Cameron Boozer of the Memphis Grizzlies is the early favorite in the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year odds race, but he has plenty of company.
Yaxel Lendeborg leads the next top tier of contenders at Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps, followed by Darius Acuff Jr.
Track the latest NBA Rookie of the Year odds movement below, and find more futures markets in our NBA odds.
🏀 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Player |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Cameron Boozer |
31% |
 Yaxel Lendeborg |
28% |
 Darius Acuff Jr. |
19% |
 AJ Dybantsa |
11% |
 Caleb Wilson |
9% |
 Darryn Peterson |
3% |
 Aday Mara |
1% |
Odds last updated on 11-5. Odds from Polymarket. Use our Polymarket promo code (COVERS) for a $25 trading bonus when you deposit at least $10 as a new user.
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2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year odds favorites
Cameron Boozer (31%)
Boozer is the clear favorite in this market, not only because of the individual numbers he's putting up but also because of the impact he's having on the Memphis Grizzlies' success.
I expect Memphis to remain competitive in the Western Conference standings, and with Boozer's role firmly established and his usage unlikely to change, he should continue to separate himself from the field and remain the outright favorite in this market.
Yaxel Lendeborg (28%)
Yaxel Lendeborg might single-handedly extend the competitive window of Stephen Curry's final few seasons with the Golden State Warriors. That's how impressive he's been, and he could be a major reason this team remains competitive in the Western Conference.
However, two factors could significantly influence Lendeborg's impact over the course of the season: whether Jimmy Butler returns to the lineup and whether Golden State uses Kristaps Porzingis' contract and its draft capital to acquire another superstar.
Either scenario could dramatically change Lendeborg's role within the offense and, consequently, his ability to continue putting up monster box scores.
Darius Acuff Jr. (19%)
The individual numbers are extremely impressive, and the highlight packages he puts together night after night are certainly eye-catching. However, I worry that voters will view his production as empty calories given Sacramento's struggles.
The Kings are likely to finish near the bottom of the Western Conference standings, and when voters compare Acuff's numbers to those of Lendeborg and Boozer, who should be putting up big numbers on considerably more successful teams, I think it'll be difficult for Acuff to earn enough support to win this award.
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2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year opening odds
Here are the Rookie of the Year odds when the market first opened following the NBA draft.
- Cameron Boozer: 22% probability
- Darryn Peterson: 14% probability
- AJ Dybantsa: 14% probability
- Darius Acuff Jr.: 12% probability
- Caleb Wilson: 8% probability
- Mikel Brown Jr.: 5.5% probability
- Keaton Wagler: 4.5% probability
- Morez Johnson Jr.: 2.4% probability
- Yaxel Lendeborg: 2% probability
- Kingston Flemings: 1.9% probability
- Brayden Burries: 1.1% probability
Opening market probabilities courtesy of Polymarket.
NBA ROY trends
- Only one Rookie of the Year winner this century — Malcolm Brogdon, the 36th pick in 2016 draft — was drafted outside the lottery.
- The Rookie of the Year winner has been selected within the first five picks in nine of the past 10 seasons.
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NBA Rookie of the Year history
| Year | NBA ROY winner | Opening odds | Pick No. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 |  Cooper Flagg |
69% | 1 |
| 2024-25 |  Stephon Castle |
8% | 4 |
| 2023-24 | Victor Wembanyama |
59% | 1 |
| 2022-23 |  Paolo Banchero |
33% | 1 |
| 2021-22 |  Scottie Barnes |
8% | 4 |
| 2020-21 |  LaMelo Ball |
20% | 3 |
| 2019-20 | Ja Morant |
29% | 2 |
| 2018-19 | Luka Doncic |
29% | 3 |
| 2017-18 |  Ben Simmons |
31% | 1 |
| 2016-17 |  Malcolm Brogdon |
N/A | 36 |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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NBA Rookie of the Year odds FAQ
The first overall pick has won ROY 24 times since 1953.
Yes, three times in fact. The award was shared by Elton Brand and Steve Francis (2000), Grant Hill and Jason Kidd (1995) and Dave Cowens and Geoff Petrie (1971).
