Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game May 30, 2026
SA
@
OKC
Sat, May 30 • 8:00 PM ET
OKC (-145)
It’s Game 7. Let’s not get the spread involved and keep this clean with a moneyline leg. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been excellent at home all season and while their offense gets a boost from the friendly confines, their defense has been especially disruptive versus the San Antonio Spurs at home in this series.
Oklahoma City is forcing almost 20 turnovers in the past three homestands with San Antonio, flipping those follies into 25 points off turnovers per game. The big-game nerves will get the better of the young Spurs while OKC’s experience leads them back to the NBA Finals.
Chet Holmgren Record a Double-Double (Yes: +233)
My best bet for Game 7 is Chet Holmgren Over on his points total, but I also like what I’ve seen from OKC’s 7-footer on the glass in recent games. He’s totaled 22 rebounds on 36 rebounding chances the past two outings, despite not playing much in the second half of those blowouts. Holmgren’s been active on the offensive glass too, with seven collective offensive boards in those contests. This is the lowest total of the series with defense expected to be drum tight. That means more misses and ample rebounding chances. His projections for Game 7 sit as high as 9+ boards and 17+ points. I’ll ask for at least 10 and 10 from Holmgren, who will see more minutes if game script holds up and we get a tight do-or-die contest.
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