Astros vs Cubs Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst 27+ years betting experience
Updated: May 23, 2026 , 09:23 AM ET • 4 min read

Colin Rea can help the Cubs get back on track at Wrigley today, as our MLB expert explains.

MLB

Match starts: 3 hrs
HOU
36 %
CHC
64 %
Read Analysis
Chicago Cubs MLB Colin Rea
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Chicago Cubs pitcher Colin Rea.

The Chicago Cubs will try to snap a six-game losing streak when they take on the Houston Astros today.

With Colin Rea on the mound at Wrigley, my Astros vs. Cubs predictions and free MLB picks for Saturday, May 23 see Chicago stopping their skid.

Who will win Astros vs Cubs today: Cubs moneyline (-142)

Colin Rea has a 2.66 ERA at home this season, allowing four earned runs in the last three starts covering 17 innings.

The Houston Astros are in the bottom half of MLB in scoring, and are hitting .214 in May. At 9-17, they have the second-fewest road wins in the American League.

The Chicago Cubs have won three of the last four in this head-to-head at home, averaging four runs a game. That should be enough to even this series.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Five of Houston’s Top 6 hitters are right handed, and Rea has handled righties well this year, limiting them to a .333 SLG.

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Astros vs Cubs Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (-115)

The Cubs' offense has dried up, as they’ve scored two runs or fewer in eight of their last 12.

Houston sends converted reliever Kai-Wei Teng to the bump, and he's 1-0 with a 0.90 ERA through three starts, posting 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings.

This pitching matchup should help continue the trend of cashing the Under in this head-to-head, which has a 5-2 record in the last seven meetings.

Houston also has an impressive 8-0-1 Under record in its last nine.

Eric Rosales' 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 8-6, +1.99 units
  • Over/Under bets: 10-3, +6.74 units

Astros vs Cubs odds

  • Moneyline: Astros +133 | Cubs -138
  • Run line: Astros +1.5 | Cubs -1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5

Astros vs Cubs trend

Seven of Chicago's last eight games vs. AL West opponents have gone Under the total. Find more MLB betting trends for Astros vs. Cubs.

How to watch Astros vs Cubs and game info

Location Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Date Saturday, May 23, 2026
First pitch 2:20 p.m. ET
TV Space City HN, Marquee
Astros starting pitcher Kai-Wei Teng 
(2-3, 2.61 ERA)
Cubs starting pitcher Colin Rea
(4-2, 4.98 ERA)

Astros vs Cubs latest injuries

Astros vs Cubs weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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