The Chicago Cubs took the first game of the three-game weekend series against the San Francisco Giants and have their unlikely ace on the mound as they try to clinch a series win on Saturday.
Ben Brown has been one of the top pitchers in MLB since joining the starting rotation.
The Giants have not been producing against regular pitchers and got the short end of this starter matchup. My Cubs vs. Giants predictions and MLB picks call for a Chicago win.
Who will win Cubs vs Giants today: Cubs -1.5 (+138)
The Chicago Cubs' moneyline is too lopsided to bet. If it gets down to -110, it might be worth taking back those 1.5 runs. However, lately the San Francisco Giants have only won when they score 10+ runs, and you'll lose either way if that happens.
It's not likely to happen against Ben Brown, who has led Chicago to wins in four of his six starts and posted an ERA on par with Ohtani, the Miz, and Cristopher Sanchez.
His underlying metrics are even better. Brown's breaking stuff is in the 100th percentile in MLB, thanks to a knuckle curve with a 44.8 whiff rate.
COVERS INTEL: Brown's four-seamer is the only pitch he throws with an average against over .200 and a put-away rate under 20%, and yet it's also one of the 318 pitches thrown in MLB with a positive run value.
Cubs vs Giants Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (+102)
They've shaved a run off the Over/Under cutoff, but that just helps give you positive odds. This one should go way Under. The Giants have scored 3 or fewer in five of six. The Cubs snapped a streak of five such games on Thursday.
Giants starter Trevor McDonald has whiff rates of 40% on two of his four pitches and is in the top 10% in missing barrels and inducing grounders. He shut the Cubs down for five innings last weekend.
Seeing him a second time so soon should help Chicago produce enough to win and cover, but it won't be a slugfest.
- ML/RL bets: 20-24 -2.99 units
- Over/Under bets: 24-24 -1.43 units
Cubs vs Giants odds
- Moneyline: Cubs -122 | Giants +117
- Run line: Cubs -1.5 (+138) | Giants +1.5 (-144)
- Over/Under: Over 7.5 (-113) | Under 7.5 (+108)
Cubs vs Giants trend
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games and the Game Total Under in five of six. Find more MLB betting trends for Cubs vs. Giants.
How to watch Cubs vs Giants and game info
| Location | Oracle Park, San Francisco, CA |
| Date | Saturday, June 13, 2026 |
| First pitch | 10:05 p.m. ET |
| TV | Marquee, NBC Bay Area |
| Cubs starting pitcher | Ben Brown (2-2, 1.74 ERA) |
| Giants starting pitcher | Trevor McDonald (2-3, 4.15 ERA) |
Cubs vs Giants latest injuries
Cubs vs Giants weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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