Let's keep the good vibes rolling with three of my favorite home run props and predictions for today's MLB slate.
Find out why I am backing Junior Caminero and Heriberto Hernandez tonight.
These are my favorite MLB picks for Tuesday, Sept. 8.
MLB home run props for today
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Junior Caminero 
Heriberto Hernandez
Home run prediction: Junior Caminero (26%)
Despite the small sample size, Atlanta Braves right hander AJ Smith-Shawver has been horrendous against right-handed hitters this season, allowing a .346 BA, .538 SLG, and 1.023 OPS across 33 batters.
Tampa Bay Rays slugger Junior Caminero has the highest matchup rating in this game over at Batters-Box, where he leaves the yard 32.26% of the time with an elite road rating. Caminero also covers nearly 97% of Smith-Shawver’s pitch mix.
Over his last 10 games, Caminero owns a .525 SLG and .250 ISO with a 51.6% hard-hit rate and nearly 13% barrel rate.
Caminero should be just fine against a guy still trying to find his footing against righties.
- Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: RAYS, BravesVsn
Home run prediction: Heriberto Hernandez (23%)
Big day to back a Hernandez, as we’re backing Miami Marlins slugger Heriberto Hernandez this evening against New York Mets southpaw Sean Manaea.
The young Marlins slugger has been all over left-handed pitching this season, owning a .543 SLG and .879 OPS. On top of that, Hernandez has been mashing over his last 10 games, posting a .289 ISO and 17.4% ground-ball rate while barreling the ball more than 17% of the time.
Manaea has been progressively getting worse as the games go by. Over his last five outings, he owns a 5.87 ERA while allowing a 15.46% barrel rate. Over his last three starts, he has a 7.79 ERA and a near 18% barrel rate.
The last 60 right-handed hitters the veteran has faced have generated a barrel rate of nearly 20%, along with a .363 xBA and .744 xSLG.
If Manaea is going to continue getting worse as the season progresses, let’s fade the daylights out of him.
- Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
- Where to watch: MIAM, SNY
- HR picks: 122-417, +26.2 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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