Knicks vs 76ers Prediction, Picks & Best Bets for Today's NBA Playoffs Game 4

Zak Hanshew - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Zak Hanshew • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: May 10, 2026 , 12:38 PM ET • 4 min read

Hanshew's prediction: 76ers have no answers for Jalen Brunson.

NBA

Match starts: 2 hrs
NY
59 %
PHI
41 %
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Jalen Brunson of the New York Knicks NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Jalen Brunson of the New York Knicks NBA
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  • UPDATE: Added a +875 SGP + a prediction for who will win.

Tonight's Knicks vs. 76ers predictions are all about Jalen Brunson, as he looks to lead his New York Knicks against the Philadelphia 76ers.

See how I'm betting on the guard with my NBA picks for tonight’s Eastern Conference playoff showdown on May 10.

Knicks vs 76ers Game 4 prediction today

Who will win Knicks vs 76ers Game 4?

Knicks: The Philadelphia 76ers haven’t been able to contain Jalen Brunson in this series, and I expect the superstar guard to have another big performance as he leads his team to a series sweep.

Joel Embiid returned after sitting out Game 2, but it’s evident that he’s well below 100%. The 76ers were able to overcome a 3-1 series deficit to the Celtics due to Embiid’s monster numbers, but we won’t see those numbers from the big man in Game 4 based on his health.

Knicks vs 76ers best bet: Jalen Brunson Over 26.5 points (-120)

Through three games in the Eastern Conference semifinals, it’s clear that the Philadelphia 76ers have no answer for Jalen Brunson. The New York Knicks superstar guard has scored 35, 26, and 33 points to lead his team to a commanding 3-0 series lead.

Brunson is no stranger to big moments, and he’s averaged 29 points across six road closeout games since joining the Knicks. He’s recorded 30+ in three of them, including a 41-point eruption in the 2024 postseason against the Sixers.

Brunson owns the third-highest playoff scoring average since 2022-23 at a robust 29.6, and I expect him to hit the Over on this scoring line as he’s done in four of seven matchups with Philadelphia this season.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Jalen Brunson has scored 27+ points in 31 of 51 playoff games with the New York Knicks, good for 60.7%.

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Knicks vs 76ers Game 4 same-game parlay

The Knicks have won six in a row and covered the spread five times in that span. With Joel Embiid obviously banged up and Brunson putting up strong numbers, New York should be able to close this series out on the road and cover the one-point spread.

The Game Total Under has hit in two straight games and in four of seven head-to-head matchups this season. The Knicks and 76ers have hit the Under in two of three season matchups in Philadelphia.

Knicks vs 76ers SGP

  • Jalen Brunson Over 26.5 points
  • Knicks -1
  • Under 212.5

Our "from downtown" SGP: Maxin' Maxey

Tyrese Maxey isn’t going down without a fight, and Philadelphia’s leading scorer should show an improvement on his 17-point performance in Game 3. Maxey has eclipsed 26 points in five of 10 playoff games, and he’s reached that mark in four of seven matchups with the Knicks this season.

Joel Embiid has totaled just 32 points in Games 1 and 3 of this series, shooting a pitiful 10-of-28 from the floor. He’s not playing anywhere near 100%, and he’s failed to score 25 in three of his last four games.

Knicks vs 76ers SGP

  • Knicks -1
  • Jalen Brunson Over 26.5 points
  • Tyrese Maxey Over 25.5 points
  • Joel Embiid Under 24.5 points

Knicks vs 76ers odds for Game 4

  • Spread: Knicks -1 | 76ers +1
  • Moneyline: Knicks -105 | 76ers -115
  • Over/Under: Over 212.5 | Under 212.5

Knicks vs 76ers betting trend to know

The Knicks have won six straight games and covered the spread in five of their last six. Find more NBA betting trends for Knicks vs. 76ers.

How to watch Knicks vs 76ers Game 4

Location Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA
Date Sunday, May 10, 2026
Tip-off 3:30 p.m. ET
TV ABC

Knicks vs 76ers latest injuries

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Zak Hanshew - Covers
Betting Analyst

Zak Hanshew has been covering fantasy sports and sports betting since 2018. In addition to Covers, he has also written for Rotoworld and has spent time at FantasyPros, RotoWire, OwnersBox and Sportsbook Review. In his spare time, he can be found spending time with his wife and four kids, playing his guitar, watching Simpsons re-runs, or getting some shots up on the court.

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