Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Home Run Pick for Today's MLB Game

Mike DiStefano - Contributor at Covers.com
Mike DiStefano • Betting Analyst 14+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 18, 2026 , 11:59 AM ET • 4 min read

DiStefano's Prediction: Expect Andres Gimenez to continue hitting singles.

MLB

Match starts: 5 hrs
TOR
40 %
AZ
60 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Andres Gimenez o0.5  Total Singles (-125) Andres Gimenez o0.5 Total Singles (-125)
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Andres Gimenez of the Toronto Blue Jays MLB
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Andres Gimenez of the Toronto Blue Jays MLB

Toronto Blue Jays infielder Andres Gimenez has been a consistent hitter this season and has a good chance to keep his hitting streak alive tonight against the Arizona Diamondbacks. 

Read on to see why in my Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks predictions and free MLB picks for Saturday, April 18. 

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks predictions

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks best bet: Andres  Gimenez Over 0.5 singles (-125)

Andres Gimenez has been one of the few bright spots for the Toronto Blue Jays to begin the season. 

He’s batting .290 and has recorded at least one hit in five straight games and in eight of his last nine outings

Gimenez has 11 total hits in that stretch, with seven of them being singles. That’s the market I see the best value in for him tonight, paying -125 for a single specifically compared to his -240 price to go Over 0.5 hits. 

Additionally, Gimenez is 5-for-7 with four singles against Arizona Diamondbacks starter Zac Gallen throughout his career. 

Covers COVERS INTEL: Zac Gallen has a 6.19 xERA while ranking in the 6th percentile in xBA this season. 

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Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks same-game parlay (SGP)

I’m betting on very few strikeouts for Toronto tonight with Gallen on the mound. His total is set at 4.5 K’s, and he’s gone Under this number in three of his four starts, averaging just 2.75 strikeouts a game. 

Meanwhile, the Jays have struck out fewer times than any other team in baseball.

Lastly, I’ll take Nolan Arenado to go Over 0.5 strikeouts tonight. He’s eclipsed this total in seven of his last 10 games this season, and has a career .167 average against Max Scherzer with five K’s in 18 at-bats. 

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks SGP

  • Andres Gimenez Over 0.5 singles
  • Zac Gallen Under 4.5 K’s
  • Nolan Arenado Over 0.5 strikeouts
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Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks home run pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+510)

I’ll make this a half-unit wager.

Gallen has only given up two home runs this season, but both have been to right-handed batters.  I’ll bet on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to break out of his slump tonight and tag Gallen for a homer. 

Gallen throws a heavy dose of the slider to right-handed hitters. Vladdy has shown some power against that pitch this season, with a .625 slug-rate against the pitch.
Additionally, he’s 2-for-4 with a 1.350 OPS against Gallen throughout his career.

2026 Transparency record
  • Best bets: 5-13, -5.35 units
  • SGPs: 2-16, -8.50 units
  • HR picks: 3-15, -1.10 units

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +109 | Arizona -120
  • Run line: Toronto +1.5 (-195) | Arizona -1.5 (+170)
  • Over/Under: Over 9.5 (+105) | Under 9.5 (-125)

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks trend

The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.15 Units / 35% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks.

How to watch Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks and game info

Location Chase Field, Phoenix, AZ
Date Saturday, April 18, 2026
First pitch 8:10 p.m. ET
TV DBacks.TV, SN1
Blue Jays starting pitcher Max Scherzer
(1-2, 9.58 ERA)
Diamondbacks starting pitcher Zac Gallen
(1-1, 3.60 ERA)

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks latest injuries

Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Mike DiStefano - Covers
Betting Analyst

Mike DiStefano joins Covers after a successful five-year stint with TSN. Distefano hosted Leafs Lunch, a Toronto Maple Leafs-centric radio show which featured a daily best bets segment where he found the biggest and best value plays of the night. He was also a weekly staple on TSN's flagship radio/tv show "OverDrive" as a betting analyst during their NFL picks segment #TeamAl-DogForever.

A graduate of Centennial College’s Sports Journalism program, Mike has also contributed to the Canadian Baseball Network, FanSided, and The Hockey News.

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