The New York Knicks and Cleveland Cavaliers meet Saturday night, and our projections have identified several player props worth a closer look.
These Knicks vs Cavaliers computer picks feature six props across both rosters, from Miles McBride’s passing to Evan Mobley’s scoring and a pair of James Harden Unders. Each selection compares the posted line with the model’s expected result.
For more on tonight’s slate, check out our NBA picks for Saturday, Nov. 7.
Knicks vs Cavaliers computer picks
For help understanding Polymarket probabilities, see our odds calculator.
 Knicks |
 Cavaliers |
|---|---|
| Miles McBride Over 1.5 assists 41% |
Evan Mobley Under 19.5 points 68% |
| Jalen Brunson Under 2.5 threes 52% |
James Harden Under 16.5 points 44% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 threes 47% |
James Harden Under 2.5 threes 53% |
Percentages courtesy of Polymarket, one of our best prediction market apps.
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Knicks computer picks
Miles McBride Over 1.5 assists (41%)
Projection: 2.03 assists
The model projects Miles McBride for 2.03 assists, giving him a half-assist cushion over this 1.5 line. That makes his passing market the strongest McBride option on the board, with a listed expected value of 26.14%. He needs only two assists to get home, and Polymarket prices the Over at 41%. I prefer that straightforward target to chasing his points or rebounds, even though the projections also favor those Overs.
Jalen Brunson Under 2.5 threes (52%)
Projection: 2.21 threes
Jalen Brunson is projected for 2.21 made threes against a line of 2.5. That makes the Under a play on him finishing with no more than two triples, rather than needing a poor scoring night overall. The model lists 16.2% expected value, while Polymarket prices the Under at 52%. There is not much separation between the projection and the line, so this is a thinner edge than McBride’s assists.
Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 threes (47%)
Projection: 1.74 threes
Karl-Anthony Towns needs just two made threes to clear this 1.5 line. The model projects 1.74, giving the Over a small advantage, with 15.15% listed expected value. Polymarket has the contract at 47%, making it the plus-price selection in our Knicks group. The projection cushion is only 0.24 threes, so this is a play on modest upside rather than a runaway mismatch.
Cavaliers computer picks
Evan Mobley Under 19.5 points (68%)
Projection: 15.04 points
Evan Mobley’s scoring Under is one of the clearer projection gaps in the matchup, but the available market is now Under 19.5 points rather than 17.5. The model expects 15.04 points, putting it 4.46 below the updated line. Polymarket prices the Under at 68%, so there is a higher hurdle on value despite the more forgiving scoring target. Mobley can still contribute on the glass and defensively without reaching 20 points.
James Harden Under 16.5 points (44%)
Projection: 15.32 points
James Harden is projected to score 15.32 points, just below the 16.5 line. He needs 16 or fewer for the Under to cash, and Polymarket currently prices that outcome at 44%. The model lists 15.75% expected value for this scoring play, although the 1.18-point gap is not enormous. This is a wager on Harden staying below his posted scoring total, not necessarily on Cleveland struggling offensively.
James Harden Under 2.5 threes (53%)
Projection: 2.2 threes
Polymarket has Harden to make fewer than three triples at 53%. This gives us a second way to play his offensive output, independent of the Under 16.5 points selection. He can still contribute as a playmaker and score inside the arc while finishing with two or fewer threes. The model screenshot provided does not include a three-point projection for Harden, so this is a market-based angle rather than a confirmed projection edge.
Not intended for use in MA.
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