Cavaliers vs Pistons Prediction, Picks & Odds for NBA Playoffs Game 5

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst 18+ years betting experience
Updated: May 12, 2026 , 07:04 PM ET • 4 min read

Donovan Mitchell's postseason excellence continues even if there are no assurances that it is enough for Cleveland.

NBA

Match starts: 23 hrs
CLE
33 %
DET
67 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Donovan Mitchell o27.5  Points Scored (-105) Donovan Mitchell o27.5 Points Scored (-105)
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Donovan Mitchell Cleveland Cavaliers NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Donovan Mitchell poured in 39 points in the second half on Monday.

Has this series even started? Per the trusted adage, a playoff series does not begin until a road team wins a game. The Detroit Pistons looked dominant to start this series. The Cleveland Cavaliers then responded with two wins at home.

My Cavaliers vs. Pistons predictions and these NBA picks are not bold enough to firmly pick a side in Game 5, but they do expect to see more from Donovan Mitchell after a stellar start to this series. Tip comes at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, May 13.

Cavaliers vs Pistons Game 5 prediction

Cavaliers vs Pistons best bet: Donovan Mitchell Over 27.5 points (-105)

Donovan Mitchell takes some flak for being on so many 60-win teams but never reaching a conference finals. If the Cleveland Cavaliers fall short of the Eastern Conference Finals this year, do not blame Spida.

Mitchell has cleared this prop in three straight games, most notably scoring 39 points in Monday’s second half.

Will he stay at that kind of rate? Almost certainly not. But Mitchell is carrying Cleveland’s scoring load no matter what the Detroit Pistons’ defense tries.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Donovan Mitchell is already a volume scorer, taking 20.0 field-goal attempts per game in the regular season. That has jumped to 21.7 this postseason and 23.3 in this series.

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Cavaliers vs Pistons Game 5 same-game parlay

Mitchell is not moving the ball much this series, a reflection of Detroit’s defense. While the bulk of Cleveland’s roster struggles, Mitchell understands the better scoring option is to simply keep the ball himself.

He has cleared this modest assists prop in just one of four games, averaging 2.75 assists per game. Yet, as his scoring became more efficient in the last two games, it helped spur them both Over their totals.

Cavaliers vs Pistons SGP

  • Donovan Mitchell Over 27.5 points
  • Donovan Mitchell Under 3.5 assists
  • Over 212.5

Cavaliers vs Pistons odds for Game 5

  • Spread: Cavaliers +4 | Pistons -4
  • Moneyline: Cavaliers +150 | Pistons -180
  • Over/Under: Over 212.5 | Under 212.5

Cavaliers vs Pistons betting trend to know

The Pistons have won the first half outright in 29 of their last 40 home games while the Cavaliers have lost the first half outright in 18 of their last 30 games. Find more NBA betting trends for Cavaliers vs. Pistons.

How to watch Cavaliers vs Pistons Game 5

Location Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI
Date Wednesday, May 13, 2026
Tip-off 7 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Cavaliers vs Pistons latest injuries

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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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