MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 21, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

3.97 @ 3.78

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Braves vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

3.97

+132

o5.5 -115

+1.5 -185

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

3.78

-135

u6.0 -105

-1.5 +175

St. Louis @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

3.55 @ 5.15

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Cardinals vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

3.55

+230

o8.0 -110

+4.0 -355

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.15

-210

u8.5 -120

-4.0 +236

Top Projection Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
o0.5+153
Toronto @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.72 @ 4.86

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Blue Jays vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.72

+230

o7.0 -115

+1.5 -120

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.86

-194

u7.5 -115

-1.5 +115

Top Projection Jesus Sanchez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+245)
o1.5+250
Washington @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.13 @ 4.06

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Nationals vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.13

+137

o7.5 -115

+1.5 -160

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.06

-142

u8.5 -154

-1.5 +150

Top Projection Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+263)
o0.5+263
San Francisco @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

4.08 @ 4.61

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Giants vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

4.08

+160

o7.0 -122

+1.5 -135

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.61

-168

u7.5 -115

-1.5 +126

Top Projection Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
o0.5+235
Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

4.23 @ 4.73

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Rays vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

4.23

+116

o7.5 -115

+1.5 -185

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.73

-124

u8.0 -127

-1.5 +175

NY Mets @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.40 @ 4.60

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Mets vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.40

+135

o7.0 -205

+2.5 -265

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.60

-140

u8.0 -113

-2.5 +210

Top Projection Brett Baty o0.5 Total RBIs (+340)
o0.5+340
Athletics @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.63 @ 4.52

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Athletics vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.63

+167

o7.0 -200

+3.5 -315

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.52

-175

u9.0 -184

-3.5 +245

Top Projection Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
o0.5+240
Detroit @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

4.59 @ 4.96

KC
KC logo
KC

Tigers vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

4.59

-108

o8.0 -120

-1.5 +150

KC logo
KC
KC

4.96

+105

u8.5 -115

+1.5 -160

Top Projection Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
LA Angels @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.78 @ 4.11

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Angels vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.78

+130

o7.5 +105

+1.5 -170

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.11

-135

u7.5 -115

-1.5 +160

Top Projection Oswald Peraza o0.5 Total RBIs (+340)
o0.5+340
Cleveland @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

6.03 @ 5.05

COL
COL logo
COL

Guardians vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

6.03

-150

o10.5 -110

-1.5 +100

COL logo
COL
COL

5.05

+143

u10.5 +100

+1.5 -108

Cincinnati @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.65 @ 4.66

AZ
AZ logo
AZ

Reds vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.65

+135

o8.0 -120

+1.5 -155

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.66

-140

u8.5 -110

-1.5 +145

Top Projection Dane Myers o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5+270
Minnesota @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.75 @ 4.40

SD
SD logo
SD

Twins vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.75

+133

o8.0 -115

+1.5 -185

SD logo
SD
SD

4.40

-115

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +165

Top Projection Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
Pittsburgh @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

3.49 @ 5.36

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Pirates vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

3.49

+210

o7.0 -194

+1.5 +100

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.36

-219

u11.0 -481

-1.5 -105

Top Projection Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
o0.5+250
Chi. Cubs @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.81 @ 4.31

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Cubs vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.81

+100

o7.5 -115

+1.5 -220

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.31

-105

u8.5 -130

-1.5 +180

Top Projection Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5+210
Toronto @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Blue Jays vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

--

--

--

--

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

--

--

--

--

Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Braves vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

--

--

--

--

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

--

--

--

--

Washington @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Nationals vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

--

--

--

--

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

--

--

--

--

St. Louis @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Cardinals vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

--

--

--

--

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

--

--

--

--

LA Angels @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Angels vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

--

--

--

--

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

--

--

--

--

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Rays vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

--

--

--

--

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

--

--

--

--

NY Mets @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Mets vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

--

--

--

--

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

--

--

--

--

Athletics @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Athletics vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

--

--

--

--

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

--

--

--

--

Pittsburgh @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Pirates vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

--

--

--

--

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

--

--

--

--

Detroit @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Tigers vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

--

--

--

--

KC logo
KC
KC

--

--

--

--

Chi. Cubs @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Cubs vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

--

--

--

--

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

--

--

--

--

San Francisco @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Giants vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

--

--

--

--

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

--

--

--

--

Cincinnati @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Reds vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

--

--

--

--

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

--

--

--

--

Cleveland @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Guardians vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

--

--

--

--

COL logo
COL
COL

--

--

--

--

Minnesota @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Twins vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

--

--

--

--

SD logo
SD
SD

--

--

--

--

Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Fri, Aug 21 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Gary Sanchez logo Gary Sanchez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Chris Sale attacks right-handed bats with a steady dose of fastballs, and that’s good news for lefty-masher Gary Sanchez.

He has gone nuclear against four-seamers thrown by southpaws, barreling up more than 22% of the time while posting a .684 ISO.

I'd bet this to +480

Total
Atlanta Braves logo Milwaukee Brewers logo o6.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Chris Sale is exceptional but he has averaged 5.5 innings of work over his last 10 starts, and Milwaukee’s patience at the plate should chase him in six innings or less. 

That’d afford plenty of opportunity to scratch together runs against a bullpen sitting 25th in xFIP the last month.

Jacob Misiorowski is not immune to power, allowing multiple homers in three of the last seven starts. 

I’d play the Over to -122.

View 13 Picks
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Fri, Aug 21 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+127)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as MLB's 3rd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #9 field in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today's game.
Total RBIs
Trea Turner logo
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #9 field in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Trea Turner will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
View 10 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ New York Yankees logo NYY Fri, Aug 21 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+550)
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

Kazuma Okamoto has hit two homers in his last three games, and has one against Schlittler in his rookie season, too. Okamoto's in the 83rd percentile for barrel percentage (12.5%) and is in a good spot to go yard at Yankee Stadium... again.

Game Prop
Toronto Blue Jays logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Dustin Saracini image
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst

Offense has come from the entire lineup over the last month and change, but nobody has been hotter than Alejandro Kirk, who has 15 hits, three homers, and nine RBI across his nine-game hit streak. Look for this team to scrape and claw to get three or more runs on the board, especially at one of the most hitter-friendly ballparks in the big leagues.

View 13 Picks
Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Fri, Aug 21 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Daylen Lile logo
Daylen Lile o0.5 Total RBIs (+193)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Daylen Lile is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Gusto throws from, Daylen Lile will have an edge today.
Strikeouts Thrown
Brad Lord logo
Brad Lord u2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
Projection 2.38
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brad Lord to throw 54 pitches in this matchup (least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. Brad Lord will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.
View 10 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Fri, Aug 21 • 7:10 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Boston Red Sox logo o7.5 (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Logan Webb's SIERA is 1.44 runs higher than his ERA over the past month, a sign regression could be looming for the veteran righty.

The San Francisco Giants aren’t the sexiest team on paper but their offense has quietly been potent on the road in August, ranking Top-6 in ISO and wOBA vs. righties.

Bet to -107.

Total Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu logo Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 95th percentile or higher in xwOBA, xSLG, ISO, and hard hit rate against right-handed pitching over the last 30 days.

Logan Webb has predictably been more prone to conceding homers on the road, and Abreu went for extra bases in the only two head-to-head bats we’ve seen.

Bet to +450.

View 13 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Fri, Aug 21 • 7:15 PM ET
Earned Runs Allowed
Freddy Peralta logo Freddy Peralta o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Orioles are catching a great price against Freddy Peralta, who has struggled mightily since joining the Rays. Through his first three starts with Tampa Bay, Peralta owns a 7.53 ERA, 6.01 xERA and 1.47 WHIP while allowing a 49% hard-hit rate and 13.33% barrel rate. Baltimore has also been making plenty of hard contact, posting over a 45% hard-hit rate and nearly 10% barrel rate over its last 21 games. Despite a cold week, the Orioles still own a 116 wRC+, .339 wOBA and .773 OPS over their last 12 games. At +110, Baltimore is worth backing and fading Peralta.

Total Home Runs
Gunnar Henderson logo Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+405)
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Fifteen of the 20 homers Perlta has allowed have came against left-handed hitters across 83 innings, who have posted a .270/.332/.477 line, and he has surrendered a 19.2% pull-air rate. Gunnar Henderson is Baltimore's primary left-handed power bat, and Camden Yards is where Peralta's fastball problem gets punished, a that Gunnar has led the O's in hard-hit rate against. Play to +330.

View 14 Picks
New York Mets logo NYM @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Fri, Aug 21 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Randal Grichuk logo Randal Grichuk o0.5 Total Home Runs (+414)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Randal Grichuk remains an intriguing home run look against Mets left-hander Sean Manaea, despite the possibility of being pinch hit for later in the game. Grichuk is one of the highest-rated hitters on Batters-Box, covering over 91% of Manaea's arsenal. Against left-handed pitching over his last 30 plate appearances, he owns a .828 SLG and .380 ISO while generating a 50% hard-hit rate. Manaea has struggled against right-handed hitters, allowing a 51.5% hard-hit rate and 15.2% barrel rate over his last 60. The potential pinch-hit concern creates some risk, but Grichuk is still a strong look at +400 or better.

Hits+Runs+RBIs
Miguel Vargas logo Miguel Vargas o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Miguel Vargas is my preferred right-handed hitter against Mets left-hander Sean Manaea tonight, with the possibility of Randal Grichuk being pinch-hit for making Vargas the better option. Vargas enters Friday with a .718 SLG, .410 ISO, 51.5% hard-hit rate and 12.1% barrel rate over his last ten games. He also carries an elite rating on Batters-Box, covering 100% of Manaea's pitches, while going over this prop 55.56% of the time this season when rated elite. Manaea has struggled against right-handed hitters, with his last 60 opponents producing a 51.5% hard-hit rate, 15.2% barrel rate and .360 xBA. The White Sox need to get back on track, and it starts with Vargas. Take this down to -125 if you have to.

View 12 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Houston Astros logo HOU Fri, Aug 21 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for dingers.. Because of J.T. Ginn's large platoon split, Yordan Alvarez will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Yordan Alvarez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like J.T. Ginn.
Total Bases
Zack Gelof logo
Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 35 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Zack Gelof ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Zack Gelof is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors.
View 10 Picks
Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Fri, Aug 21 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Eduardo Valencia logo Eduardo Valencia o0.5 Total Home Runs (+575)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Eduardo Valencia is hitting .358 against lefties with seven of 10 hits going for extra bases.

Valencia has been powerful against the changeup, and that’s Noah Cameron’s most-used pitch facing right-handed bats.

Kansas City's bullpen ranks dead last in HR/9 so Valencia will remain live even after Cameron departs. 

Play to +550.

Moneyline
Detroit Tigers logo DET (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Noah Cameron’s impressive run over the past month has been aided by an unsustainable .149 batting average on balls in play, miles below his .263 career output.

The Detroit Tigers sit fourth in wOBA the past 30 days and have already faced Cameron twice this season, better equipping them to produce.

Back Detroit to -130.

View 14 Picks
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Fri, Aug 21 • 8:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Zach Neto logo
Zach Neto u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Globe Life Field ranks as the #29 ballpark in Major League Baseball for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 6th-deepest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in Globe Life Field.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching.. Zach Neto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Total RBIs
Oswald Peraza logo
Oswald Peraza o0.5 Total RBIs (+340)
Projection 0.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 41 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Oswald Peraza will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Fri, Aug 21 • 8:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Joey Cantillo logo Joey Cantillo o5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Joey Cantillo draws another strong strikeout matchup against the Rockies in Denver. The Guardians southpaw has maintained a strikeout rate above 30% over his last five outings and owns a 25.44% strikeout rate away from home this season. Colorado has struggled against left-handed pitching, striking out 25.4% of the time at home this season. Over their last 60 at-bats against lefties, only two Rockies hitters own strikeout rates below 17%, while the rest sit at 25% or higher. Four hitters are striking out at a 31.7% clip, making six strikeouts an appealing target at -120 or better.

Total Bases
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
View 11 Picks
Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Fri, Aug 21 • 9:40 PM ET
Spread
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ -1.5 (+146)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Joe Osborne image
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

The numbers strongly favor Arizona to win comfortably tonight. Over the past month, the Diamondbacks rank first in home OPS and second against left-handed pitching, while Cincinnati ranks 27th on the road and 28th versus lefties. Eduardo Rodriguez also owns an ERA nearly two runs lower than Nick Lodolo, who has led the Reds to a 4-10 record in his starts. Throw in a struggling Reds bullpen, and we have the recipe for a lopsided Dbacks W. 

Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the majors's 17th-best home run hitter.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Chase Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for overall right-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Eugenio Suarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ San Diego Padres logo SD Fri, Aug 21 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Ryan Jeffers logo
Ryan Jeffers o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the shallowest.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 79%.
Total Bases
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the shallowest.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. The switch-hitting Josh Bell will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Randy Vásquez.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Fri, Aug 21 • 10:10 PM ET
Total
Pittsburgh Pirates logo Los Angeles Dodgers logo u8.5 (-131)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

The Dodgers have cashed the Under in four consecutive Yoshinobu Yamamoto starts, and his splitter should work optimally in his matchup (Pittsburgh is 23rd in runs above average per 100 splitters seen). Bubba Chandler, meanwhile, has even better numbers than Yamamoto in their last six respective outings. Both bullpens rank in the top 10 in FIP over the last 14 days (L.A. 3.37, Pittsburgh 3.53) and are refreshed after Thursday's off day, so run suppression is a likely outcome of tonight's ballgame.

Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT (+206)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

Bubba Chandler has allowed no more than three earned runs in any of his last six starts while turning in a 2.56 ERA, 2.39 FIP, and 2.3% barrel rate. The market is underpricing him against a slumping L.A. lineup (91 wRC+ in the last 14 days; Pittsburgh 104).

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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Fri, Aug 21 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

Matthew Boyd has been struggling of late, serving up four home runs and seven earned runs in his last outing. But that poor performance may be exactly why we're catching an edge in the market for his next start, and I think the ballpark sets up well for him to bounce back. Boyd is known as a fly-ball pitcher, which makes him more vulnerable depending on the ballpark and weather conditions. A start at T-Mobile Park, where the marine layer can limit the carry on fly balls, is ideal for his pitching profile. Boyd's numbers haven't been great this season, but many of his poor outings have come at Wrigley Field. On the road, he's sporting a 2.57 ERA with just two home runs allowed, compared to 11 home runs allowed at Wrigley. The Cubs are trading at 51 cents on Polymarket, but I make them closer to a 54-cent favorite.

Total Bases
Dominic Canzone logo
Dominic Canzone o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.46
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Dominic Canzone is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. In the league, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for HRs.. This contest is predicted to have the 13th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

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Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

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