Dante Dowdell Rushing Yards Props • Kentucky
D. Dowdell
running back RB • Kentucky
Texas @ Kentucky Picks & Props
TEX vs UK Picks
NCAAF Picks
Passing Yards
CB
Cutter Boley u170.5 Passing Yards (-114)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Boley struggled in his lone game against a team with a pass rush, completing 10 of 19 attempts for 124 yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions against South Carolina.
The Longhorns have a vaunted defensive front led by Colin Simmons and play well on the back end (seventh in PFF’s coverage grade), so Boley will find it tough sledding out there in Week 8.
Passing Yards
CB
Cutter Boley o160.5 Passing Yards (-114)
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Boley is completing 57.1% of his passes with only two big-time throws and seven (!) turnover-worthy passes. The redshirt freshman is learning on the job, and Texas's tough defense is ready to dole out some tutoring.
Spread
TEX -12.5 (-115)
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
There aren't many things more foolish than betting on Kentucky and Mark Stoops coming off a bye week.
Under Stoops, the Wildcats are 2-15 ATS against SEC opponents after a bye and are 1-8 in such instances as an underdog. Additionally, the Kentucky offense has little talent on the outside and struggle to move the ball consistently.
Defensively, few teams are allowing more chunk plays through the air and Arch Manning should have plenty of time to throw against a pass rush that has just seven sacks through five games, and two in three SEC contests.
Texas won't let Kentucky put up points, and the Longhorns will leave Lexington with at least a three-score victory.
Game Prop
u14.5 Team Total (-115)
Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst
Kentucky may as well not have an offense. The Wildcats rank near the bottom 10% in the country in passing effectiveness, but their run game is poor enough that they have to keep throwing the ball. Hence ranking in the bottom 20% in the country in late-down success rate. Texas should mail in this game, but the Longhorns defense will not need to be dialed in to keep the Wildcats to only two scores. That is nearly a default.
Receptions
DM
DeAndre Moore Jr. u3.5 Receptions (-178)
Projection 2.9568 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
Arch Manning u224.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 207.4086 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
CB
Cutter Boley u170.5 Passing Yards (-102)
Projection 167.3565 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receiving Yards
KL
Kendrick Law o32.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 46.9508 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
RW
Ryan Wingo o46.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 52.0094 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
DM
DeAndre Moore Jr. u42.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 40.2543 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receiving Yards
JK
Josh Kattus o23.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 25.3962 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rushing Yards
DD
Dante Dowdell o24.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 36.6473 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
SM
Seth McGowan o49.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 62.888 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Rushing Yards
QW
Quintrevion Wisner o86.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 94.3803 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
TEX vs UK Consensus Picks
More Consensus Consensus PicksTEX vs UK Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Seth McGowan Rushing Yards Props • Kentucky
S. McGowan
running back RB • Kentucky
Quintrevion Wisner Rushing Yards Props • Texas
Q. Wisner
running back RB • Texas
Arch Manning Rushing Yards Props • Texas
A. Manning
quarterback QB • Texas
TEX vs UK Trends
Texas Trends
Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.65 Units / 4% ROI)
TEX
UK
Texas has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.50 Units / 26% ROI)
Over
Under
Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.00 Units / 57% ROI)
TEX
UK
Texas has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.70 Units / 54% ROI)
Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+2.90 Units / 1% ROI)
TEX
UK
Texas have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 16 games (+2.85 Units / 15% ROI)
TEX
UK
Texas have only covered the Spread in 5 of their last 16 games (-7.10 Units / -40% ROI)
TEX
UK
Texas has only hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 16 games (-6.00 Units / -34% ROI)
Over
Under
Texas has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 6 games (-5.00 Units / -71% ROI)
Texas has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 16 games (-3.60 Units / -19% ROI)
Over
Under
Texas has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 16 games (-3.25 Units / -18% ROI)
Over
Under
Kentucky Trends
Kentucky has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.25 Units / 23% ROI)
TEX
UK
Kentucky have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
TEX
UK
Kentucky has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
Over
Under
Kentucky has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Over
Under
Kentucky has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Over
Under
Kentucky has only hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 10 games (-6.60 Units / -16% ROI)
TEX
UK
Kentucky have only covered the Spread in 3 of their last 10 games (-4.70 Units / -43% ROI)
TEX
UK
Kentucky have only covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 10 games (-4.70 Units / -42% ROI)
TEX
UK
Kentucky has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (-4.30 Units / -15% ROI)
TEX
UK
Kentucky has only hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 10 games (-3.60 Units / -33% ROI)
Over
Under
Kentucky has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 10 games (-2.95 Units / -26% ROI)
Over
Under
Kentucky has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 11 games (-3.40 Units / -28% ROI)
Over
Under
TEX vs UK Top User Picks
More Picks
'billdo' is picking Kentucky to cover (+12.5)
billdo is #1 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (4-0-0) and +4500 units on the season.
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TEX
UK
'Wildcat168' is picking Texas to cover (-12.5)
Wildcat168 is #1 on picking games that Kentucky is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3950 units on the season.
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TEX
UK
'KRU' is picking Texas to cover (-11.5)
KRU is #10 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (4-1-0) and +2900 units on the season.
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TEX
UK
'Haloman' is picking Kentucky to cover (+12.5)
Haloman is #2 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (4-2-0) and +3900 units on the season.
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TEX
UK
'patelnydevil289' is picking Texas to cover (-12.5)
patelnydevil289 is #4 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (6-0-0) and +3900 units on the season.
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TEX
UK
'mjpalli' is picking Texas to cover (-12.5)
mjpalli is #5 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (2-0-0) and +3500 units on the season.
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TEX
UK
'mjboxer' is picking Kentucky to cover (+12.5)
mjboxer is #7 on picking games that Kentucky is in with a record of (1-0-0) and +3000 units on the season.
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TEX
UK
'midway1942' is picking Kentucky to cover (+12.5)
midway1942 is #7 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (2-1-0) and +3450 units on the season.
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TEX
UK
'nit2win' is picking Texas to cover (-12.5)
nit2win is #8 on picking games that Kentucky is in with a record of (5-0-0) and +2950 units on the season.
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TEX
UK
'JL023' is picking Texas to cover (-11.5)
JL023 is #9 on picking games that Texas are in with a record of (4-0-0) and +2900 units on the season.
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TEX
UK
'Luigi' is picking Texas to cover (-12.5)
Luigi is #9 on picking games that Kentucky is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +2950 units on the season.
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TEX
UK