Astros vs Rangers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Todd Cordell - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Todd Cordell • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: May 25, 2026 , 11:14 AM ET • 4 min read

The Texas Rangers come to life on home soil.

MLB

Match starts: 6 hrs
HOU
47 %
TEX
53 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Texas -130 Texas -130
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Brandon Nimmo (24) heads home to score a run in the first inning against the Colorado Rockies
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Brandon Nimmo (24) heads home to score a run in the first inning against the Colorado Rockies.

The Texas Rangers will be looking to get back on track after getting swept by the AL-worst Los Angeles Angels.

With a clear pitching advantage, my Astros vs. Rangers predictions expect the home team to rebound quickly.

Let's break down my MLB picks for Monday, May 25.

Who will win Astros vs Rangers today: Rangers (-130)

Houston Astros starter Tatsuya Imai owns an 8.31 ERA on the season and has conceded at least three runs in four of five starts. That is alarming, given he has only pitched five innings once.

His numbers are especially bad against left-handed hitters, as he has posted a .418 wOBA, 22.4 BB%, and 2.25 WHIP facing lefties.

The Texas Rangers are well equipped to take advantage with Joc Pederson, Brandon Nimmo, Evan Carter, and Alejandro Osuna projected to hit high in the order.

I think the Rangers will get to Imai, and see value in backing the home side to -140.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Tatsuya Imai owns a 6.09 xERA on the year, putting him in the sixth percentile league-wide.

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Astros vs Rangers Over/Under pick: Under 8 (-105)

The Astros rank 26th in average and 27th in ISO against right-handed pitching over the last two weeks, hitting for neither average nor power.

That sets up well for Rangers starter Kumar Rocker, who has held opponents to a 36.4% hard-hit rate and 6.8% barrel rate over his last three starts. He will be able to limit power, and he has a well-rested bullpen behind him after the previous two Rangers starters combined to pitch 13 innings. 

I don't see the Astros scoring enough to push this game Over the number, and would play the Under to -120.

Todd Cordell's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 18-15, -1.78 units
  • Over/Under bets: 16-16-1, -2.46 units

Astros vs Rangers odds

  • Moneyline: Astros +110 | Rangers -130
  • Run line: Astros +1.5 (-180) | Rangers -1.5 (+155)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.0 (-115) | Under 8.0 (-105)

Astros vs Rangers trend

Houston owns a 1-8-1 O/U record over the last 10 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Astros vs. Rangers.

How to watch Astros vs Rangers and game info

Location Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Date Monday, May 25, 2026
First pitch 7:05 p.m. ET
TV SCHN, RSN
Astros starting pitcher Tatsuya Imai
(1-2, 8.31 ERA)
Rangers starting pitcher Kumar Rocker
(2-4, 3.60 ERA)

Astros vs Rangers latest injuries

Astros vs Rangers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Todd Cordell - Covers
Betting Analyst

Todd Cordell is a data-driven betting analyst. He uses numbers to help identify value across a wide variety of sports, with NHL being his specialty. Shot props, in particular, have proven to be a very fruitful market. Todd has served as a betting analyst in the public sphere for many years, most recently with theScore covering the NHL and MLB.

When not writing about sports betting, Todd stays busy analyzing the New Jersey Devils with a fine-tooth comb for InfernalAccess, his Devils-centric blog. Todd attended Sheridan College and graduated in 2014 with a diploma in print journalism.

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