The New York Mets came out of their offensive funk with a 9-1 victory over the Oakland A's on Wednesday, and I'll be targeting them with my A's vs. Mets predictions once more on Thursday.
The two clubs have already scored 23 runs in this series and my MLB picks expect that trend to continue this afternoon.
Athletics vs Mets prediction
My best bet
Mets -1.5 (+118 at FanDuel)
My analysis
The New York Mets bats came alive Wednesday night, scoring nine runs to level their three-game set with the Oakland A's.
That’s a good sign because their offense has been a mess of late; the Metropolitans scored more runs Wednesday night than they had across their past four games combined. They need to keep that up today if they wish to win an NL Wild Card spot.
Veteran lefty Jose Quintana gets the nod for the Mets. He’s riding the same teeter-totter as the Mets offense has; he’s coming off a rough pair of away starts but he seems to pitch better at home (3-4, 3.38), with nine earned runs allowed across his previous 28 2/3 home frames.
Quintana could catch a break because the Oakland sticks are just as inconsistent as he is; the A’s have scored 20 runs across their past five but 17 were scored in two games. Oakland’s feast-or-famine offense doesn’t fare well against lefties — they boast a high strikeout rate (23%) and their 27th-best .271 BABIP doesn’t lend much confidence.
Quintana and the Mets’ pitching staff should hold the A’s sticks at bay, and the Mets have a good opportunity to score runs this afternoon as Oakland starter Mitch Spence has surrendered 19 earned runs across his past 26 1/3 away games.
This might get sweaty, but playing the Mets run line is the best value on the board. The Mets are barely above .500 at Citi Field, but Oakland is the second-worst away club in baseball. NY has covered the run line in eight consecutive victories and that trend should continue behind Quintana today.
Athletics vs Mets same-game parlay (SGP)
Mets -1.5
Mitch Spence 2+ walks allowed
Over 8.5
I like the Mets to roll today but I also like a high-scoring affair with Spence having command issues this afternoon.
I like the potential for a high-scoring affair today. Both offenses hit the long ball — Oakland ranks fifth (153) while N.Y. ranks sixth (149). These offenses could tee off today as Spence surrenders 1.79 dingers and Quintana allows 2.05 bombs per nine innings.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Athletics vs Mets odds
Athletics vs Mets live odds
Athletics vs Mets opening odds
- Run line: Oakland +1.5 (-142) | New York -1.5 (+118)
- Moneyline: Oakland +146 | New York -174
- Over/Under: Over 8.5 | Under 8.5
Athletics vs Mets spread and Over/Under analysis
- The A’s are 22-40 as the away team. DraftKings reports that 15% of the moneyline bets and 13% of the cash is on the A’s (+150).
- The Mets are 31-30 at Citi Field with 85% of the wagers and 87% of the money on the Mets moneyline (-174).
- Over/Under markets opened as high as 9 (+102) but have been bet down to Over 8.5 (-115) while Under 8.5 markets are trading as high as +100.
Athletics vs Mets trend
The Mets have covered the run line in 16 of their last 25 home games (+9.95 units / 33 ROI%). Find more MLB betting trends for Athletics vs. Mets.
Athletics vs Mets game info
| Location: | Citi Field, Queens, NY |
| Date: | Thursday, 8-15-2024 |
| First pitch: | 1:10 p.m. ET |
| TV: | NBCS-California, SportsNet New York |
| Athletics starting pitcher: | Mitch Spence (7-8, 4.33 ERA) |
| Mets starting pitcher: | Jose Quintana (6-8, 4.10 ERA) |
Athletics vs Mets latest injuries
Athletics vs Mets weather
Not intended for use in MA.
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