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Best NFL Picks Today

Find the best NFL bets today - Oct. 13, 2026. Free expert and computer picks for every NFL game.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

22.15 @ 21.40

DEN
DEN logo
DEN

Seahawks vs Broncos · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

22.15

-1.5 -135

o40.5 -105

-152

DEN logo
DEN
DEN

21.40

+1.5 +110

u40.5 -104

+140

Houston @ Jacksonville
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

22.05 @ 24.63

JAC
JAC logo
JAC

Texans vs Jaguars · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

22.05

+3.0 -120

o42.5 -110

+125

JAC logo
JAC
JAC

24.63

-3.0 +100

u42.5 -102

-144

Tennessee @ Indianapolis
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TEN logo
TEN
TEN

17.13 @ 27.31

IND
IND logo
IND

Titans vs Colts · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

TEN logo
TEN
TEN

17.13

+7.5 -120

o43.5 -115

+280

IND logo
IND
IND

27.31

-7.5 +105

u44.5 -115

-320

Carolina @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CAR logo
CAR
CAR

20.97 @ 22.95

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Panthers vs Eagles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

CAR logo
CAR
CAR

20.97

+1.5 -115

o41.5 -108

+102

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

22.95

-1.5 +100

u42.0 -110

-115

Top Projection Darren Waller o25.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
o25.5-115
Pittsburgh @ Tampa Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

20.37 @ 18.11

TB
TB logo
TB

Steelers vs Buccaneers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

20.37

-2.5 -105

o40.0 -112

-130

TB logo
TB
TB

18.11

+2.5 -105

u40.5 -110

+122

Baltimore @ Cleveland
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

19.91 @ 18.35

CLE
CLE logo
CLE

Ravens vs Browns · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

19.91

-4.5 -110

o40.5 -115

-225

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

18.35

+4.5 -105

u41.5 -108

+200

Top Projection Derrick Henry o79.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
o79.5-115
New Orleans @ N.Y. Giants
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NO logo
NO
NO

21.22 @ 21.24

NYG
NYG logo
NYG

Saints vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

NO logo
NO
NO

21.22

-1.5 +105

o45.0 -112

-112

NYG logo
NYG
NYG

21.24

+1.5 -119

u45.5 -110

+100

Chicago @ Atlanta
Matchup Stats
Top Projection Drake London o80.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
o80.5-115
N.Y. Jets @ New England
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYJ logo
NYJ
NYJ

17.19 @ 25.81

NE
NE logo
NE

Jets vs Patriots · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

NYJ logo
NYJ
NYJ

17.19

+7.5 -115

o43.5 -110

+290

NE logo
NE
NE

25.81

-7.5 +100

u44.0 -115

-340

Top Projection Drake Maye o16.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
o16.5-115
Arizona @ L.A. Rams
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ARI logo
ARI
ARI

18.55 @ 31.28

LA
LA logo
LA

Cardinals vs Rams · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

ARI logo
ARI
ARI

18.55

+13.5 -115

o52.0 -110

+640

LA logo
LA
LA

31.28

-13.5 -105

u52.5 -110

-699

L.A. Chargers @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAC logo
LAC
LAC

19.09 @ 24.90

KC
KC logo
KC

Chargers vs Chiefs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

LAC logo
LAC
LAC

19.09

+8.5 -105

o41.5 -110

+360

KC logo
KC
KC

24.90

-8.5 -105

u42.5 -107

-420

Top Projection Patrick Mahomes o11.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
o11.5-115
Buffalo @ Las Vegas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

BUF logo
BUF
BUF

29.96 @ 24.60

LV
LV logo
LV

Bills vs Raiders · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

BUF logo
BUF
BUF

29.96

-4.5 -115

o53.0 -109

-235

LV logo
LV
LV

24.60

+4.5 -105

u53.5 -110

+210

Dallas @ Green Bay
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DAL logo
DAL
DAL

25.52 @ 28.18

GB
GB logo
GB

Cowboys vs Packers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

DAL logo
DAL
DAL

25.52

+1.5 -118

o52.5 -110

+100

GB logo
GB
GB

28.18

-1.5 +105

u53.5 -113

-110

Top Projection Dak Prescott o10.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
o10.5-115
Washington @ San Francisco
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

22.01 @ 26.95

SF
SF logo
SF

Commanders vs 49ers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

22.01

+7.5 -109

o50.5 -105

+330

SF logo
SF
SF

26.95

-7.5 -108

u51.5 -120

-400

Top Projection Brock Purdy o16.5 Rushing Yards (-121)
o16.5-111
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail SEA @ Denver Broncos image thumbnail DEN Thu, Oct 15 • 8:15 PM ET
Total
Seattle Seahawks image thumbnail Denver Broncos image thumbnail u42.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

We have two very solid defenses duking it out with neither allowing many explosive plays over the top. We also have two offenses struggling to sustain drives, ranking near the bottom of the league in third down conversions. I’m leaning Under since this current total is on the other side of the key number of 41 points. FYI: the weather for Denver looks bad on Thursday, with rain and strong wind gusts in the extended forecast.

Passing Yards
Bo Nix logo
Bo Nix o200.5 Passing Yards (-120)
Projection 218.76 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This week's line implies a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -3-point underdogs.. The model projects the Broncos to be the 9th-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 28.04 seconds per play.
View 11 Picks
Houston Texans image thumbnail HOU @ Jacksonville Jaguars image thumbnail JAC Sun, Oct 18 • 9:30 AM ET
Total
Houston Texans image thumbnail Jacksonville Jaguars image thumbnail u43.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Texans and Jaguars rank ninth and third in defensive DVOA and fifth and seventh in defensive success rate. Houston is also travelling to London for its third road game in four weeks, and I’m expecting the offense to have trouble with the uptick in class after facing the Dallas Cowboys and Tennessee Titans the past two weeks. Similarly, Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence will have his hands full against a Houston pass rush with 10 sacks across their past three games.

Receiving Yards
Dalton Schultz logo
Dalton Schultz o29.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 38.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projections forecast the Houston Texans to be the 5th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.. The Houston Texans have called the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.6 plays per game.. Opposing teams have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 8th-most in football.. Dalton Schultz's 45.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season conveys an impressive progression in his receiving skills over last season's 35.0 rate.
View 11 Picks
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail CAR @ Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail PHI Sun, Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET
Total
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail o41.5 (-111)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
Shawn Krest logo
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

The Panthers are fifth in offensive yards per play and sixth in passing EPA. the Eagles are 22nd in defensive EPA, so look for Carolina's explosive offense to roll. The Eagles could get back Saquon Barkely and DeVonta Smith, so expect the low totals cutoff to rise as the weak goes on. Get in early on the Over

Moneyline
Carolina Panthers image thumbnail CAR (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
Shawn Krest logo
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

I'll jump at the Panthers as a dog and keep them up to 53%. Philly has lost three straight and returns from a game in England, while the Panthers are coming off a bye week.

View 6 Picks
Baltimore Ravens image thumbnail BAL @ Cleveland Browns image thumbnail CLE Sun, Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET
Rushing Yards
Derrick Henry logo
Derrick Henry o79.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 94.27 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With a 4.5-point advantage, the Ravens are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual approach.. Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to run on 52.2% of their plays: the greatest frequency on the slate this week.. The model projects Derrick Henry to accrue 22.2 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs.. Among all RBs, Derrick Henry ranks in the 97th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 73.1% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.. Derrick Henry has run for many more adjusted yards per game (105.0) this season than he did last season (88.0).
View Pick
Chicago Bears image thumbnail CHI @ Atlanta Falcons image thumbnail ATL Sun, Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET
Passing Yards
Michael Penix Jr. logo
Michael Penix Jr. o232.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Projection 242.04 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.9 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The Atlanta offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.. Since the start of last season, the porous Bears defense has been torched for a massive 73.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-biggest rate in the league.
Receiving Yards
Drake London logo
Drake London o80.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 92.96 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A passing game script is implied by the Falcons being a -3-point underdog in this game.. The predictive model expects this game to see the largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.9 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.. The model projects Drake London to notch 11.5 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile among wideouts.. Drake London's 86.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year illustrates a meaningful progression in his pass-catching talent over last year's 66.0 rate.
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New York Jets image thumbnail NYJ @ New England Patriots image thumbnail NE Sun, Oct 18 • 1:00 PM ET
Passing Yards
Drake Maye logo
Drake Maye u236.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 225.68 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Patriots being a giant 7-point favorite this week.. The model projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.. Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New England Patriots are projected by the predictive model to call only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.. Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 4th-fewest yards in football (just 199.0 adjusted yards per game) against the New York Jets defense this year.. This year, the formidable New York Jets defense has yielded the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing teams: a meager 6.9 yards.
Rushing Yards
Drake Maye logo
Drake Maye o16.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 31.38 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Patriots being a giant 7-point favorite this week.. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to run on 46.4% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
View 3 Picks
Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail LAC @ Kansas City Chiefs image thumbnail KC Sun, Oct 18 • 4:25 PM ET
Spread
Kansas City Chiefs image thumbnail KC -7.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Kansas City’s offense is rolling in Episode 2 of the Eric Bieniemy Experience, with the team rating in the Top 10 of all the sexy advanced metrics and placing fourth in points per play. The Chiefs face a Bolts team that can’t seem to string together two positive plays before either turning the ball over or getting flagged for a penalty. The Chargers have the ninth lowest success rate on third down and picked up just 14 first downs in a loss to Denver Sunday. This will be L.A.’s third road game in the past four weeks and a much-needed bye in Week 7 could serve as look-ahead bait for the Bolts.

Rushing Yards
Patrick Mahomes logo
Patrick Mahomes o11.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Projection 18.84 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
With a 8.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are a huge favorite in this week's game, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard game plan.. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are projected by the predictive model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
View 2 Picks
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail DAL @ Green Bay Packers image thumbnail GB Sun, Oct 18 • 8:20 PM ET
Total
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail Green Bay Packers image thumbnail o50.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Jordan Love has thrown for 300+ yards in three of five games so far and faces a dreadful Dallas Cowboys defense on Sunday Night Football. He's has enjoyed past meetings with the Cowboys, amassing 337 yards and three touchdowns last season and connecting for three TDs and 272 yards in Green Bay’s infamous ass-waxing of Dallas in the 2023 Wild Card Round. The Cowboys are off an embarrassing loss to Tampa Bay at home last Thursday. Three turnovers sucked all the juice out of a big night for QB Dak Prescott, who threw for 316 yards in Week 5. Dallas’ defense is getting blown away by explosive downfield plays, ranking dead last in EPA allowed per dropback and opponent success rate per pass. The Cowboys are also giving up the fifth most points per play.

Receiving Yards
CeeDee Lamb logo
CeeDee Lamb o79.5 Receiving Yards (+110)
Projection 89.86 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. The projections expect the Cowboys to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. In this game, CeeDee Lamb is anticipated by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 100th percentile among WRs with 11.8 targets.. CeeDee Lamb's 102.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year marks a material progression in his receiving prowess over last year's 73.0 mark.. The Green Bay Packers pass defense has given up the 4th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.4%) vs. WRs this year (70.4%).
View 10 Picks
Washington Commanders image thumbnail WAS @ San Francisco 49ers image thumbnail SF Mon, Oct 19 • 8:15 PM ET
Receiving Yards
Christian McCaffrey logo
Christian McCaffrey o38.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 42.79 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Opposing QBs have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense this year: 3rd-most in football.. In this week's contest, Christian McCaffrey is projected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 100th percentile when it comes to running backs with 6.7 targets.. The 49ers O-line profiles as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing offense stats across the board.. Christian McCaffrey's talent in grinding out extra yardage have gotten better this season, totaling 5.89 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a mere 0.00 mark last season.. As it relates to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Washington's unit has been very bad this year, grading out as the 5th-worst in the league.
Receiving Yards
Jacory Croskey-Merritt logo
Jacory Croskey-Merritt o4.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Projection 6.26 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Commanders are a heavy 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The Commanders have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 60.6 plays per game.. The 49ers defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year.. This year, the feeble San Francisco 49ers defense has been gouged for a whopping 49.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 2nd-worst in the league.. This year, the shaky 49ers pass defense has conceded a staggering 88.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 8th-largest rate in the NFL.
View 6 Picks

For every matchup in an NFL season, our NFL computer produces selections for a variety of different betting angles. Our computer picks are based on a proprietary algorithm that values each team in the current week to produce moneyline, spread, and point total selections.

The table above, below the game picks, tracks our NFL computer's results over the last 100 games, outlining the record and profit for selections, based on $100 unit size. We track the profit based on both opening and closing lines for every matchup.

How to Use NFL Computer Picks

The easiest way to utilize our computer picks is to simply follow our selections for every matchup, what you'd call ailing the computer." But there are other ways to utilize our NFL computer picks, as well.

You can use our NFL computer as a jumping-off point to do more research into specific lines, cross-referencing with expert picks, which can be found above the selections for some matchups, recent NFL betting trends, and more.

As well, you can gauge the confidence of the matchup. The larger the projected score, the more confident the computer is in a specific pick.

Or, if you want to implement a system, betting only on underdogs, for example, you can look for matchups in which our computer likes the underdog to inform which picks you're going to hone in on for a given week.

We have these computer picks for every sport you're looking to wager on, as well:

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

Moneyline

NFL moneyline picks are the simplest way to get in on the NFL action. All you have to do is simply bet on which team you think will win the game.

For moneyline picks, the favorite is represented with a minus sign (-) in front of the odds, while the underdog has a plus (+). However, you don't get the same profit for picking an underdog compared to a favorite. If the favored team is -120, a $100 bet on them would pay out $80 in profit and $180 total, if they win the game. The underdog winning at +150 would pay out a $150 profit, $250 total.

We have a complete breakdown of how to read NFL moneyline odds for these NFL computer picks.

Spread

While moneyline picks are the simplest, picking NFL games against the spread is probably the most common wager for regular NFL bettors.

To bet an NFL spread, you wager on whether a team will win by a certain number of points or more or if they'll lose by fewer points than the spread. For example, if the spread is -6.5 for the New England Patriots, you would win the bet if they win the game by 7 points or more. Or if a team is +6.5, you're betting on if they'll win outright or lose by fewer than 6.5 points.

There is a correlation between moneyline odds and the spread, as books set these lines based on the same information.

You can read more about NFL spreads here.

Totals (Over/Under)

If you aren’t entirely sold on which NFL team will win or cover in an NFL game, you can still use our NFL computer picks to bet on the point total.

As opposed to taking a side, in total or Over/Under betting, you wager on whether both NFL teams will combine for a final score of more than (Over) or less than (Under) the total number of points set by oddsmakers.

The computer picks, and your handicapping of totals is more about how you think both teams will score points, not which team has the edge to win.

More NFL Picks & Betting Tools

Our NFL Computer Picks are a great way to place weekly football wagers, but you should also consider handicapping games yourself using some of our other tools. If you're looking to bet on long-term futures this football season, check out some of our other dedicated pages:

Best Football Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on NFL picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. Our NFL betting sites guide offers secure banking, the best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service options for you.

NFL Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our NFL picks?

Covers NFL picks are released two to three days before each game on the NFL schedule.

What kinds of NFL picks do we make?

Covers provides free NFL picks covering many markets, including point spreads, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.