The Toronto Blue Jays open a weekend set at Fenway Park against a red-hot Boston Red Sox club, sending Trey Yesavage to the mound against left-hander Patrick Sandoval.
Toronto finally broke out of its slump on Thursday, and I’m backing the bats that did the damage, starting with Ernie Clement.
Read on for my Blue Jays vs. Red Sox predictions and MLB picks for this Friday, July 24 matchup.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox predictions
Blue Jays vs Red Sox best bet: Ernie Clement Over 1.5 total bases (-110)
Ernie Clement has the shortest line for total bases, yet I’m still drawn to this pick. On the simplest level, he’s been the Toronto Blue Jays' most consistent hitter, especially in July, where he has at least one hit in 13 of 17 games.
But his advantage Friday runs deeper than the box score.
The Boston Red Sox send out lefty Patrick Sandoval, who has allowed 14 hits in 9.1 innings this season and leans on a shaky mix of sliders and changeups. Sandoval throws the slider 35.5% of the time, and opponents have teed off on it this year, slugging .667 over a 50-pitch sample.
Clement is the slider-hitting extraordinaire on this roster, hitting the pitch for a +2 run value, per Baseball Savant, along with a .339 average and .475 slugging mark.
I wouldn’t play this bet past -110.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox same-game parlay (SGP)
For the same-game parlay, I’m stacking Toronto’s momentum from Thursday’s win. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases leads the way, backed by his platoon edge against a left-hander and his long history of damage at Fenway Park.
Trey Yesavage Over 5.5 strikeouts is an aggressive play, even if he’s punched out five or more in three of his last five starts and carries an 8.7 K/9.
I’ll cap it with the Blue Jays moneyline at plus money, a live price for a club that just snapped its skid against a starter making only his third appearance of the year.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox SGP
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 total bases
- Trey Yesavage Over 5.5 strikeouts
- Blue Jays moneyline
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Blue Jays vs Red Sox home run pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+525)
This whole Blue Jays offense seems cursed to hit nothing but singles this season, but Vladimir Guerrero Jr. could be primed for a big day, especially at Fenway Park.
Red Sox fans must be terrified of Vladdy, who owns a .342/.415/.589 slash line at their home park with 12 home runs and 49 RBI in just 56 games.
That’s a 35-homer pace.
Guerrero already went deep at Fenway earlier this year, and he arrives equipped to keep mashing on the road after two clutch hits on Thursday helped Toronto break out of its slump.
He’s also been far better against lefties (.784 OPS) than righties (.668 OPS) this season, and Boston is sending out a lefty. I’d play this until +500 and, as usual, keep it to a quarter unit.
- Best bets: 9-8, +0.68 units
- SGPs: 2-16, -2.31 units
- HR picks: 3-5, -0.75 units
Blue Jays vs Red Sox odds
- Moneyline: Toronto +105 | Boston -125
- Run line: Toronto +1.5 (-180) | Boston -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 (-120) | Under 8.5 (+100)
Blue Jays vs Red Sox trend
Patrick Sandoval carries a 1.71 WHIP through his first two starts of the season, allowing 14 hits across 9.1 innings, which suggests he’s still shaking off some rust. Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Red Sox.
How to watch Blue Jays vs Red Sox and game info
| Location | Fenway Park, Boston, MA |
| Date | Friday, 7-24-2026 |
| First pitch | 7:15 p.m. ET |
| TV | Apple TV |
| Blue Jays starting pitcher | Trey Yesavage (4-5, 3.78 ERA) |
| Red Sox starting pitcher | Patrick Sandoval (0-0, 4.82 ERA) |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox latest injuries
Blue Jays vs Red Sox weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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