MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 31, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, May 31 • 12:15 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ernie Clement logo Ernie Clement o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Ernie Clement continues to be one of Toronto's most reliable hitters, owning a .296 average, while recording a hit in 12 of his last 13 outings with eight extra-base hits in that stretch.

Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The weather forecast projects the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Kyle Bradish will have the handedness advantage against Kazuma Okamoto in today's matchup.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 82nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 4th-deepest LF fences today.. Kazuma Okamoto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, May 31 • 1:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Washington Nationals logo WAS (+115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

There's isn't much to like about Griffin Canning's form this year (7.54 ERA). Zack Littell counters, and his 2.19 ERA in May shines by comparison. The Nats' bats are also doing much better over the last two weeks, ranking fourth while San Diego is 24th.

Total Bases
Jackson Merrill logo
Jackson Merrill o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.95
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all stadiums, Nationals Park's right field dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.. Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today's matchup.. Jackson Merrill has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last year's 93.4-mph figure.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, May 31 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as Major League Baseball's 4th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Byron Buxton's launch angle this season (23.8°) is considerably better than his 17.5° figure last year.
Total Bases
Luke Keaschall logo
Luke Keaschall o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.37
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Out of every team today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Luke Keaschall's launch angle this year (16.5°) is considerably better than his 10.2° angle last season.. In the past week, Luke Keaschall has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, posting a 29.5° angle.. Luke Keaschall has been unlucky this year, notching a .282 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .041 gap.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Juan Soto logo Juan Soto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+273)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Juan Soto has absolutely mashed the baseball this season, sitting in the 99th percentile in xSLG, 97th percentile in Barrel%, and 93rd percentile in average exit velocity. He's also beaten up right-handed pitchers, with a .659 SLG and nine of his 12 homers coming vs. righties.

Total Bases
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+116)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today's game.. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Juan Soto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+118)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Junior Caminero as baseball's 17th-best home run hitter.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 field in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Junior Caminero pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.1% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Zach Neto ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Tropicana Field profiles as the #3 field in the league for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Zach Neto will have the handedness advantage against Shane McClanahan today.. Zach Neto pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Rhys Hoskins logo
Rhys Hoskins u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the majors.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Out of every team in action today, the best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
Total Bases
David Fry logo
David Fry u1.5 Total Bases (-280)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest fences in the majors.. This game is projected to have the 3rd-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Out of every team in action today, the best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. David Fry's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 93.9-mph figure last year has decreased to 89.3-mph.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Sun, May 31 • 1:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Matt Olson logo Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+325)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Nick Lodolo's sinker has an xBA of .421 and an xSLG of .764, yet he’s still throwing it 23% of the time. Matt Olson has gone yard four times against the sinker this year, while batting .310 with a .643 SLG vs. that pitch.

Total Bases
Jorge Mateo logo
Jorge Mateo u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Mateo ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jorge Mateo is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest among every team today.. Jorge Mateo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.144) may lead us to conclude that Jorge Mateo has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .245 actual batting average.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Houston Astros logo HOU Sun, May 31 • 2:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL (-182)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

I refuse to believe Tatsuya Imai has suddenly "figured it out" for the Astros after tossing six scoreless innings as part of a no-hitter last Tuesday. His ERA is still a sky-high 6.17. He can't hang with Jacob Misiorowski (1.83 ERA), so back the Brewers to -200.

Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Yordan Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's game.. Yordan Alvarez has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 13.8% rate last season to 18.9% this season.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sun, May 31 • 2:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Detroit Tigers logo Chicago White Sox logo o7.5 (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

The White Sox have an Over record of 8-2-0 in their last 10 games.

Spread
Chicago White Sox logo CHW -1.5 (+166)
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 hours ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

The White Sox have won five of seven against the Tigets, with four of those wins coming by at least two runs.

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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sun, May 31 • 2:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Brandon Nimmo logo
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand today.. Brandon Nimmo has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Kansas City Royals has just 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jake Burger is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest fence height (on average) in MLB.. Jake Burger will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Jake Burger has performed at a clip of 26.9 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Sun, May 31 • 3:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Casey Schmitt logo Casey Schmitt o0.5 Total Home Runs (+370)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
Chris Faria image
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst

Casey Schmitt has been on fire with six dingers in the last 13 games, and he'll be hitting out of the most batter-friendly park in the majors today.

Rockies starter Tanner Gordon is also suscepitble to the long ball, ranking in the bottom five percentile in Barrel% and bottom 17 percentile in Hard-Hit%.

Total Bases
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+108)
Projection 2.18
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in the game for run-scoring.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all major league parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast predicts for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today.. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Sun, May 31 • 4:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
New York Yankees logo Athletics Athletics logo u10.5 (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Will Warren's release slot suppresses launch angle, while New York's MLB-leading groundball bullpen extends the Yankees' advantage. With Jacob Lopez also generating weak contact, this 10.5 total is too high. Play Under 9.5.

Spread
New York Yankees logo NYY -1.5 (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Will Warren's optimized release slot helps his 3,005-RPM sweeper generate elite horizontal movement, making it a tough matchup for Oakland's lineup. With New York's bullpen leading MLB in rolling groundball rate, play Yankees -1.5 to -105.

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Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Sun, May 31 • 4:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Philadelphia Phillies logo Los Angeles Dodgers logo u8.5 (+107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 30 minutes ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

The Phillies have cashed the Under in eight consecutive games, scoring no more than four runs in any of those games and posting a league-worst 55 wRC+ and .251 wOBA. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is far from a "get right spot". They're 2-7 O/U in Andrew Painter's last nine starts.

Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD -1.5 (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

Philadelphia has been lost at the plate, posting the third-lowest wRC+ (76) and highest K% (25.2%) against RHP in the last 20 days. They are the fourth-worst team in the league at hitting the splitter, which Yoshinobu Yamamoto used to devastating effect (.219 wOBA against) and throws more than any other offering.

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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Sun, May 31 • 4:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Arizona Diamondbacks logo Seattle Mariners logo u7.5 (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

Bryce Miller has added 2-3 mph onto all of his pitches, and has tripled his slider usage from a season ago. That breaking ball is generating a 43.3% whiff rate thanks to an additional 2.6 inches of induced vertical break. 


That is a devastating equalizer against the Diamondbacks, who have a league-leading 48.2% pull rate over the last two weeks.

 

Spread
Seattle Mariners logo SEA -1.5 (+155)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
Jason Ence image
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst

Seattle ranks sixth in HR/FB rate (14.6%) the past two weeks with a 0.88 GB/FB ratio. 


Merrill Kelly ranks in the bottom percentile in both barrel rate and xERA. I’m backing the Mariners to punish him and cover up to +130.

 

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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sun, May 31 • 7:20 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Chicago Cubs logo St. Louis Cardinals logo o8.5 (-122)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I’m playing the Over because both lefties have run-prevention risk, and I have stronger conviction on the total than the side. I would play this up to -132 at 8.5 and down to +100 at 9. We talked about Matthew Liberatore above, and he’s a threat to give up a crooked number at any time. Jordan Wicks brings similar danger on the other side, allowing a .309 xBA, .493 xSLG, and 47.1% hard-hit rate against a St. Louis Cardinals lineup with the seventh-best expected slugging percentage.

Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Matthew Liberatore’s contact profile is a bad fit against Chicago. His 5-plus xERA, 9.8% barrel rate, and 43.9% hard-hit rate leave too much room for damage, and the Cubs have ranked top five in barrel rate and hard-hit rate over the past week.

Jordan Wicks is volatile enough to keep this uncomfortable, but the St. Louis Cardinals do not bring the same scoring ceiling. In a near coin-flip market, I prefer Chicago’s offense, especially with the Cubs showing signs of their contact quality turning back up.

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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
3 Expert Picks 9 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero logo Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+401)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 days ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Junior Caminero continues to crush the baseball, hitting .409 over the last week with 13 home runs on the season. Ryan Weathers has allowed all eight of his homers this year to right-handed batters, which sets up well for the powerful Tampa Bay slugger.

Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB (+115)
Pick made: 8 days ago
Aisha Quiñones image
Aisha Quiñones
Senior Publishing Editor

Drew Rasmussen vs. the New York Yankees is a mismatch on paper — the righty is 4-1 with a 1.03 ERA and 51 punchouts in eight career games against New York. Coming off a thrilling comeback win on Friday, the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays are primed to keep the foot on the gas behind their dynamic arm to create more separation in the AL East.

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