| 2020-21 | LaMelo Ball | +400 | 3 |
| 2019-20 | Ja Morant | +250 | 2 |
| 2018-19 | Luka Doncic | +250 | 3 |
| 2017-18 | Ben Simmons | +225 | 1 |
| 2016-17 | Malcolm Brogdon | N/A | 36 |
| 2015-16 | Karl-Anthony Towns | +450 | 1 |
| 2014-15 | Andrew Wiggins | +400 | 1 |
| 2013-14 | Michael Carter-Williams | +1200 | 11 |
| 2012-13 | Damian Lillard | +500 | 6 |
| 2011-12 | Kyrie Irving | +500 | 1 |
| 2010-11 | Blake Griffin | +200 | 1 |
| 2009-10 | Tyreke Evans | +700 | 4 |
| 2008-09 | Derrick Rose | +350 | 1 |
| 2007-08 | Kevin Durant | -200 | 2 |
| 2006-07 | Brandon Roy | +300 | 6 |
| 2005-06 | Chris Paul | N/A | 4 |
| 2004-05 | Emeka Okafor | N/A | 2 |
NBA Rookie of the Year odds FAQ
San Antonio guard Stephon Castle is the current favorite to win Rookie of the Year, followed by Alex Sarr and Zaccharie Risacher.
San Antonio's Victor Wembanyama won the 2024 NBA ROY.
The first overall pick has won ROY 22 times since 1953.
Yes, three times in fact. The award was shared by Elton Brand and Steve Francis (2000), Grant Hill and Jason Kidd (1995) and Dave Cowens and Geoff Petrie (1971).
Spurs guard Stephon Castle, at his current -650 odds, is predicted to win with an 87% implied probability.
