MLB Expert Picks: Baseball Predictions for June 18

Josh Inglis - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Josh Inglis • Betting Analyst 13+ years betting experience
Updated: Jun 18, 2026 , 01:00 PM ET • 4 min read

Runs have been coming in bunches during Athletics games, and our MLB experts expect more fireworks from them and the Angels tonight.

MLB Expert Picks Nick Kurtz
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Nick Kurtz (16) celebrates with catcher Shea Langeliers (23) after hitting a home run.
  • UPDATE: Added another MLB pick

Friday Jr. is here, and we have a handful of more MLB expert picks with baseball on throughout the day.

Our MLB analysts have scoured the board to find the best place, including backing the New York Mets as slight underdogs against the Phillies.

Find out why in the MLB picks for June 18 below!

MLB expert picks for today

Pick Odds
Josh Inglis Josh Inglis: Angels vs. Athletics - Over 10.5 +113
Jon Metler Jon Metler: Twins ML -117
Neil Parker Neil Parker: Phillies ML -113
Joe Osborne Joe Osborne: Mets ML +104

Prices courtesy of Polymarket.

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Josh Inglis' expert pick: Angels vs Athletics - Over 10.5

Price: 47¢ (+113) at Polymarket

If you're going to give us totals this low in Sacramento, I'm going to keep betting the Over until this number gets back to where it was during the Colorado series, when totals climbed as high as 14.5.

The Over cashed again last night on a similar number, and THE BAT is projecting 11.75 runs once again today. It's not 90 degrees at Sutter Health Park, but there are 12-mph winds blowing out to center field, and this remains, by far, the best park for runs and home runs on the board, per Ballpark Pal.

The Los Angeles Angels are rolling with a bullpen day, and the Athletics own the worst bullpen ERA in baseball over the last two weeks. Runs could come from either side at any point in this series opener

  • Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: NBCS-California, Athletics.TV

Jon Metler's expert pick: Twins moneyline

Price: 54¢ (-117) at Polymarket

Let's call it what it is: this is a bet on Joe Ryan.

Ryan has quietly established himself as one of the better starters in the American League, and with the trade deadline approaching, he'll have plenty of motivation to continue building his value.

His success starts with a four-seam fastball that he throws at a high rate. While the pitch doesn't overwhelm hitters with pure velocity — it sits around 94 mph — its unique release point creates a flat, rising trajectory that makes it extremely difficult for hitters to track and square up consistently.

That pitch should be particularly effective against the heart of the Texas Rangers' lineup, especially right-handed hitters like Wyatt Langford, Josh Jung, and Jake Burger

If Ryan can neutralize that group, it's fair to wonder where Texas will generate enough offense to win this game. At the current price, I'm willing to back the better starting pitcher. I make the Minnesota Twins closer to 58-cent favorites in this matchup.

  • Time: 2:35 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: Monumental, RSN

Neil Parker's expert pick: Phillies moneyline

Price: 53¢ (-113) at Polymarket

While it hasn’t been pretty for Philadelphia Phillies veteran Aaron Nola, his underlying 3.49 xFIP at home is impressive, and Philly ranks 11th in wOBA and sixth in ISO at Citizens Bank Park.

So, with the New York Mets sporting respective 29th- and 26th-ranked marks on the highway, I’m expecting Nola to pitch well enough for the Phillies to pull away.

New York lefty Sean Manaea will be making just his second start of the year, and the Philadelphia bullpen paces the majors in xFIP this season and across the past 30 days to close out the game behind Nola.

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: NBCS-Philadelphia, SNY

Joe Osborne's expert pick: Mets moneyline

Price: 49¢ (+104) at Polymarket

Sean Manaea appears to have found his groove, posting a 3.33 ERA over his last eight appearances, and now he gets the start against a Philadelphia Phillies lineup that ranks a brutal 25th in OPS against southpaws over the last month.

On the other side, Aaron Nola looks — quite simply — washed, carrying a 5.86 ERA this season and a 6.21 mark at home. The New York Mets have hit him well historically, enter with the hotter offense, and could also benefit from a potentially taxed Phillies bullpen after the team used eight different pitchers yesterday.

  • Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
  • How to watch: SNY, NBCS-Philadelphia

More MLB best bets for today

Pick Odds
Guardians moneyline +129
Read analysis in our Guardians vs. Phillies predictions
White Sox +1.5 -140
Read analysis in our White Sox vs. Yankees predictions
Athletics moneyline -135
Read analysis in our Angels vs. Athletics predictions

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Josh Inglis - Covers
Betting Analyst

Josh Inglis is a rising star in the sports betting content space, specializing in MLB, NHL, and NFL markets. Since joining Covers in 2019, Josh has focused his betting expertise on player props and derivative markets, finding them easier for beating the closing line compared to sides and totals. His engaging analysis and content have been showcased on major networks such as TSN, VSiN, BetMGM Network, and NBC. Josh is a prolific bettor, tracking over 2,500 bets annually and he consistently shares his results through monthly transparency reports. At Covers, he is renowned for his MLB release shows and NHL Puck Props, which are integral parts of the site's live content lineup.

Before his tenure at Covers, Josh spent a decade teaching while pursuing sports media on the side. He has also contributed to live global senior-level broadcasts for the WBSC.

Josh advocates for sports bettors to bet early, emphasizing the importance of securing better numbers by beating the public to the market. He also advises having multiple sportsbook accounts to ensure access to the best possible odds.

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