Cameron Boozer has taken over as the favorite in the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year odds at 23%, with AJ Dybantsa and Caleb Wilson close behind on the odds board.
While Wilson, Boozer, Dybantsa, and Darryn Peterson make up the top tier of contenders on one of our best prediction market apps, Darius Acuff Jr. has also made noise during the NBA preseason with the Sacramento Kings, seeing his probability rise from 5% to 10% since the start of exhibition play.
Track the latest NBA Rookie of the Year odds movement below, and find more futures markets in our NBA odds.
🏀 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year odds
For help understanding probabilities, see our odds calculator.
| Player |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Cameron Boozer |
23% |
 Caleb Wilson |
21% |
 AJ Dybantsa |
20% |
 Darryn Peterson |
17% |
 Darius Acuff Jr. |
10% |
 Yaxel Lendeborg |
8% |
 Mikel Brown Jr. |
3% |
 Aday Mara |
2% |
 Brayden Burries |
1% |
 Kingston Flemings |
1% |
Odds last updated on 10-12. Odds from Polymarket. Use our Polymarket promo code (COVERS) for a $25 trading bonus when you deposit at least $10 as a new user.
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2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year odds favorites
Cameron Boozer (23%)
Cameron Boozer has reclaimed his spot as the favorite over Caleb Wilson in this market. Boozer has been highly efficient in limited minutes during the NBA preseason, making a strong impression on the market.
Boozer remains one of the likeliest players to win the award, largely because he's joining a team with plenty of usage up for grabs. The Grizzlies traded Jaren Jackson Jr. at last season's trade deadline and sent Ja Morant to the Portland Trail Blazers over the summer, creating a significant opportunity for Boozer to step into a featured offensive role.
Caleb Wilson (21%)
Wilson has emerged as one of the favorites in this market and has been one of the biggest risers throughout the offseason. He was trading at just 8% on Polymarket immediately after the NBA Draft in late June.
A major reason for his rise was his impressive performance in the NBA Summer League, where he averaged 23.5 points per game in just 27.7 minutes. Wilson rarely attempted three-pointers at North Carolina, but he showed an ability to knock down shots from deep in Summer League, generating plenty of intrigue around his offensive potential. That shooting has carried over into the preseason, where he's taking three-pointers at a much higher volume than he did in college.
AJ Dybantsa (20%)
AJ Dybantsa was the first overall pick in the NBA Draft and has an NBA-ready game, but his probability of winning NBA Rookie of the Year sits at just 20%, largely due to potential usage concerns in Washington.
The Wizards have plenty of mouths to feed following the acquisitions of Trae Young and Anthony Davis at last season's trade deadline. Dybantsa also faces competition for touches from other young players on the roster, including Alex Sarr and Kyshawn George.
Dybantsa has the talent to win the award, but his path to a featured offensive role isn't as clear-cut as Boozer's or Wilson's.
Covers NBA handicapping tools
2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year opening odds
Here are the Rookie of the Year odds when the market first opened following the NBA draft.
- Cameron Boozer: 22% probability
- Darryn Peterson: 14% probability
- AJ Dybantsa: 14% probability
- Darius Acuff Jr.: 12% probability
- Caleb Wilson: 8% probability
- Mikel Brown Jr.: 5.5% probability
- Keaton Wagler: 4.5% probability
- Morez Johnson Jr.: 2.4% probability
- Yaxel Lendeborg: 2% probability
- Kingston Flemings: 1.9% probability
- Brayden Burries: 1.1% probability
Opening market probabilities courtesy of Polymarket.
NBA ROY trends
- Only one Rookie of the Year winner this century — Malcolm Brogdon, the 36th pick in 2016 draft — was drafted outside the lottery.
- The Rookie of the Year winner has been selected within the first five picks in nine of the past 10 seasons.
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NBA Rookie of the Year history
| Year | NBA ROY winner | Opening odds | Pick No. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 |  Cooper Flagg |
69% | 1 |
| 2024-25 |  Stephon Castle |
8% | 4 |
| 2023-24 | Victor Wembanyama |
59% | 1 |
| 2022-23 |  Paolo Banchero |
33% | 1 |
| 2021-22 |  Scottie Barnes |
8% | 4 |
| 2020-21 |  LaMelo Ball |
20% | 3 |
| 2019-20 | Ja Morant |
29% | 2 |
| 2018-19 | Luka Doncic |
29% | 3 |
| 2017-18 |  Ben Simmons |
31% | 1 |
| 2016-17 | Malcolm Brogdon |
N/A | 36 |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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NBA Rookie of the Year odds FAQ
The first overall pick has won ROY 24 times since 1953.
Yes, three times in fact. The award was shared by Elton Brand and Steve Francis (2000), Grant Hill and Jason Kidd (1995) and Dave Cowens and Geoff Petrie (1971).
