NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 1, 2026

San Antonio Spurs logo SA @ New York Knicks logo NY Sun, Mar 1 • 1:00 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Victor Wembanyama logo
Victor Wembanyama u25.5 Points Scored (-117)
Projection 22.11 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Spurs are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from sharing the court with the 4th-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the New York Knicks).. The Spurs rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Points Scored
Jalen Brunson logo
Jalen Brunson u27.5 Points Scored (-114)
Projection 24.96 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Knicks have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games as the home team.. As a team, the Knicks have been poor at getting to the free-throw line in recent games: 6th-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games playing at home, totaling a lowly 19.5 free throw attempts per game.
View 4 Picks
Cleveland Cavaliers logo CLE @ Brooklyn Nets logo BK Sun, Mar 1 • 3:30 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Evan Mobley logo
Evan Mobley o16.5 Points Scored (-102)
Projection 18.82 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 8th-best in the NBA when playing away from home with 12.4 offensive boards per game this year.. The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a good one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 3.9 foul shots per game this year when the Brooklyn Nets are playing at home (10th-most in the league).
Total Rebounds
Jarrett Allen logo
Jarrett Allen u10.5 Total Rebounds (-102)
Projection 8.89 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The 4th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.. The Cavaliers will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Nets).
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Minnesota Timberwolves logo MIN @ Denver Nuggets logo DEN Sun, Mar 1 • 3:30 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 5 Computer Picks
Total
Minnesota Timberwolves logo Denver Nuggets logo o237.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

The Timberwolves and Nuggets have cashed the Over in three of the last four head-to-head matchups. 

Points Scored
Cameron Johnson logo
Cameron Johnson o11.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 14.38 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
As it relates to shooting, the Denver Nuggets's outstanding 120.5 points per game comes in as the most in the league this year.. The 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.. The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Nuggets.. Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have attempted 6.0 free throws per game (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.
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Milwaukee Bucks logo MIL @ Chicago Bulls logo CHI Sun, Mar 1 • 3:30 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 3 Computer Picks
Spread
Milwaukee Bucks logo MIL -3.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
Tom Oldfield image
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst

Milwaukee is still outside the play-in spots, but the supporting cast has rallied impressively lately. The Bucks are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games – and they’ve covered the spread in each of those victories.

But this pick is equally about Chicago’s miserable form. With a growing injury report and an eye on the draft, the Bulls are 1-9 ATS in their past 10 outings. Milwaukee leads the season series 3-0, with all of those wins coming by a margin of 9+ points, and I’m laying the points with the visitors, who’ve picked up three straight Ws on their travels.

Points Scored
AJ Green logo
AJ Green o9.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 11.38 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Bucks rank as the 2nd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.. The Chicago Bulls have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Bucks.. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 5.1 free throws per game (highest in the league) against the Bulls, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.
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Memphis Grizzlies logo MEM @ Indiana Pacers logo IND Sun, Mar 1 • 5:00 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Andrew Nembhard logo
Andrew Nembhard u18.5 Points Scored (-102)
Projection 15.37 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have tallied 17.0 points per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Grizzlies, identifying this as a tough matchup for offensive output.. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Points Scored
Jarace Walker logo
Jarace Walker u18.5 Points Scored (-107)
Projection 15.53 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
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Portland Trail Blazers logo POR @ Atlanta Hawks logo ATL Sun, Mar 1 • 6:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 5 Computer Picks
Spread
Portland Trail Blazers logo POR +5.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Portland is one of the best cover teams playing on consecutive nights, going 8-4-0 against the spread this season.

Points Scored
Jonathan Kuminga logo
Jonathan Kuminga u15.5 Points Scored (-114)
Projection 11.73 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Hawks have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
View 6 Picks
Detroit Pistons logo DET @ Orlando Magic logo ORL Sun, Mar 1 • 6:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 2 Computer Picks
Spread
Orlando Magic logo ORL +5.5 (-109)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Detroit remains elite defensively, but Orlando ranks 12th in defensive efficiency over that same span and has the size to compete inside. 

In a slower-paced game, getting five points at home carries real weight, and I am in on the Magic covering the still-inflated spread.  

 

Points Scored
Jalen Suggs logo
Jalen Suggs o9.5 Points Scored (-125)
Projection 11.74 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Orlando Magic's exceptional 28.4 free throws per game when playing at home settles in as the best in the league this year.
View 3 Picks
Philadelphia 76ers logo PHI @ Boston Celtics logo BOS Sun, Mar 1 • 8:00 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Derrick White logo
Derrick White o15.5 Points Scored (-118)
Projection 18.44 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have shot 39.9% on three-pointers (7th-best in the NBA) against the Philadelphia 76ers, resulting in a favorable matchup.. The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 5th-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the 76ers).. The Boston Celtics rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).. The matchup against Philadelphia is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 4.9 foul shots per game this year when the 76ers are the visiting team (8th-most in the league).
Points Scored
Quentin Grimes logo
Quentin Grimes o10.5 Points Scored (-110)
Projection 12.15 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road.. The 76ers have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
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Oklahoma City Thunder logo OKC @ Dallas Mavericks logo DAL Sun, Mar 1 • 8:00 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 3 Computer Picks
Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder logo OKC -10.5 (-118)
Best Odds
Pick made: 15 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Oklahoma City has covered four of its last five and continues to play with energy on both ends. The Thunder force turnovers, push tempo, and keep scoring even when the bench is in. With Dallas thin and struggling to defend consistently, OKC is in a good spot to win comfortably and cover the number.

Points Scored
Naji Marshall logo
Naji Marshall u19.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 14.81 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a hard one; when the Thunder are the visiting squad, they have given up the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (11.0).. The Mavericks will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from facing the 9th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).. The Mavericks have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
View 4 Picks
New Orleans Pelicans logo NO @ LA Clippers logo LAC Sun, Mar 1 • 9:00 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Saddiq Bey logo
Saddiq Bey u21.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 15.57 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With respect to offense, the Pelicans's lackluster 112.5 points per game when playing on the road ranks 7th-worst in the NBA this year.. This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 0.9 three-pointers per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, making this a difficult matchup.. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).
Points Scored
Dejounte Murray logo
Dejounte Murray u16.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 13.7 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With respect to offense, the Pelicans's lackluster 112.5 points per game when playing on the road ranks 7th-worst in the NBA this year.. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have averaged 42.1% on field goals (8th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, branding this as a difficult matchup.. The New Orleans Pelicans are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.
View 6 Picks
Sacramento Kings logo SAC @ Los Angeles Lakers logo LAL Sun, Mar 1 • 9:30 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Points Scored
DC
Devin Carter u11.5 Points Scored (-108)
Projection 9.33 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.. The Lakers have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce plays for the Kings.
Points Scored
Precious Achiuwa logo
Precious Achiuwa o10.5 Points Scored (-114)
Projection 13.06 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Precious Achiuwa has totaled 17.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 8.9 more than he's totaled overall this year.. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 5.6 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Lakers, designating this as a positive matchup.. The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games as the away team.. The Kings rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
View 6 Picks

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