Padres vs Rangers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 20, 2026 , 11:03 AM ET • 4 min read

Eovaldi and the Rangers shut down the anemic Padres offense!

MLB

Match starts: 2 hrs
SD
51 %
TEX
49 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Texas -126 Texas -126
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Nathan Eovaldi of the Texas Rangers MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Nathan Eovaldi of the Texas Rangers MLB

The Texas Rangers will look to make it two in a row over the San Diego Padres as they continue their interleague series on Saturday afternoon.

San Diego has been the worst offensive team in the majors this season, and I like Nathan Eovaldi to shut its lineup down again in my Padres vs. Rangers predictions.

Read on for a closer look at this matchup and to get my free MLB picks for Saturday, June 20.

Who will win Padres vs Rangers today: Rangers moneyline (-126)

One of the major problems facing this inept San Diego Padres lineup is the fact that they chase on 31.9% of their swings.

That plays right into Nathan Eovaldi’s hands, as the Texas Rangers starter is inducing chases on an elite 36.2% of swings while also generating a 29.5% whiff rate.

The Padres are dead last in MLB in runs per game (3.88), OPS (.656), and wOBA (.290). Eovaldi is a nightmare matchup for a lineup struggling this badly.

I’m taking the Rangers to win outright, and would stick with them at -140 or better.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Eovaldi throws his splitter 37% of the time, a pitch the Padres are hitting for line drives just 16.7% of the time off of righties.

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Padres vs Rangers Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (-112)

While the Padres might be the undisputed kings of bad offense, the Rangers aren’t much better. Texas averages 4.01 runs per game and a .313 wOBA, which ranks in the bottom 10 in MLB.

San Diego starter Walker Buehler has gotten a lot out of his cutter/fastball combo, as his fastball run value rates in the 95th percentile of all pitchers this season.

Buehler hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any of his last seven starts, posting a 2.92 ERA in that span. I like the Under here as long as it stays at 7.5 runs or higher.

Ed Scimia's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 13-18 -5.84 units
  • Over/Under bets: 12-17 -5.74 units

Padres vs Rangers weather

Notes on the weather and its impact.

Padres vs Rangers odds

  • Moneyline: Padres +117 | Rangers -122
  • Run line: Padres +1.5 (-170) | Rangers -1.5 (+163)
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 (+100) | Under 7.5 (-104)

Padres vs Rangers trend

The Under is 4-1 in San Diego’s last five games overall. Find more MLB betting trends for Padres vs. Rangers.

How to watch Padres vs Rangers and game info

Location Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Date Saturday, June 20, 2026
First pitch 4:05 p.m. ET
TV Padres.TV, RSN
Padres starting pitcher Walker Buehler
(4-3, 4.14 ERA)
Rangers starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi
(6-7, 4.23 ERA)

Padres vs Rangers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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