The race for the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year award is wide open, with Cameron Boozer and Darryn Peterson opening as the early co-favorites.
Boozer and Peterson each carry a 24% probability on Kalshi, while Caleb Wilson, AJ Dybantsa, and Darius Acuff Jr. round out the first tier of contenders in the latest NBA Rookie of the Year odds.
With no overwhelming favorite at the top of the board, this market could shift dramatically throughout the offseason and once roles become clearer.
Track the latest movement below, and find more futures markets in our NBA odds.
🏀 NBA Rookie of the Year odds
| Player |  Probability |
American Odds |
|---|---|---|
 Cameron Boozer |
24% | +317 |
 Darryn Peterson |
24% | +317 |
 Caleb Wilson |
19% | +426 |
 AJ Dybantsa |
16% | +525 |
 Darius Acuff Jr. |
14% | +614 |
 Mikel Brown Jr. |
6% | +1,567 |
 Yaxel Lendeborg |
6% | +1,567 |
 Morez Johnson Jr. |
3% | +3,233 |
 Brayden Burries |
2% | +4,900 |
 Kingston Flemings |
2% | +4,900 |
 Keaton Wagler |
2% | +4,900 |
Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where users trade on real-world event outcomes. Prices are listed as percentages from 0% to 100%, representing the market's estimated probability of an outcome occurring. The American odds above are approximate conversions of those probabilities.
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NBA Rookie of the Year favorites
Cameron Boozer and Darryn Peterson lead the market
Cameron Boozer and Darryn Peterson are deadlocked atop the early Rookie of the Year market, with each prospect carrying a 24% implied probability.
That separation is far from decisive, however. Caleb Wilson is close behind at 19%, while AJ Dybantsa and Darius Acuff Jr. remain firmly within striking distance. With draft position, team fit, playing time, and usage still to be determined, this is an unusually fluid market with no clear-cut preseason favorite.
Caleb Wilson headlines the second tier
Wilson sits just five percentage points behind the two market leaders, making him much more than a distant challenger. At an approximate +426 price, he offers a larger potential return without requiring an enormous leap from the current favorites.
Dybantsa and Acuff also remain serious contenders, although their early prices suggest the market views them as needing a stronger combination of role, efficiency, and immediate team impact to win the award.
Covers NBA betting tools
NBA Rookie of the Year opening odds
- Cameron Boozer: 24% probability
- Darryn Peterson: 24% probability
- Caleb Wilson: 19% probability
- AJ Dybantsa: 16% probability
- Darius Acuff Jr.: 14% probability
- Mikel Brown Jr.: 6% probability
- Yaxel Lendeborg: 6% probability
- Morez Johnson Jr.: 3% probability
- Brayden Burries: 2% probability
- Kingston Flemings: 2% probability
- Keaton Wagler: 2% probability
Opening market probabilities courtesy of Kalshi.
NBA ROY betting trends
Here are some trends to keep in mind when betting on NBA Rookie of the Year:
- Only one Rookie of the Year winner this century — Malcolm Brogdon, the 36th pick in 2016 — was drafted outside the lottery.
- The Rookie of the Year winner has been selected within the first five picks in nine of the past 10 seasons.
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NBA Rookie of the Year history
| Year | NBA ROY winner | Opening odds | Pick No. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Cooper Flagg |
-225 | 1 |
| 2024-25 |  Stephon Castle |
+1200 | 4 |
| 2023-24 | Victor Wembanyama |
-145 | 1 |
| 2022-23 |  Paolo Banchero |
+200 | 1 |
| 2021-22 |  Scottie Barnes |
+1100 | 4 |
| 2020-21 |  LaMelo Ball |
+400 | 3 |
| 2019-20 | Ja Morant |
+250 | 2 |
| 2018-19 | Luka Doncic |
+250 | 3 |
| 2017-18 |  Ben Simmons |
+225 | 1 |
| 2016-17 | Malcolm Brogdon |
N/A | 36 |
| 2015-16 |  Karl-Anthony Towns |
+450 | 1 |
| 2014-15 | Andrew Wiggins |
+400 | 1 |
| 2013-14 | Michael Carter-Williams |
+1200 | 11 |
| 2012-13 |  Damian Lillard |
+500 | 6 |
| 2011-12 |  Kyrie Irving |
+500 | 1 |
| 2010-11 | Blake Griffin |
+200 | 1 |
| 2009-10 | Tyreke Evans |
+700 | 4 |
| 2008-09 | Derrick Rose |
+350 | 1 |
| 2007-08 |  Kevin Durant |
-200 | 2 |
| 2006-07 | Brandon Roy |
+300 | 6 |
| 2005-06 |  Chris Paul |
N/A | 4 |
| 2004-05 | Emeka Okafor |
N/A | 2 |
| 2003-04 | LeBron James |
+150 | 1 |
NBA Rookie of the Year odds FAQ
The first overall pick has won ROY 24 times since 1953.
Yes, three times in fact. The award was shared by Elton Brand and Steve Francis (2000), Grant Hill and Jason Kidd (1995) and Dave Cowens and Geoff Petrie (1971).
