Our NBA player prop projections return for Friday’s showdown, and the model has identified a few wagers worth a closer look.
We crunched the numbers, matched projections against posted lines, and pinpointed where real value exists.
In these Clippers vs. Lakers predictions, the approach is data-driven & not guesswork.
So as you're building your L.A. rivalry same-game parlay & if you’re building your card, then these are the NBA picks the system flags for value on February 20.
Clippers vs Lakers computer picks for February 20
 Clippers |
 Lakers |
|---|---|
| Leonard o26.5 points -110 |
Doncic u29.5 points -120 |
| Collins o5.5 rebounds +105 |
James o1.5 3-pointers made -115 |
| Lopez o1.5 3-pointers made -120 |
Ayton u7.5 rebounds +100 |
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Clippers computer picks
Kawhi Leonard Over 26.5 points (-110)
Projection: 28.2
Kawhi Leonard has been reliably scoring in the mid-20s this season, regularly putting up 25+ points in recent games and rarely following up a sub-27 outing with another one below that mark. That trend supports confidence in him hitting this points threshold.
With the Los Angeles Clippers’ offense running through him and sharps like Bennedict Mathurin likely to see reduced volume in this matchup, Leonard is poised to take on a larger scoring load.
John Collins Over 5.5 rebounds (+105)
Projection: 6.2
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the league’s 10th-fastest pace over their last five games, which should boost possessions for John Collins and the Clippers.
Brook Lopez Over 1.5 3-pointers made
Projection: 2.0
When it comes to three-pointers, the Los Angeles Clippers's remarkable 38.0% rate of sunk threes as the road team places 3rd-most in the league over the last 15 games.
This year, opposing starting shooting forward's have totaled 5.8 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The Lakers have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Clippers.
Lakers computer picks
Luka Doncic Under 29.5 points (-120)
Projection: 28.4
Luka Doncic’s scoring has varied significantly against this opponent. While he’s had big outings, there have also been games where his shot volume and efficiency dipped, indicating volatility vs. the Clippers.
And with complementary scorers like LeBron James and others healthy and available, Luka may share more offensive load tonight, reducing his sole scoring burden and making this Under projection more plausible.
LeBron James Over 1.5 3-pointers made (-115)
Projection: 1.7
At home, the Los Angeles Lakers have knocked down 38.7% of their three-point attempts — the third-best mark in the league over the last 20 games.
They’ve also played at the league’s 10th-fastest pace over their last five, setting up LeBron James to benefit from the increased tempo and clear the Over on this prop.
Deandre Ayton Under 7.5 rebounds (+100)
Projection: 7.4
The Lakers are likely to see fewer scoring opportunities against the Clippers, who have played at the second-slowest pace in the NBA over the past 25 games.
While offensive rebounds can extend possessions and create extra chances for points and assists, the Lakers rank near the bottom of the league, averaging just 8.4 offensive boards per game over their last 15 outings which can take a piece out of the Deandre Ayton's production on the boards tonight.
How to watch Clippers vs Lakers tonight
| Location | Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA |
| Date | Friday, February 20, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
Not intended for use in MA.
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