After taking two of the three from the Mets, the Cincinnati Reds look for consecutive series wins in New York as they play the rubber match of their three-game set with the Yankees today.
With the Reds trotting out budding ace Chase Burns, my Reds vs. Yankees predictions and free MLB picks have Cincy in prime position to take this series against the AL East leaders.
Who will win Reds vs Yankees today: Reds moneyline (+105)
Injuries have pushed 23-year-old Chase Burns into the ace role, and he's responded by allowing two or fewer runs in 13 of 14 starts.
The New York Yankees punish mistakes, leading the majors in home runs, but Burns avoids the big inning.
The Cincinnati Reds face highly-touted prospect Elmer Rodriguez, making just his second career start, against a Reds lineup whose best 2026 hitting split is on the road (.237 average).
Cincinnati has won six of its last eight meetings with New York, so I'd play the Reds up to -150.
COVERS INTEL: New York is well aware of what Burns is capable of. They were the team that he faced off against in his big league debut, nearly a year ago to the day, and his effort was described as electric.
Reds vs Yankees Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-116)
Burns’ ability to shut down a batting lineup has been remarkable, which lends itself more to the Under. The total has gone Under 9 in five of his last eight starts.
New York is in a mini power outage, losing two of three and scoring just three runs in those losses.
On the other side, even if the Reds can chase Rodriguez out after plating a few runs, they’ll have to deal with a Yankees’ bullpen that’s currently seventh in ERA.
The Under has cashed in five of the last seven matchups between these teams, and that trend should continue today.
Anything better than -125 is acceptable.
- ML/RL bets: 10-11, -1.40 units
- Over/Under bets: 14-6-0, +8.13 units
Reds vs Yankees weather
The bats will get a slight bump with 81F temperatures and sunny conditions, and an 8 mph wind blowing out to right-center.
Reds vs Yankees odds
- Moneyline: Reds -106 | Yankees -110
- Run line: Reds +1.5 | Yankees -1.5
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5
Reds vs Yankees trend
The Reds have covered the F5 Run Line in seven of their last nine games (+4.80 Units / 47% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Reds vs. Yankees.
How to watch Reds vs Yankees and game info
| Location | Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY |
| Date | Sunday, June 21, 2026 |
| First pitch | 1:35 p.m. ET |
| TV | Reds.TV, YES |
| Reds starting pitcher | Chase Burns (8-1, 2.01 ERA) |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Elmer Rodriguez (0-1, 4.15 ERA) |
Reds vs Yankees latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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