Rays vs Dodgers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Shawn Krest - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Shawn Krest • Betting Analyst 20+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 17, 2026 , 11:38 AM ET • 4 min read

Junior Caminero & Co. sound off against a hobbled Ohtani.

MLB

Match starts: 2 hrs
TB
40 %
LAD
60 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Tampa Bay +140 Tampa Bay +140
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Junior Caminero (13) is greeted in the dugout by teammates after scoring against the Miami Marlins.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Junior Caminero (13) is greeted in the dugout by teammates after scoring against the Miami Marlins.

The Los Angeles Dodgers are -150 favorites to secure a series sweep over the Tampa Bay Rays this afternoon.

The good news for Tampa Bay is Shohei Ohtani is out of the lineup, and he may not be 100% on the mound.

That’s why my Rays vs. Dodgers predictions and MLB picks call for Tampa to pull off the upset on June 17. 

Who will win Rays vs Dodgers today: Rays (+140)

The Tampa Bay Rays will be facing a Shohei Ohtani who’s not fully armed and operational.

He’s battling knee inflammation and wasn’t even a sure thing to make this start until he tested it with a Tuesday bullpen session. He’s out of the lineup, limiting the Los Angeles Dodgers' order that hasn’t been scoring either.

The Dodgers are hitting .228 and slugging .417 over the last week, down from .261 and .441 on the year. 

Ohtani’s name recognition always attracts casual money and inflates the odds. The Rays at anything over +130 is worth the risk. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Ohtani blamed mechanics on the mound for the injury, and his curve lost more than 100 revolutions in his last start. He seemed to be making up for it by putting extra on his four-seamer, which led to his worst start of the season. 

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Rays vs Dodgers Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (+114)

I am going against the grain here because of the odds. The Over/Under is two runs lower than Monday’s opener, and that's too steep of a drop for me,

The pitching matchup of Ohtani against Shane McClanahan looks appealing for the Under, but both are struggling.

Shohei allowed a season-high four runs in just over six innings last time out, and McClanahan has lost his last two starts — giving up eight runs in nine innings.

An easier Over with positive odds is worth a flier and should be played to +100.

Shawn Krest's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 22-26, -1.91 units
  • Over/Under bets: 27-25, +0.91 units

Rays vs Dodgers odds

  • Moneyline: Rays +156 | Dodgers -163
  • Run line: Rays +1.5 (-133) | Dodgers -1.5 (+127)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+117) | Under 7.5 (-122)

Rays vs Dodgers trend

The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the run line in 26 of their last 45 games (+10.80 Units / 20% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Rays vs. Dodgers.

How to watch Rays vs Dodgers and game info

Location Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Date Wednesday, June 17, 2026
First pitch 3:10 p.m. ET
TV Rays.TV, SportsNet LA
Rays starting pitcher Shane McClanahan
(6-4, 3.23 ERA)
Dodgers starting pitcher Shohei Ohtani
(6-2, 1.06 ERA)

Rays vs Dodgers latest injuries

Rays vs Dodgers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Since quitting his job as bank assistant vice-president in 2000, Shawn has covered Final Fours, Super Bowls, World Series games and title fights in boxing and UFC. His work has appeared on ESPN, MLB.com, Sports Illustrated and dozens of other outlets. His book, Baseball Meat Market was published in 2018. He lives in North Carolina with his dog Toby, eight turtles, and wife.

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