Tigers vs Orioles Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Quinn Allen - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Quinn Allen • Betting Analyst 7+ years betting experience
Updated: May 22, 2026 , 08:22 AM ET • 4 min read

Bassitt's dominance at home continues against the slumping Tigers.

MLB

Match starts: 10 hrs
DET
42 %
BAL
58 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Baltimore -126 Baltimore -126
Read Analysis
Baltimore Orioles MLB Chris Bassitt
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Baltimore Orioles pitcher Chris Bassitt.

Two slumping teams meet tonight at Camden Yards as the Detroit Tigers visit the Baltimore Orioles for the first of a three-game set. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET. 

My Tigers vs. Orioles predictions are targeting Baltimore to hand Detroit their seventh straight loss behind Chris Bassitt's excellence at home.

Read more in my MLB picks for Friday, May 22. 

Who will win Tigers vs Orioles today: Orioles moneyline (-126)

Detroit Tigers SP Jack Flaherty sports a poor 5.70 ERA, with a 14.1% walk rate, through 10 starts — and opponents are hitting .295 against him when he's on the road. 

The Baltimore Orioles lineup has also had success vs. the righty, hitting .308 across 26 at-bats. Pete Alonso alone is 3-for-6.

As for the O's, Chris Bassitt gets the baseball, and he's compiled a 2.91 ERA across four appearances at home. To put that into perspective, his ERA sits above eight on the road. 

The Tigers are struggling immensely at the dish right now, scoring just eight runs in their previous series with the Guardians. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Flaherty has a career-worst 45% hard hit rate this season. 

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Tigers vs Orioles Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-106)

It's rarely high-scoring when the Tigers and Orioles clash. Six of the last seven meetings have comfortably cashed the Under.

Detroit and Baltimore have both hit the Under in seven of their last 10.

While the pitching matchup could mean offense, I'm focused on Bassitt's impressive form at Camden Yards. 

He's looked like a completely different pitcher in front of the O's faithful, and he's coming up against a Tigers lineup that looks utterly hopeless at the moment. 

Detroit ranks 28th in the big leagues in runs scored, while the O's are 16th. 

Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 15-11, +4.72 units
  • Over/Under bets: 15-11, +2.09 units

Tigers vs Orioles odds

  • Moneyline: Tigers +117 | Orioles -122
  • Run line: Tigers +1.5 (-178) | Orioles -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+104) | Under 8.5 (-108)

Tigers vs Orioles trend

The Orioles have hit the Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 54% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Tigers vs. Orioles.

How to watch Tigers vs Orioles and game info

Location Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Date Friday, May 22, 2026
First pitch 7:15 p.m. ET
TV Apple TV
Tigers starting pitcher Jack Flaherty
(0-5, 5.77 ERA)
Orioles starting pitcher Chris Bassitt
(3-3, 5.44 ERA)

Tigers vs Orioles latest injuries

Tigers vs Orioles weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Quinn Allen - Covers
Betting Analyst

Quinn Allen is an experienced sports journalist from Vancouver, Canada who fell in love with sports by the time he could walk. He proceeded to play high-level baseball and soccer growing up and eventually played college baseball in the United States.

After his career ended, Quinn received his broadcast journalism degree from BCIT and has since written for many sports publications including ClutchPoints, Gino Hard, and RG, where he plies his trade as a writer and editor.

Quinn's favorite team is Chelsea FC and he'd like to watch a match at Stamford Bridge one day. He loves to bet on NBA player props and encourages others to bet responsibly and not chase losses.

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