UCLA vs California Picks & Props
UCLA vs CAL Picks
NCAAF PicksBoth UCLA and Cal have new coaching staffs, retain their star QBs, and are relying heavily on transfers. In a game where there should be plenty of points scored on both sides, Cal QB Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele can be the difference. The Golden Bears QB had Cal ranked 52nd in EPA per pass last year - far better than UCLA's 105th with Nico Iamaleava. JKS might not lead Cal to an outright win, but a cover at home? Sign me up.
UCLA defensive coordinator Colin Hitschler's scheme often involves leaving corners on islands while bringing the heat, and that'll be a tough ask for the secondary against Ian Stron when Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele is throwing him the ball.
Though both UCLA and Cal's new head coaches are known for their defensive acumen, both inherit QBs on the NFL radar. Cal's Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele and UCLA's Nico Iamaleava can take advantage of transfer-heavy defenses with their improved playmaking corps. However, Cal has the better of the two QBs in JKS, who was sixth nationally in big-time throws as a freshman (28). He can lead Cal to a cover at home in a high-scoring game.
UCLA vs CAL Consensus Picks
UCLA vs CAL Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
SPREAD
|
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|
TOTAL
Under
53.5 Total
53.15 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
14.43%
EV
|
|||||||
|
MONEYLINE
CAL
+110 moneyline
CAL
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
6.34%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
UCLA
W. Knight
(RB)
u64.5 Rushing Yards
56.80 UNDER
PROJECTION
-7.7
DIFFERENCE
22.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
CAL
A. Mohammed
(RB)
o56.5 Rushing Yards
62.45 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.0
DIFFERENCE
21.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
N. Iamaleava
(QB)
u41.5 Rushing Yards
37.88 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.6
DIFFERENCE
19.34%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UCLA
L. Ellis
(WR)
o39.5 Receiving Yards
48.04 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.5
DIFFERENCE
26.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
CAL
C. Hendricks
(WR)
u59.5 Receiving Yards
45.44 UNDER
PROJECTION
-14.1
DIFFERENCE
25.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
CAL
I. Strong
(WR)
u66.5 Receiving Yards
55.85 UNDER
PROJECTION
-10.7
DIFFERENCE
25.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UCLA
B. Rowe Jr.
(WR)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
37.85 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.3
DIFFERENCE
24.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
UCLA
W. Knight
(RB)
o14.5 Receiving Yards
17.47 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.0
DIFFERENCE
20.39%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
UCLA
B. Rowe Jr.
(WR)
o2.5 Receptions
3.31 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
5.12%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
UCLA
W. Knight
(RB)
u2.5 Receptions
2.22 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-5.39%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
UCLA
W. Knight
(RB)
u11.5 Carries
10.84 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
11.16%
EV
|
|||||||
|
CARRIES
N. Iamaleava
(QB)
u10.5 Carries
9.60 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
10.92%
EV
|
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- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in California.
Under is 4-0 in Golden Bears last 4 games as a favorite.
Under is 5-0 in Bruins last 5 games in September.
Underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Under is 6-1 in Bruins last 7 games as a road favorite.
Over is 5-1 in Golden Bears last 6 games as an underdog.
Over is 5-1 in Bruins last 6 games on fieldturf.
Over is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 games overall.
ROI Trends
UCLA vs CAL Top User Picks
UCLA Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Bruins Money Leaders | |||
California Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| All Golden Bears Money Leaders | |||