The Detroit Tigers seek a series victory when they face the Boston Red Sox this morning for the annual Patriots Day game.
Boston starter Sonny Gray has seen a sharp drop in strikeouts, and my Tigers vs. Red Sox predictions expect a Tigers victory.
Read on for my MLB picks for Monday, April 20.
Who will win Tigers vs Red Sox today: Tigers moneyline (+123)
Jack Flaherty turned around an early-season stinker, allowing only two earned runs while adding 13 strikeouts across his last 11 2/3 innings.
He draws a Boston Red Sox lineup that ranks 23rd against right-handed pitching with a 25% strikeout rate and the second-lowest ISO against righties.
Sonny Gray gives up hits. His .295 xBA means the Detroit Tigers, who are slugging .403 against right-handed pitching, will put the ball in play all afternoon.
Detroit has won eight of its last nine, and is the right bet today.
COVERS INTEL: Gray’s strikeout rate has plummeted to 12.5% this season, well below his 24.1% career mark.
Tigers vs Red Sox Over/Under pick: Under 8 (-105)
Neither of these offenses is built to put up crooked numbers, and everything about this matchup points in the same direction.
Gray controls the strike zone as well as anyone in the rotation and keeps the ball on the ground, while Flaherty has enough swing-and-miss stuff to strand traffic.
Boston has scored only four runs and is 2-for-12 with runners in scoring position, while Detroit is 5-for-16 with RISP during this series.
Five of their previous six meetings have gone Under the total, and today's will too.
- ML/RL bets: 3-3, +0.65 units
- Over/Under bets: 3-2, +0.94 units
Tigers vs Red Sox odds
- Moneyline: Tigers +122 | Red Sox -127
- Run line: Tigers +1.5 (-194) | Red Sox -1.5 (+144)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+108) | Under 8.5 (-113)
Tigers vs Red Sox trend
The game total has ended Under the total in six of their previous 10 meetings. Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Red Sox.
How to watch Tigers vs Red Sox and game info
| Location | Fenway Park, Boston, MA |
| Date | Monday, April 20, 2026 |
| First pitch | 11:10 a.m. ET |
| TV | DSN, NESN |
| Tigers starting pitcher | Jack Flaherty (0-1, 4.05 ERA) |
| Red Sox starting pitcher | Sonny Gray (2-1, 4.43 ERA) |
Tigers vs Red Sox latest injuries
Tigers vs Red Sox weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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