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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 7, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.87 |
+169 
|
o7.5 -125 
|
+1.5 -135 
|
|
5.63 |
-160 
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +130
|
Atlanta
- Under is 5-0-1 in Braves last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 8-1 in Braves last 9 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0-2 in Phillies last 6 games following a loss.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5+165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.46 |
+120
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -178
|
|
4.53 |
-115
|
u8.5 -125 
|
-1.5 +170
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games following a win.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Mets last 4 on grass.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games following a win.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.26 |
+157
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -139 
|
|
5.21 |
-168 
|
u8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +130
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 10-1-1 in Angels last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 16-4-1 in Angels last 21 road games.
- Under is 24-7-1 in Angels last 32 games as an underdog.
Boston
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+234)
o0.5+234
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.91 |
+121
|
o7.0 -119
|
+1.5 -184
|
|
3.86 |
-125
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +165
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Jo Adell o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
-104
|
o9.0 -109
|
-1.5 +155
|
|
4.73 |
-105
|
u9.5 -118
|
+1.5 -180
|
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Kansas City
- Over is 7-1 in Royals last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Royals last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Royals last 9 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Michael Massey u0.5 Total Hits (+164)
u0.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
+116
|
o8.5 -104
|
+1.5 -180
|
|
4.35 |
-121
|
u8.5 -109
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 overall.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 on grass.
Milwaukee
- Over is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 home games.
Top Projection
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+199)
o0.5+199
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
+110
|
o7.5 -118
|
-1.5 +185
|
|
4.34 |
-115
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -200
|
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Top Projection
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
o1.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.81 |
+175
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.72 |
-192
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +111
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Nationals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Nick Pivetta o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115)
o4.5+115
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.05 |
+115
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.39 |
-125
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +165
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a road favorite.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+287)
o0.5+287
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.97 |
+162
|
o7.0 -210
|
+2.5 -245
|
|
4.84 |
-150
|
u8.5 -114
|
-2.5 +195
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Reds last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
LA Dodgers
- Over is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.98 |
-200
|
o8.0 -125
|
-1.5 -115
|
|
4.09 |
+183
|
u8.5 -115
|
+1.5 +101
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 10-1 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games following a loss.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 on grass.
Top Projection
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.44 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.48 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.52 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
Detroit
- Under is 6-0 in Tigers last 6 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Tigers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Tigers last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.86 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.05 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 interleague home games.
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Phillies last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.76 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.06 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Mets last 5 overall.
- Mets are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a favorite.
Miami
- Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Marlins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Marlins are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.36 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 10-1-1 in Angels last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 16-4-1 in Angels last 21 road games.
- Under is 13-3 in Angels last 16 during game 2 of a series.
Boston
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.57 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
5.39 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Yankees last 6 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.26 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.07 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Braves last 5 interleague home games.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Braves last 8 games as an underdog.
- Braves are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.58 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.84 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.35 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.80 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Arizona
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 on grass.
- Over is 6-1 in Diamondbacks last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Diamondbacks are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Kansas City
- Over is 7-1 in Royals last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Royals last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-2 in Royals last 9 games a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Royals last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.05 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.28 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 8-1 in Cubs last 9 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 6-1 in Cubs last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 overall.
- Over is 8-2 in Cubs last 10 on grass.
Milwaukee
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Brewers last 8 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Brewers last 6 home games.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.33 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-0 in Rangers last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.17 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.39 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Padres last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 vs. National League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.51 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.91 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Athletics
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 games as an underdog.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 on grass.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.08 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.54 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-1-1 in Giants last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Giants last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 6-2-2 in Giants last 10 overall.
ATL
@
PHI
Mon, Sep 7 • 1:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Ronald Acuña Jr. is in strong power form, hitting .440 with three homers over his last six games. His .440 ISO and 52.4% hard-hit rate support the surge, while Philadelphia’s homer-prone bullpen gives him another path to leave the yard.
Total
u7.5 (+107)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Under 7.5 fits despite the low number because neither offense is flourishing and both starters are capable of keeping this controlled. Philadelphia’s bullpen has some homer risk, but Atlanta’s relief corps is dealing, and the Phillies’ cold bats support a lower-scoring game.
NYM
@
MIA
Mon, Sep 7 • 1:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Griffin Conine o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
Projection 0.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Griffin Conine in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Griffin Conine is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Griffin Conine will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonah Tong today.. Griffin Conine has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.. Griffin Conine will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Jakob Marsee u1.5 Total Bases (-240)
Projection 0.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.. The 4th-deepest RF fences among all major league parks are found in LoanDepot Park.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -9° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.. Jakob Marsee's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 90.5-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 87.1-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.
LAA
@
BOS
Mon, Sep 7 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+142)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 8th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 park in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In the majors, Fenway Park's LF fences are the shallowest.. Bats such as Mike Trout with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brayan Bello who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Total Home Runs
Josh Lowe o0.5 Total Home Runs (+1200)
Projection 0.09
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Because of Patrick Sandoval's large platoon split, Josh Lowe will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.. Josh Lowe has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.. Josh Lowe's launch angle this season (18.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 9.4° figure last season.. Despite posting a .273 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Josh Lowe has been unlucky given the .031 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.
CLE
@
BAL
Mon, Sep 7 • 1:35 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Coby Mayo destroys left-handed pitching. He is sporting a .412 ISO and 22.6% barrel rate on the season, which is almost unfathomable.
Fastballs, curveballs, and changeups account for well over 90% of Joey Cantillo’s pitches against righties. Mayo hits them all for power, posting ISOs of .429, .727, and .367 respectively.
Moneyline
BAL (-129)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Baltimore Orioles rank second in barrel rate, second in hard hit rate, and fifth in xwOBA vs. southpaws over the past month.
Joey Cantillo has posted a 1.52 WHIP and 5.09 SIERA during that span, making him a vulnerable target the Orioles should get to.
Back Baltimore to 57%.
AZ
@
KC
Mon, Sep 7 • 2:10 PM ET
Moneyline
KC (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Diamondbacks are 28th in wOBA and 30th in xwOBA over the past two weeks, so with the Royals respectively checking in ninth and eighth in the two metrics, I’m expecting Kansas City to pull away. Royals lefty Noah Cameron has also settled in down the stretch with a high-end 2.34 xERA and 2.82 xFIP across his past seven starts, while the Diamondbacks counter with inexperienced righty Jose Cabrera (4.84 xERA and 5.00 xFIP).
Total Hits
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.95
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 19th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's deepest LF fences today.. The Kansas City Royals infield defense grades out as the best among all the teams in action today.. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 92.4-mph EV last season has decreased to 89.6-mph.
CHC
@
MIL
Mon, Sep 7 • 2:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total Home Runs (+529)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Suzuki has crushed lefties with a .256 ISO and is a ripe candidate to leave the yard this afternoon considering he’s only hit two homers across his past 18 games. Plus, Milwaukee starter Robert Gasser has allowed a healthy 1.76 HR/9 and .194 ISO to right-handed hitters.
Total
o8.5 (-101)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Before a 2-1 snoozer in the series finale Sept. 3, the Cubs and Brewers combined for 47 runs across the first three games, including 13 in the tilt Boyd and Gasser started. Chicago paces the majors in wOBA, xwOBA and ISO across the past two weeks, in addition to leading the way in wOBA against lefties for the season, while Milwaukee checks in with respective ranks of fourth, ninth, 16th and 14th.
MIN
@
DET
Mon, Sep 7 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Max Clark u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.85
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Maxwell Clark is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Comerica Park grades out as the #23 venue in baseball for left-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 7th-most suitable for hitting of the day.. Maxwell Clark has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Maxwell Clark's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 87.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 72.5-mph in the last week.
Total Bases
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. In the majors, Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Out of every team today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.. In the past week's worth of games, Royce Lewis's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 16.7%.
WAS
@
SD
Mon, Sep 7 • 5:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 90°.
Total Bases
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Petco Park.. Among all major league parks, Petco Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 90°.
STL
@
SF
Mon, Sep 7 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Rafael Devers is getting another look after falling short on his hits, runs and RBI prop Sunday, though he did smoke a single at over 107 mph. The San Francisco Giants slugger owns the second-highest matchup rating on the day, covering over 87% of Michael McGreevy's pitch mix. The last 30 left-handed hitters McGreevy has faced are generating a 13% barrel rate and 30.4% ground-ball rate while posting a .282 xBA and .473 SLG. Devers has been crushing the ball lately, posting a .923 SLG, .538 ISO, near-70% hard-hit rate and 27% barrel rate over his last 10 games.
Total Home Runs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Rafael Devers has five career at-bats vs. Michael McGreevy. He hit the ball hard in four of them, and left the park twice.
As you’d expect given that history, Devers profiles well against McGreevy’s mix. Fastballs and cutters make up two of his three most-used pitches, and Devers has posted ISOs of .370 and .475 against those two.
CIN
@
LAD
Mon, Sep 7 • 9:10 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Emmet Sheehan o1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-150)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
The Cincinnati Reds have been one of baseball’s hottest offenses lately, making their first-five team total worth a look Monday. Cincinnati is averaging 2.51 runs through the first five innings this season and has been especially productive over its last six games, posting a 132 wRC+, .366 wOBA and .833 OPS. Meanwhile, Dodgers right-hander Emmet Sheehan has struggled over his last three outings, posting an 8.31 ERA and allowing a 15% barrel rate. He also enters Monday with the sixth-worst pitcher rating, per Batters-Box. With Cincinnati’s offense rolling, asking the Reds to score two runs through five innings feels like a reasonable price.
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
TOR
@
ATH
Mon, Sep 7 • 10:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+375)
Projection 0.28
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Sutter Health Park profiles as the #3 park in the league for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the majors.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Lawrence Butler has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. The #2 park in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest fence height (on average) in the majors.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.6-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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