Detroit split the first two games with Minnesota while combining for double digit runs in both games.
My Twins vs. Tigers predictions expect the home team to take the series in another high-scoring affair Thursday afternoon.
Let's break down my MLB picks for June 11.
Who will win Twins vs Tigers today: Tigers moneyline (-130)
The Detroit Tigers have teed off on right-handed pitching in June, ranking sixth in wOBA, fourth in OPS, and second in ISO.
They also sit second in fly ball rate at nearly 50%, which is bad news for Minnesota Twins starter Zebby Matthews.
He ranks in the ninth percentile in barrel rate allowed and the 24th percentile in ground ball rate. The Tigers profile exceptionally well to take advantage of those red flags.
With a red-hot offense and bullpen advantage, I see value backing the Tigers up to -135.
COVERS INTEL: Minnesota's bullpen has struggled mightily, ranking 28th in xFIP since May 1.
Twins vs Tigers Over/Under pick: Over 9.5 (-105)
Matthews is allowing a ton of hard hit balls and fly balls, which the Tigers excel at generating.
Behind him is a fatigued bullpen with no available lefties – and the Tigers are crushing right-handed pitching.
The Minnesota Twins will have to score to keep things interesting, and they have a nice matchup to do that.
Keider Montero has posted a 5.31 xFIP over the last 30 days while allowing fly balls at a higher rate than any of today’s projected starters.
The Twins (seventh in wOBA, fifth in HR/FB in June) should take advantage.
Betable to -115.
- ML/RL bets: 26-22, -4.10 units
- Over/Under bets: 23-24-2, -4.06 units
Twins vs Tigers odds
- Moneyline: Minnesota +110 | Detroit -130
- Run line: Minnesota +1.5 (-170) | Detroit -1.5 (+145)
- Over/Under: Over 9.5 (-105) | Under 9.5 (-115)
Twins vs Tigers trend
Detroit has hit the moneyline in six of the last eight games (+4.05 units, 44% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Twins vs. Tigers.
How to watch Twins vs Tigers and game info
| Location | Comerica Park, Detroit, MI |
| Date | Thursday, June 11, 2026 |
| First pitch | 1:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | Twins.TV, Detroit SportsNet |
| Twins starting pitcher | Zebby Matthews (2-3, 4.15 ERA) |
| Tigers starting pitcher | Keider Montero (2-4, 3.96 ERA) |
Twins vs Tigers latest injuries
Twins vs Tigers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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