Isaac Brown Rushing Yards Props • Louisville
I. Brown
running back RB • Louisville
Louisville @ Miami (FL) Picks & Props
LOU vs MIA Picks
NCAAF Picks
Spread
MIA -13.5 (-112)
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
For my money, Miami looks like the best team in the country at this point. They are excellent in the trenches on both sides of the ball, and we are seeing the best version of Carson Beck. Louisville is a solid defensive team, but the offense has been lacking. Miller Moss has been inefficient, and the Cards aren't getting much out of the run game. That's not a recipe for success against this Canes team. Miami's balance will wear down Louisville as the game progresses, allowing them to cover this spread.
Rushing Yards
Isaac Brown u54.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
Only one player has rushed for more than 55 yards against Miami this year, and it was FSU QB Tommy Castellanos, who ran for 57 yards. Look for the Canes to keep it stingy in the run game.
Score a Touchdown
CD
CJ Daniels Score a Touchdown (Yes: +120)
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
Daniels has been steadily involved in the Miami offense, catching at least four balls in every game, with five grabs in three of those games. Daniels is tied with Canes RB Mark Fletcher for the team lead in TDs with five, and he’s got plus odds to score Friday as opposed to -270 odds for Fletcher.
TD Passes
Carson Beck o1.5 TD Passes (-154)
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
Beck has been very consistent getting to the end zone, as he’s recorded at least two touchdown passes in four of five games this season. The Cardinals boast the top passing defense in the ACC by yards and is tied for third in fewest TD passes on the season, with five. However, Louisville has played just one ranked team (Virginia) to this point.
Receptions
MT
Malachi Toney u5.5 Receptions (+112)
Projection 4.9511 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
CL
Caullin Lacy u4.5 Receptions (-102)
Projection 4.294 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
CB
Chris Bell u6.5 Receptions (-128)
Projection 5.8503 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receptions
CD
CJ Daniels u4.5 Receptions (-160)
Projection 3.9923 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
Miller Moss u259.5 Passing Yards (-108)
Projection 242.015 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
Carson Beck u241.5 Passing Yards (-112)
Projection 238.4061 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Receiving Yards
KM
Keelan Marion o19.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 26.8906 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
EL
Elija Lofton o23.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 29.6837 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CB
Chris Bell u90.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 81.3309 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
MT
Malachi Toney o67.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 71.7754 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
LOU vs MIA Consensus Picks
LOU vs MIA Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
CharMar Brown Rushing Yards Props • Miami (FL)
C. Brown
running back RB • Miami (FL)
Mark Fletcher Jr. Rushing Yards Props • Miami (FL)
M. Fletcher Jr.
running back RB • Miami (FL)
LOU vs MIA Trends
Louisville Trends
Louisville has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
Over
Under
Louisville have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
LOU
MIA
Louisville has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.95 Units / 6% ROI)
LOU
MIA
Louisville has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 6 away games (+0.70 Units / 10% ROI)
Over
Under
Louisville has hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.60 Units / 11% ROI)
Louisville has only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 away games (-7.80 Units / -34% ROI)
LOU
MIA
Louisville has only hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (-6.90 Units / -16% ROI)
LOU
MIA
Louisville have only covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 12 games (-5.05 Units / -36% ROI)
LOU
MIA
Louisville has only hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 12 games (-4.80 Units / -36% ROI)
Over
Under
Louisville has only hit the Team Total Under in 2 of their last 5 games (-1.65 Units / -28% ROI)
Miami (FL) Trends
Miami has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.40 Units / 8% ROI)
LOU
MIA
Miami has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.20 Units / 6% ROI)
LOU
MIA
Miami have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.85 Units / 21% ROI)
LOU
MIA
Miami have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 19% ROI)
LOU
MIA
Miami (FL) has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.50 Units / 16% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (-3.95 Units / -8% ROI)
LOU
MIA
Miami has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 12 games (-2.95 Units / -21% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 4 games (-2.55 Units / -54% ROI)
Miami has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 12 games (-0.95 Units / -7% ROI)
Over
Under
Miami has only hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 12 games (-0.60 Units / -5% ROI)
Over
Under
LOU vs MIA Top User Picks
Louisville Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mod2323 | 10-0-0 | +7900 |
| 2 | alayne89 | 9-1-0 | +5950 |
| 3 | jwheels | 9-1-0 | +5950 |
| 4 | deweyay9 | 9-1-0 | +5750 |
| 5 | djmdthedoc | 9-1-0 | +5300 |
| 6 | VisionQ3 | 8-2-0 | +4850 |
| 7 | midsro49 | 9-1-0 | +4800 |
| 8 | bluorch158 | 9-1-0 | +4750 |
| 9 | gargoyle127 | 10-0-0 | +4750 |
| 10 | stakay125 | 9-1-0 | +4700 |
| All Cardinals Money Leaders | |||
Miami (FL) Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | redsox99 | 8-2-0 | +5350 |
| 2 | sportsking157 | 9-1-0 | +5300 |
| 3 | Monsmon45 | 9-1-0 | +4900 |
| 4 | OMREBEL02 | 8-2-0 | +4750 |
| 5 | Moneyman00 | 8-0-0 | +4000 |
| 6 | vlkvlk2012 | 9-1-0 | +3950 |
| 7 | leafs126 | 9-1-0 | +3950 |
| 8 | sockss109 | 8-2-0 | +3900 |
| 9 | Bikkembergs | 9-1-0 | +3850 |
| 10 | kermitfrog | 7-3-0 | +3650 |
| All Hurricanes Money Leaders | |||