Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams playing today.

George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 5th-deepest centerfield fences in the majors. Hitting from the same side that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Nick Castellanos has a tough challenge in today's game. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among every team today. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Castellanos in today's matchup. Over the past two weeks, Nick Castellanos's 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 20.6%.

George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 5th-deepest centerfield fences in the majors. Ryan Pepiot will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner today. The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense projects as the 3rd-best among every team today. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 92.1-mph figure last season has dropped off to 88.5-mph.

Danny Jansen is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Danny Jansen will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams playing today.

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Kameron Misner will hold that advantage today. In the past week, Kameron Misner's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Junior Caminero will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo today.

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Jose Caballero will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Jose Caballero will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Yandy Diaz's launch angle lately (-2.6° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 3.6° seasonal mark.

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Taylor Walls will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams playing today. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Curtis Mead will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo today. Curtis Mead has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 13th-worst out of all the teams playing today.

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Max Kepler will have the upper hand in today's game. Max Kepler pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Max Kepler's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.6% up to 28.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Bryson Stott will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.4-mph over the course of the season to 93.5-mph in recent games.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.271) suggests that J.T. Realmuto has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .260 actual batting average. Checking in at the 86th percentile, J.T. Realmuto has put up a .325 BABIP since the start of last season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 19th-best batter in the majors. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today.

When estimating his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand today. Brandon Marsh's 91.4-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in the majors since the start of last season: 89th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Christopher Morel ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Jesus Luzardo throws from, Christopher Morel will have an edge in today's game.